Posted on 01/30/2012 9:52:32 AM PST by dead
... who gets the would-be VP nod depends greatly on who is the nominee. As Newt Gingrich's odds of winning have spiked and dissipated twice in the last two months, the market for vice presidential candidates has reacted...
If Mitt Romney is the Republican nominee, my model estimates that he is 25 percent likely to pick Chris Christie as his running mate, a popular moderate governor from New Jersey who himself flirted with running for president before strongly endorsing Romney. (This in spite of the fact that you'd have two Northeasterners on the ticket.) The market puts Christie's overall chance of being the VP of any Republican nominee at only 14 percent, but because his odds tend to rise in tandem with Romney's, my model boosts his chances to 25 percent in the scenario where Romney is the nominee. Rubio is a close second to be Romney's right-hand man at 22 percent. Rubio's VP odds actually drop whenever Romney's go up (they are anti-correlated), but because Rubio's such a likely overall pick, he's still the second-most likely Romney pairing. Rubio so far hasn't endorsed a presidential candidate and has repeatedly said he's not interested in the VP job. No other candidate rises above single digits as Mitt's pick for a-heartbeat-away.
If Gingrich wins the Republican primary, he's most likely, at 30 percent, to pair up with Rubio. Christie virtually falls out of the running for VP at below 5 percent if Gingrich emerges the primary winner. Over the past 90 days, when Gingrich rose in the presidential market, Rubio tended to rise too and Christie tended to fall in the vice presidential market...
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
Rubio would face the NBC issue.
Gingrich/West mo’ better.
Gingrich-Rubio?i don’t think so.
Gingrich/Perry
Romney-Christie? REALLY?
Count me out....TWICE! No way I want to set up RINO x 16 years...
I’ll take ZERO for 4 if that is the choice.
Gingrich-Cain
Good men, and it would drive the MSM & race-baiters crazy.
That would be incredibly stupid. It would make Romney stupider than McCain, which is saying something. I mean, EVEN MC CAIN knew he needed something to fire up the GOP base, and he/they chose brilliantly. Would Romney really be so stupid as to pick someone perceived as moderate on “red-meat” issues to GOPers? I know a lot of folks here hate him, but would he really be that tone-deaf, does he really not know that it’s the conservative base that’s ambivalent (at best) about him?
Agatha Christie! Yeah!
Oh, she’s dead.
“Gingrich/West mo’ better.”
I like, also.
I will vote for the nominee, but I sure don’t favor anyone running with Christie. And if anyone runs with him, it should be Newt.
Romney running with a Northeast moderate is the last thing that should be done.
Whoever runs should beg Rubio to join them.
“That would be incredibly stupid.”
Milt is both stupid and arrogant, the worst combination to be.
I suspect he would proudly pick Christie.
I agree, Newt/ Perry
I like that a lot. With all respect, Marco Rubio is not yet experienced, and hasn’t been vetted. You gotta love the guy after hearing him speak, but hold on - why does that sound familiar?? He’s young, let him serve out his Senate term and then maybe.
Perry would bring stability, executive experience, strong financial support from a very large and influential state, a successful economic growth template, and is a solid Conservative. He’s not an elitist, has a great military record, and is not a Washington insider.
Can I write in Nixon???? Seriously, this is the best Republicans have to offer???
It might finally settle it that a U.S. citizen at birth is a natural born citizen - as opposed to a “natural-IZED” citizen - and that these are the only two types of citizenship (other than those citizens of colonial America that were “grandfathered” in) the Constitution mentions or envisions.
Successful presidential tickets require idealogical as well as geographical balance to make it over the finish line.
These pairings do neither. Gingrich/Christie or Romney/Rubio are far more likely pairings.
Rubio is too smart to be wasted as a VP pick.
She'll still vote Democrat.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.