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Mitt Romney Leading Polls in Florida [Pollster: "I Think If Romney Wins This, It's Over For Newt"]
LATimes ^ | January 27, 2012 | Paul West

Posted on 01/27/2012 8:46:19 PM PST by Steelfish

Mitt Romney Leading Polls in Florida Mitt Romney has pulled ahead of Newt Gingrich in Florida with a nine-point lead, according to a Quinnipiac University poll. 'I think if Romney wins this, it's over for Newt,' one pollster says.

Fearful GOP leaders pray Newt Gingrich can be stopped in Florida

By Paul West January 27 — After months of gyrating front-runners and inconclusive voter tests, a victory by Mitt Romney in the looming Florida primary would send the 2012 campaign down a well-worn path — pointing the most established GOP contender toward a highly competitive race against President Obama in the fall election.

If Newt Gingrich wins, the contours of the battle would be radically different: a prolonged intraparty struggle unlike any the GOP has seen in decades, pitting the former House speaker as an insurgent force against many present and former elected officials he once led, with unpredictable consequences in November if he is the nominee.

Romney has, for now at least, pulled ahead of Gingrich in the roller-coaster campaign for Florida. An opinion survey of Florida Republicans, released Friday by Quinnipiac University, showed Romney leading Gingrich by nine points, 38% to 29%. Rep. Ron Paul and former Sen. Rick Santorum were far back, at 14% and 12%, respectively.

"I think if Romney wins this, it's over for Newt," said John McLaughlin, a veteran Republican pollster who is unaffiliated in the presidential campaign. Looking ahead, Romney has the advantage in the Feb. 4 Nevada caucuses and other, largely symbolic contests next month, including a nonbinding Feb. 7 primary in Missouri, where Gingrich failed to qualify for the ballot.

(Excerpt) Read more at latimes.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: backstabberromney; lie4romneyeverywhere; pleaselie4romney; romneydirt; romneydirtytricks; romneyfakepoll; romneypushpoll; spoilerromney
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1 posted on 01/27/2012 8:46:26 PM PST by Steelfish
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To: All
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2 posted on 01/27/2012 8:51:48 PM PST by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: Steelfish

Quinnipiac University - bad track record ...PPPoll better but will not release if until tomorrow and might not at all.


3 posted on 01/27/2012 8:53:00 PM PST by Fred (No Job No Home No Food No Problem - Obama 2012)
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To: Steelfish
I'm not sure if I agree with the pollster, but his statement reminds me of the movie "Gettysburg" when Joshua Lawrence Chamberlain speaks to a group of mutineers who refuse to fight, just before the big battle. After Chamberlain explains how special and how precious this land of freedom is, Chamberlain pauses and says, "Gentleman, if we lose this fight, I think we lose the war; so I'd be very much obliged if you would join us."

They do.

4 posted on 01/27/2012 8:53:45 PM PST by ClearCase_guy (When the night falls, it falls on me, and when the day breaks I'm in pieces.)
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To: Steelfish

Over??!! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?

February 4, 2012

Nevada (caucus) GO NEWT!

February 4–11, 2012

Maine (caucus) GO NEWT!

February 7, 2012

Colorado (caucus) GO NEWT!

Minnesota (caucus) GO NEWT!

Missouri (primary) GO NEWT! ..at their caucus later when it counts for delegates

February 28, 2012

Arizona (primary) GO NEWT!

Michigan (primary) ..Willard can have these libs out of pity

March 3, 2012

Washington (caucus) GO NEWT!

March 6, 2012 (Super Tuesday)

Alaska (caucus) GO NEWT!

Georgia (primary) GO NEWT!

Idaho (caucus) ..Mormons for Willard the Lib

Massachusetts (primary) ..Libs for the Lib

North Dakota (caucus) GO NEWT!

Ohio (primary) GO NEWT!

Oklahoma (primary) GO NEWT!

Tennessee (primary) GO NEWT!

Newt’s got your over!


5 posted on 01/27/2012 8:56:40 PM PST by CainConservative (Newt/Rubio 2012 with Cain, Huck, Petraeus, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: ClearCase_guy

Just like the polls pointed to a Newt victory in SC last week, this time they are all pointing to a pretty easy Mitt victory in FL. All the recent polls are in the 7-9 point range. Of course, anything can happen in this wild roller coaster called the republican nomination. And a lot of early voting may skew poll results.


6 posted on 01/27/2012 8:56:51 PM PST by gswilder
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To: Steelfish; onyx; trisham; TheOldLady; DJ MacWoW; JoeProBono; RedMDer; musicman; Lady Jag; MEG33; ...

“I Think If Romney Wins This (Florida), It’s Over For Newt”

Oh, yeah?

Well, we have not yet begun to fight!!

Rebellion is on!!

Go, tea party!!

Go, Newt!!

Damn the RINOs, full steam ahead!!

Live free or die!!


7 posted on 01/27/2012 8:57:25 PM PST by Jim Robinson (Rebellion is not just brewing, rebellion is here!!)
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To: Steelfish

Newt was just on Greta, and he said that even if he loses in Florida it is not over. In fact he laughed when she asked him about it, basically saying this is just the beginning.

He’s not going away without a fight.


8 posted on 01/27/2012 8:58:18 PM PST by Shelayne (NO ROMNEY--NOT NOW--NOT EVER!)
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To: ClearCase_guy

We really need a single nationwide primary. Having a few states decide the candidate sucks.


9 posted on 01/27/2012 8:59:07 PM PST by DonaldC (A nation cannot stand in the absence of religious principle.)
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To: ClearCase_guy
WHY should it be over?? Santorum will drop out soon, IMO and it will be down to Mitt and Newt. Newt will be the benefactor of Rick's voters and then, once again, it's GAME ON!!!! Newt just said on Greta that he isn't going anywhere if he loses Florida. Why should he? AND, I think the GOP E and Mittens have pissed him off just enough that he will stay in just to be a pain in Mitt's temple undies.
10 posted on 01/27/2012 9:00:22 PM PST by Anti-Hillary (No Jesus, No Peace! Know Jesus, Know Peace!)
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To: Anti-Hillary

But who has the best chance of beating “The One”?


11 posted on 01/27/2012 9:01:52 PM PST by DennisR (Look around - God gives countless, indisputable clues that He does, indeed, exist.)
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To: Steelfish
Romney will lose to Obama, because he fits right into the narrative of the so-called "progressives" and becomes their perfect opponent.

If these "GOP establishment" types, using the Left's tactics, force a Romney candidacy, then they must be held accountable for the consequences, including the loss of liberty for their posterity.

The Fall campaign will be a battle of ideas. Romney is no ideas warrior.

Obama understands the foundations of his ideology, and he understands how to frame those ideas in a manner that is misleading and appealing to those whom he wishes to enslave to government.

Romney shows no capacity for understanding nor articulating the ideas essential to liberty, and the way he frames what he does understand does not excite passion.

Oh, how we need a Jefferson or an Adams!

12 posted on 01/27/2012 9:02:16 PM PST by loveliberty2
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To: Fred

I saw the results of a Gallup? poll (If memory serves...) right here on FR early this A.M. stating that Newt had a 12 point lead on Willard. These polls are as scattered as shot from an old blunderbuss!


13 posted on 01/27/2012 9:02:30 PM PST by Tucker39
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To: Steelfish

It was over for Newt when Romney won Iowa /s.


14 posted on 01/27/2012 9:02:48 PM PST by Tribune7 (GAS WAS $1.85 per gallon on the day Obama was Inaugurated! - - freeper Gaffer)
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To: gswilder

Gosh, I really dislike you.


15 posted on 01/27/2012 9:03:48 PM PST by TwoSwords (Romney is Crassus. Newt is Parthian.)
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To: Steelfish

Newt leads nationally.

When Sanatorium drops, most of his votes will go with Newt — putting him well ahead.

Just for once I’d like to see the establishment “moderate” Republicans be forced to give in and unite behind a conservative candidate.


16 posted on 01/27/2012 9:05:22 PM PST by garjog
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To: Steelfish

including a nonbinding Feb. 7 primary in Missouri, where Gingrich failed to qualify for the ballot.

WTH? Are you saying that Newt won’t be on the ballot in Missouri? I swear this could end up being a terrible campaign. How can he not get on these states? I hear there are like 5 states that he failed to make the ballot to a total of 500 delegates. How did he allow this to happen? Sheesh. We are in the most important election of our lives and a professional primary and our guy can’t even do the most basic requirement of running for President....get on 50 state ballots. So frustrating.


17 posted on 01/27/2012 9:06:28 PM PST by napscoordinator (Go Newt! Go Patriots (America's Team)! America's is going the right direction in 2012!!!)
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To: CainConservative

Missouri (primary) GO NEWT! ..at their caucus later when it counts for delegates

Good luck with that. Newt is not even on the ballot. Oh and Newt won’t win Nevada of all states. He won last time by 81 percent.


18 posted on 01/27/2012 9:08:20 PM PST by napscoordinator (Go Newt! Go Patriots (America's Team)! America's is going the right direction in 2012!!!)
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To: DonaldC

“Having a few states decide the candidate sucks.”

Especially when they are states like Florida; God’s waiting room; where the gullible old f@rts can’t wait until all the candidates have made their case, but rather just HAVE TO run out waaay early, and waste their vote by voting based on the mainslime media’s hype in favor of a Rino such as Willard.


19 posted on 01/27/2012 9:09:35 PM PST by Tucker39
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To: ClearCase_guy; Steelfish

Even if, say, it was over for Newt... do they think for one minute that it would then be “over” (ie., clear sailing) for Romney and the GOP?

They still haven’t figured us out.


20 posted on 01/27/2012 9:09:39 PM PST by One Name
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To: musicman

So far we have only heard from 3 states, 4 counting Fla, there are 46 states still to hear from so this is no where near over. It fact it is just getting started. relax get some beer and popcorn it is going to be a long fight.


21 posted on 01/27/2012 9:09:48 PM PST by jpsb
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To: CainConservative

Not any more than it was over when the Japs had us stymied for a while in the Battle of the Bulge! ;o)


22 posted on 01/27/2012 9:11:53 PM PST by Tucker39
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To: Steelfish
[Pollster: "I Think If Romney Wins This, It's Over For Newt"]

But if Newt wins, we will be told that Florida was irrelevant, then the next state up will become the "must win" state for Newt. However, Romney doesn't have a "must win" state apparently, I guess he can lose the next 10 in a row and still be the presumed nominee by the media.

23 posted on 01/27/2012 9:12:47 PM PST by apillar
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To: Steelfish

“Over” my ass. FL is only 50 delegates. And the elites don’t make the rules any longer.


24 posted on 01/27/2012 9:13:12 PM PST by montag813
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To: napscoordinator

Romney will not get a free pass in those states, Paul in on the ballet too.


25 posted on 01/27/2012 9:13:45 PM PST by jpsb
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To: Steelfish
Why the Hot Hell is Florida so Damn important!?

Lets see

Iowa-Blue State

New Hampshire-Blue State- Romney

South Carolina- Red State- Newt

Florida- Purple State at Best

I mean they even got half there delegates taken away, I am sick of have 4 states determine the fate of the rest, and once the other states have had enough, we are in for some bad times my friends.

26 posted on 01/27/2012 9:14:14 PM PST by KC_Lion (I will NEVER vote for Romney, the GOP will go the way of the Whigs if they nominate him)
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To: Jim Robinson

They can’t kill us.

We won’t capitulate or surrender.

We’ve had enough, and they won’t know what to do!

It’s not in their consultants play book.

Rock on Free Republic!


27 posted on 01/27/2012 9:14:31 PM PST by One Name
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To: All; Steelfish
Unfortunately for us, with house these things play out, I don't disagree with the pollsters assessment.

FL is a huge symbolic prize. Winning, particularly sizeably, will put Romney back on track and give him the momentum to have this all wrapped up neatly for Super Tuesday. It's just the psychology of these things.

February has almost no debates and Romney-friendly territory like Mormon-heavy Nevada and Michigan where he was born and daddy was governor.

The only real chance of keeping this nomination battle going is to rob Romney of a win in FL.

Palin warned similarly in her Facebook post today. She and I agree -- ongoing competition and vetting makes the nominee stronger.

If you want Santorum or Paul and don't like Newt, but live in FL and want to see Romney not seize the nomination after just four states, vote Newt to put him over the top.

Deny the establishment their victory. Fight back.

28 posted on 01/27/2012 9:14:37 PM PST by newzjunkey (a FL win returns Romney to the "inevitability" path.)
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To: napscoordinator
WTH? Are you saying that Newt won’t be on the ballot in Missouri?

Mitt won't be on the primary ballot in Missouri.

But...it's a meaningless primary. Only a straw vote. The delegates will be assigned by a caucus scheduled for March -- in which Gingrich will participate.

29 posted on 01/27/2012 9:14:55 PM PST by okie01 (THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA: Ignorance On Parade)
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To: Steelfish

How is it over for Newt. He will only be down by 30 or so delegates? I’m sick of this Brainwashing B.S.
We have the VOTES! Not Romney! We just need to get Santorum to take one for the team! Gingrich has earned this moment. If you don’t know the history of Newt Gingrich then you need to do some homework and find out. Rick’s time can come later.


30 posted on 01/27/2012 9:18:27 PM PST by rwoodward ("god, guns and more ammo")
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To: okie01

in which Gingrich will participate.


Here in MO people are still ticked that Newt blew off the Primary ... there’s already a Santorum billboard a mile from my house and David Limbaugh endorsed Santorum...don’t assume Gingrich will do well in the caucus...


31 posted on 01/27/2012 9:19:45 PM PST by magritte (Nevermind)
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To: DennisR

God- should He so choose.

He may be looking to see what kind of spine and spirit we have, though.

We know how the Book ends; we just don’t know when and where and how soon it ends.

I intend to fight and advocate until I breathe no longer.


32 posted on 01/27/2012 9:20:10 PM PST by One Name
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To: musicman

If Newt doesn’t contest every single primary and caucus I would lose all respect for him. Let’s see how much of a fighter he is. I have already accepted that Romney will pull out FLA but there’s a long way to go after that and some very favorable stretches for Newt.


33 posted on 01/27/2012 9:20:48 PM PST by toddausauras (The)
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To: newzjunkey

Is fla a winner take all state? If so then yeah everyone needs to vote Newt.


34 posted on 01/27/2012 9:20:48 PM PST by jpsb
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To: One Name

For the life of me I cannot understand what is going on. When did we give the power to nominate our President to an elite group?

Why are they fighting the will of the people?

What the crap has happened?

And do they think we are so stupid to vote they way they command?

Are we Americans and will we put up with this?

I am getting angry


35 posted on 01/27/2012 9:21:54 PM PST by Steve Newton (And the Wolves will learn what we have shown before-We love our sheep we dogs of war. Vaughn)
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To: rwoodward

I think they believe Gingrich’s momentum will be slowed if he loses FL, funds would dry, and its all over.


36 posted on 01/27/2012 9:21:59 PM PST by Steelfish (ui)
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To: KC_Lion

Florida and Ohio are two very important states because they can go either GOP or democrat. And both have large electoral votes.


37 posted on 01/27/2012 9:24:01 PM PST by entropy12 (Socialism has failed everywhere tried. It breeds mediocrity, corruption, nepotism & poverty for all)
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To: Steve Newton; All

That pic I posted in post #2 REALLY has me pissed!!

What are the chances of the THREE of them having a “meeting” FOUR DAYS before the Florida primary??????

Tell me now how it DOESN’T look like a “conspiracy” against the Tea Party and Newt.

Get Romney nominated, NO MORE conservative Tea Party backed candidate.

Set Romney up like a Little League T-Ball for Obama to hit outta the park in November, and THEN Jeb gets his 2016 shot with the Tea Party officially dead.

(....oooops..forgot my Reynolds Wrap cap.....)


38 posted on 01/27/2012 9:24:09 PM PST by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: Tucker39

Gallup is accurate, but a national poll should not be compared to a state poll.

The lame-stream media is going to run with Romney’s unreported Swiss bank account all weekend, so that will take Myth down some..


39 posted on 01/27/2012 9:24:39 PM PST by Fred (No Job No Home No Food No Problem - Obama 2012)
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To: napscoordinator

1. Newt IS on the MO caucus ballot that COUNTS

2. Newt is polling very well in Nevada home of Adelson who’s already given Newt’s camp $10 mil.

3. Newt loses a chance at VA delegates ONLY. Period.


40 posted on 01/27/2012 9:25:19 PM PST by CainConservative (Newt/Rubio 2012 with Cain, Huck, Petraeus, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: Fred

‘I think if Romney wins this, it’s over for Newt,’

That is exactly what I said, word for word, at the end of last night’s debate.


41 posted on 01/27/2012 9:25:36 PM PST by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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To: jpsb

Ping to my post #38.


42 posted on 01/27/2012 9:25:56 PM PST by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: Steelfish

OVER? there are 46 states left sfter florida and three other candidates with plenty of fire in their bellies. This ain’t over.


43 posted on 01/27/2012 9:27:01 PM PST by RC one (the majority of republicans agree, anyone but Romney.)
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To: jpsb

“So far we have only heard from 3 states, 4 counting Fla, there are 46 states still to hear from so this is no where near over.”

Yeah, it will be, if Newt loses.

If Newt loses Tuesday, the other states don’t matter, the meme will have been set, and the money will dry up.


44 posted on 01/27/2012 9:27:30 PM PST by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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To: jpsb

Yeah, but FL lost half of their total delegates (was 100, now only 50) which is a good thing if Willard squeaks out a win.

Remember, TX has over 150 delegates which will go to Newt :)


45 posted on 01/27/2012 9:28:23 PM PST by CainConservative (Newt/Rubio 2012 with Cain, Huck, Petraeus, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: Steelfish
Newt: (in his best Churchillian accent)

Never give in!
 
Never give in!
 
Never give in!

46 posted on 01/27/2012 9:30:40 PM PST by Salvation ("With God all things are possible." Matthew 19:26)
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To: Jim Robinson

Enough already with the pings Jim. I have asked nicely to be removed from your ping list.

I can read the news on Newt...


47 posted on 01/27/2012 9:31:33 PM PST by surfer (To err is human, to really foul things up takes a Democrat, don't expect the GOP to have the answer!)
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To: Tribune7

But santorum won Iowa not Willard.


48 posted on 01/27/2012 9:31:41 PM PST by Salvation ("With God all things are possible." Matthew 19:26)
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To: loveliberty2
Romney shows no capacity for understanding nor articulating the ideas essential to liberty

Romney is a technician. Gingrich is a philosopher.

49 posted on 01/27/2012 9:32:07 PM PST by seton89 (Starve the Beast)
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To: Steve Newton

They have power and since they got that, they have money (see: “Crony Capitalism” by Sarah Palin 09/11 Indianola, Iowa).

They can lift and empower and enrich who they choose.

We threaten that. When there’s enough to go around and our future seems secure, we tend to work and sleep and tend to our lives and families.

When things get uncomfortable for us, we start to get riled up....


50 posted on 01/27/2012 9:32:54 PM PST by One Name
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