Posted on 02/21/2012 5:11:24 AM PST by Kaslin
Prepper’s PING!
EMP won’t take out the electrical grid,
decommissioning power plants will.
Bump for later
They aren’t surprises to the well informed, but that’s just a faction of the people, look at some of the comments already posted on this thread, by people who claim to be conservatives and yet clearly have their head buried in the sand.
Many will fall to what is called Normalcy Bias, a mental state many people enter when facing a disaster. It causes people to underestimate both the possibility of a disaster occurring and its possible effects. This often results in situations where people fail to adequately prepare for a disaster, and on a larger scale, the failure of governments to include the populace in its disaster preparations. The assumption that is made in the case of the normalcy bias is that since a disaster never has occurred then it never will occur. It also results in the inability of people to cope with a disaster once it occurs. People with a normalcy bias have difficulties reacting to something they have not experienced before. People also tend to interpret warnings in the most optimistic way possible, seizing on any ambiguities to infer a less serious situation.
How many Jews do you think went all the way into the gas chambers never fully realizing what was happening?
There’s a good article about it in my Preparedness Manual, which can be downloaded here for FREE:
http://tomeaker.com/kart/Preparedness1j.pdf
For those of you who haven’t started already it’s time to prepare almost past time maybe. You needed to be stocking up on food guns, ammo, basic household supplies like soap, papergoods, cleaning supplies, good sturdy clothes including extra socks, underwear and extra shoes and boots, a extra couple changes of oil and filters for your car, tools, things you buy everyday start buying two and put one up.
As the LDS say “When the emergency is upon us the time for preparedness has past.”
Or as the bible says: A prudent man sees danger and takes refuge, but the simple keep going and suffer for it.
NIV Proverbs 22:3
Lastly this for the doubters and the scoffers.
“There is no greater disaster than to underestimate danger.
Underestimation can be fatal.”
I see it as a two edge sword, what the EMP doesn’t get the EPA will.
“I don’t think the author understands what a ‘Black Swan’ is. They are surprises. Nothing in that list hasn’t been discussed ad nauseum for years.”
I completely agree. A black swan event is, by definition, an event that is not anticipated, not discussed constantly nor on the radar.
These events are often discussed only in very small circles, normally initiated by an individual who has a premonition/precognition about some dark event looming in the near future. The examples of dark swan warnings range thru all recorded history up to the analyst who tried to alert the SEC about the Madoff scam.
The most common of all dark swan events in the fullness of human history is the unexpected population event called a “bottleneck”.
For those of you who are not opposed to a bit of heavy science reading, there is such a discussion ongoing on this forum. You might find it interesting.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/2820204/posts
Probably because most of the people possessing the most bitter hatred for America already live here. :)
Office supply cabinet into a faraday cage:
http://www.youtube.com/embed/m0ggWv_Gz4s
>>These five are in no way as ruinous as knowledgeable people not voting.<<
Worse still is stupid people voting.
“decommissioning power plants will.”
Now, you’re talking. THAT is a major issue with me. As we add need and decrease power plants we can find ourselves in a nasty situation where it becomes harder and harder to maintain the power grid load levels and keep them balanced. At some point it becomes impossible to keep them balanced and every time they turn on a grid section it goes down because of overload, making it impossible to keep any section up at any time.
I believe Obama and his liberal Luddite ilk are after that exact effect.
Black Swan *ping*. Your two cents on what might be a Black Swan in our future?
I don’t believe they are Luddites.
They want the technology and energy use to be available, but only to the “elite” who know how to use energy prudently, not you and I or the masses.
They follow Nietzsche’s assertion that holding all men accountable to the same moral standard is detrimental to the “higher” men, and therefore detrimental to society.
Does Rumsfeld addressed this when he said, “There are known unknowns and there are unknown unknowns.” An unknown unknown would be Custer calling in a B-52 strike to save the 7th Cavalry. Unknown to Sitting Bull anyhow. The two nuclear bombs in Japan were an unknown unknown for most of the population of both Nations.
Aren’t you the cheery one this morning!
“Bio Weapons - Countries without good healthcare will be hit harder “
We can’t handle 70,000 anthrax cases all at once. We’d be on a par with Guatemala or Mali by week 2 in terms of being able to care for people.
And for the first several days, people will be dropping spores in emergency rooms and clinics, from their clothes and hair, so the military will have to set up what mobile tent facilities they have in country at the time.
And that’s just anthrax, with no additives or adjuncts.
“I believe Obama and his liberal Luddite ilk are after that exact effect.”
You have to condition people to accept a power grid that is spotty and unreliable to get them to embrace “green” energy that is on only when the wind blows or the sun is out.
The morning hurricane Rita hit, the wind was still blowing and gusting over 50mph. Limbs were still coming down from the trees.
A girl stopped in front of the house and asked if my electricity was back on yet.
She honestly did not have a clue that the power lines she had been driving over is how the power got to her house.
She honestly believed the power came from the post itself.
She also didn't know that gas stations had gas delivered to them. She thought it just came out of the ground.
To this day I'm still dumbfounded as to how ignorant she was and how she was even able to function at all.
Thanks I’ll look those up.
I always thought Black Swans were unexpected events.
Those all have reasonable expectations.
Let me add;
Major earthquake (like Japan recently), causing nuclear power plant issues.
This would cripple our already dicey economy.
About the EMP vs ouside hacking; although our power grid could be taken down for a period of time by “bad guys” it would never have the same results as an EMP. (Read the book One Second After). Even the Russians have long known that, if you only have one nuke the best use for it is an EMP.
The girl you described undoubtedly is an Obama voter, LOL.
Technically, true, but as the number of dollars in existence approaches infinity, the value of each individual dollar approaches zero.
EMP - hurtful, but nothing we couldn't bounce back from quickly,...
About 8 years ago, a large transformer supplying Phoenix failed; the nearest spare was somewhere in the Pacific Northwest. It was big enough it had to be transported by barge to LA, then on an ultra-heavy-duty truck from there, at about 5 mph. Overall, it tooks several weeks, and nothing else anywhere had failed.
An EMP event over the "Bos-Wash corridor", Chicago or Los Angeles would take months to recover from, even if everything went perfectly, which it never does. Millions of people would be dead, especially if it happened in winter.
Nuclear Weapons - We lost New Orleans to Katrina and barely noticed.
The only value New Orleans (the city) has is as a place to get drunk for Mardi Gras. Nobody is going to nuke New Orleans; they'll nuke a city that has actual utility beyond housing parasites. Come up with a better example.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.