ARG Poll - Michigan (Santorum 36%, Romney 35%)

American Research Group ^ | 2/27/12 | staff

[TexasFreeper2009]

Rick Santorum holds a slight lead heading into the Michigan Republican presidential primary. Santorum leads with 36% and is followed by Mitt Romney with 35%, Ron Paul with 15%, and Newt Gingrich with 8%.

Santorum has lost 2 percentage points since a similar survey conducted February 21-22, 2012, while Romney has gained 1 percentage point.

Romney now leads Santorum 38% to 37% among self-identified Republicans, followed by Gingrich with 11% and Paul with 9%. Among self-identified independents and Democrats, Santorum leads with 34%, followed by Romney with 30%, Paul with 25%, and Gingrich with 3%.

Santorum leads Romney 36% to 35% among likely Republican primary voters saying they will definitely vote in the February 28 primary, followed by Paul with 16% and Gingrich with 7%. Romney and Santorum are tied at 35% each among those saying they will probably vote, followed by Gingrich with 14% and Paul with 9%.

Santorum leads with 42% among likely Republican primary voters saying they are supporters of the Tea Party, followed by Romney with 27%, Gingrich with 13%, and Paul with 11%. Among likely primary voters saying they are not supporters of the Tea Party or are undecided about the Tea Party, Romney leads with 40%, followed by Santorum with 32%, Paul with 17%, and Gingrich with 5%.

Santorum leads Romney 38% to 31% among men, followed by Paul with 18% and Gingrich with 9%. Romney leads Santorum 40% to 33% among women, followed by Paul with 11% and Gingrich with 7%.

[TexasFreeper2009]

BOOM!

[jimbo123]

[Lazlo in PA]

Santorum for President Ping List.

FReepmail “Antoninus” to be added or removed.

[Personal Responsibility]

Three polls posted on Breaking News:

ARG: Santorum 36 / Romney 35
MIRS: Santorum 37 / Romney 35
Rasmussen: Romney 38 / Santorum 36

The take-away here: No matter who does the poll, the results are within the margin of error. It’s REALLY close
and we all know what happens when “mistakes” are made in close elections. The “errors” ALWAYS favor the left most candidate.

To borrow a metaphor, any votes found in the back seat of someones car will be for Romney. Count on it.

[Lazlo in PA]

These numbers are amazing. If you listen to Rick bashers, he should be a 2% with women, yet he is not that far behind Milt. Rick also is doing something that is necessary for the GOP to pick up swing states. He is connecting with disaffected Rats and old Reagan Rats. He is also blowing the doors off of Milt with Tea Party voters, but is not doing bad with people who do not affiliate themselves with the movement. There are a lot of positive things in here to give one hope that Rick could actually pull off a huge upset in MI.

[Gamecock]

Sadly, all of this seems like trying to choose between heart disease and cancer.

[Buckeye Battle Cry]

I’m assuming this does not include the KosKids planning on crossing over and voting for Santorum. Excellent news indeed.

[Mangia E Statti Zitto]

Among self-identified independents and Democrats, Santorum leads with 34%, followed by Romney with 30%, Paul with 25%, and Gingrich with 3%.

Gingrich only 3%??? Something isn't right here.

[cotton1706]

Romney: AARRRGGGGGGGG!!

[pgkdan]

Sadly, all of this seems like trying to choose between heart disease and cancer.

LOL...sucks to be you eh? Having to choose between 2 Catholics and a Mormon and then between one of them and a muslim! I wonder who it is that you hate more.

[bray]

We Gingrich supporters realize that in MI he has no chance and beating Mitt is the most important issue.

Pray for America

[pgkdan]

Gingrich only 3%??? Something isn't right here.

>try to keep up...Newt has announced he's not going to compete in MI.

[CainConservative]

“Santorum leads with 42% among likely Republican primary voters saying they are supporters of the Tea Party, followed by Romney with 27%, Gingrich with 13%”

---

The ball is in the Newtonians’ court.

What will it be?

Willard Flopney, the Massachusetts liberal

or

Rick Santorum, the Tea Party favorite in Michigan.

[Mangia E Statti Zitto]

I’m keeping up just fine. If I were in MI I would vote for my candidate, since delegates are apportioned. If Newt can pick up a few delegates, what’s the problem with that? I still say that any poll which has Santorum leading Newt among Democrats and independents 34% to 3% is a bogus poll.

[Crucial]

Republicans should at least make this race interesting. What’s another state under Santorum’s belt?

[PSYCHO-FREEP]

I am checking out for a while. It is obvious that this stupidity is viewed by some as a brilliant strategy. In the short term, it sounds logical to them. But short term is all they care about or know.

For those of us who are realistic and think ahead of most everything, experience and history prove, that this is bound to be a disaster.

Time will tell, and I refuse to play a part in it. There is far more to life than santorum mania 24/7.

[reasonisfaith]

The number one priority at this point is to stop Romney.

The only way to do that is to vote Santorum in Michigan.

[pgkdan]

If Newt can pick up a few delegates, what’s the problem with that? I still say that any poll which has Santorum leading Newt among Democrats and independents 34% to 3% is a bogus poll.

Sorry...that 'try to keep up' crack was uncalled for. But, much to his credit, Newt realizes that if he doesn't compete his suport will likely go to Santorum and hurt Romney. I think Newt wants to win, but wants to see Romney lose even more.

[Gamecock]

Catholic or Mormon doesn’t matter at all, contrary to popular belief I don’t hate any of them. It’s about who is the best candidate.

[bray]

If Mitt loses his home state of MI, then he should end his campaign since he will not win in NE Santorum states or Southern Newt states. He will be done.

Pray for America