2012 Alabama Republican Primary: Gingrich 30%, Santorum 29%, Romney 28%, Paul 7%

Rassmussen Reports ^ | March 9, 2012 | Scott Rassmussen

[fortheDeclaration]

These States are must wins for Newt!

[DestroyLiberalism]

SeekAndFind wrote:
<<
One thing is certain — ROMNEY ISN’T SELLING WELL IN THE SOUTH.
>>

************************************************************

Not according to the latest Rasmussen poll which now shows ROMNEY leading Mississippi by EIGHT points. (I can’t believe nobody on Free Republic is pointing this out!) I’ll tell you what... Santorum and/or Gingrich absolutely MUST win Alabama, Mississippi, and Kansas next Tuesday if we are to have any remaining hope of keeping the nomination away from Romney. I’m very uncomfortable right now with how competitive Romney seems to be right now in these Deep Southern states. If he wins one or more of them as the result of Rick and Newt splitting the conservative vote, then we might as well resign ourselves to start referring to Mitt as “Republican Presidential Candidate Romney”.

Santorum and Gingrich supporters need to start putting their differences aside to make sure this DOESN’T happen. Hopefully, both campaigns will join forces to launch a barrage of negative ads against Romney throughout the weekend.

[SeekAndFind]

RE: Not according to the latest Rasmussen poll which now shows ROMNEY leading Mississippi by EIGHT points. (I can’t believe nobody on Free Republic is pointing this out!)

_________________________________

So, which is more accurate, the Rasmussen poll or this one which has Newt leading:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2856853/posts

[Ulysse]

Newt , Rick, A.West , Sarah...together could rip apart the Obozo libtard snaky demagogue !

Go USA GO

[paudio]

With Romney being #2 in some polls, or #3 but very very close to #2, we cannot argue that Romney isn’t selling well in the South. He seems to attract more people there than some Freepers want to believe.

[DestroyLiberalism]

SeekAndFind wrote:
<<
So, which is more accurate, the Rasmussen poll or this one which has Newt leading:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2856853/posts
>>

**************************************************************

I sure HOPE the American Research Group poll is more accurate, but I find Rasmussen to be one of the most reliable polling outfits out there and thus I tend to trust his results more. Either way, I don’t like how Romney appears to be in such a competitive position to win the Mississippi primary. Granted, he may have possibly hurt his campaign earlier today when he reportedly told a crowd of supporters in Alabama that he’s been becoming more of a southerner by saying “y’all” more often and eating grits. I know he was trying to be lighthearted and funny, but it doesn’t sound like it went over very well. You never know... Something as seemingly trivial as this could have an impact on the race next Tuesday.

Go Rick! Go Newt!

[caww]

Ta-Dum!!!! Horn blow for Newt! Go Newt Go!!!!!!

[Yashcheritsiy]

Proportional allocation will destroy the Anti-Romneys until they combine.

Well, then tell Santorum to drop out and endorse Newt!

[Right_in_Virginia]

I agree with you ... Santorum is a nightmare.

Go Newt!

[Right_in_Virginia]

Thanks for the good news ping!

[caww]

E-mail from Newt's National Director Titans, which you likely already get, but thought interesting how NEWT was maneuvering...

As a key supporter of our campaign, I wanted to make sure you were armed with the correct numbers from the Republican National Committee - and not the spin from the DC Establishment who are trying to prematurely end the race for the Republican nomination.

Here are two quick things to keep in mind.

First, the magic number of delegates to secure the nomination is 1,144 and no candidate is remotely close to that number. In fact, nearly two-thirds of all delegates will come from states that haven't voted yet.

Second, there is an important distinction between bound and unbound delegates. Most media outlets are reporting estimates or projections which include unbound delegates from various beauty contests.

What only matters at this point is the number of bound delegates. According to the Republican National Committee, here's the official breakdown:

Romney - 339 delegates
Gingrich - 107 delegates
Santorum - 95 delegates
Paul - 22 delegates

As you can see, Newt is currently in second place. Many of Senator Santorum’s victories came in states whose delegates will not be selected until much later in the process. For this reason,.... ..NEWT WASN'T EXPENDING A LOT OF TIME OR RESOURCES IN THESE STATES, CHOOSING INSTEAD TO FOCUS ON STATES WITH BOUND DELEGATES......THAT SRATEGY HAS NOW BEEN VALIDATED BY THE OFFICIAL RNC DELEGATE COUNT......

Keep in mind, this breakdown doesn't take into account the fact that the challenge to the “winner take all” awarding of delegates from both Florida and Arizona - which won't be decided until this summer's convention - could reduce Governor Romney's delegate advantage dramatically.

Here's a story from the Washington Times which outlines the delegate math in greater detail, and shows that Newt is actually in second place.

Simply put, Newt is in the race for the long haul. Thank you for your generous support and for standing with Newt's campaign.

Sincerely,

Martin Baker
National Political Director
Newt 2012

[Irish Eyes]

Did not see it this way on realclearpolitics.com, like your numbers a lot better.

GO NEWT!!!!!!!!!

[Jeff Head]

I'm surprised Romney is at 28% and statistically tied with the others.

Makes it clear though that a Gingrich/Santorum united vote will be a clear majority.

That's what has to happen if they hope to derail Romney who took bioth Guam and the Marianna Isalnds last night, and another 18 delegates.

Here's the full, detailed results to date on my GOP Primary Tracker Site

[Munz]

The wild card is Paul .. what will he do?’

will he run as a 3rd party and draw votes away from the GOP thus giving the election to Obama?

[nascarnation]

will he run as a 3rd party and draw votes away from the GOP thus giving the election to Obama?

I've seen statements that he won't do that because it would cause a lot of problems for his kid in the future. Don't know if that's true or not.

[okie01]

...will [Paul] run as a 3rd party and draw votes away from the GOP thus giving the election to Obama?

Or would Paul's loopy anti-war foreign policy draw even more votes away from the Democrats, thereby sealing Obama's defeat?

You can make either argument.

[seekthetruth]

Here is a good one! A teaching moment!

http://www.therightscoop.com/newt-to-obama-this-is-what-a-drilling-for-natural-gas-looks-like/?utm_source=feedbur

[abercrombie_guy_38]

You’ll be harassed for speaking the truth. NewtBots are just as worst as the RomneyBots.

[VictoryGal]

the REAL story the MSM will never report is that NOT-ROMNEY is kicking Myth’s BUTT... and in the case of Alabama, 2 to 1.

(Pity the primary doesn’t work that way!)

[Munz]

>I’ve seen statements that he won’t do that because it would cause a lot of problems for his kid in the future. Don’t know if that’s true or not.<

I know Savage has stated that if he does run as a third party that Michael Savage will spend every last dime he has to defeat his kid in any political race he has and end his career.