Posted on 03/14/2012 9:12:28 PM PDT by VinL
....Newt Gingrich is not getting out of the race any time soon.
Here’s why: Gingrich firmly believes that staying in the race is the best way to prevent Mitt Romney from clinching the nomination before the convention in August. And he actually may have a point....
Gingrich knows that it is virtually impossible for him, or Santorum for that matter, to beat Romney on delegates, but he makes the case — and it is not far-fetched — that unless Romney starts winning delegates at a faster pace he won’t clinch nomination by end the end of the primaries....
“My expectation is it is going to be an open convention,” Gingrich said. They'd [the Gop-e] like to have a coronation but that’s not how this is done.”
...If Gingrich drops out, he argues, two things will happen:
1) His vote gets divided between Santorum and Romney. A larger percentage would go to Santorum, but at least some goes to Romney, allowing him to accumulate more delegates; and,
2) Romney is then able to aim all of his considerable firepower at Santorum, destroying him with negative ads the way he twice destroyed Gingrich (in Iowa and Florida).
“This thing is going to go on. You guys need to relax and cover the most interesting nominating process in your lifetime,” Gingrich told me. “Be not anxiety-ridden, this is going to be good for America. This is a good conversation to have.”
And here is another reason Gingrich isn’t any closer to dropping out after Tuesday’s primaries in Alabama and Mississippi; he just beat front-runner Mitt Romney in both states.
(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...
In our culture, there seems to be a rush to judgement on a two-dimentional, take it or leave it, either-or basis.
In the Eisenhower Administration, Sec. of State Dulles used that two-dimentional thinking with third-world countries such as India. John Foster’s rule of thumb was “Either you are for us or against us.” Nehru said none of the above, and The Third World was born to the horror of Dulles.
Today the MSM drumbeat to find Number One is based a false two-dimentional assumption that a supporter of one candidate would switch support to another candidate if their candidate dropped out of the race.
Some will, but many others will: a) not vote, b) vote for who they think will be the eventual Nominee, c) vote for anybody but the top two candidates, or c) turn in a ballot with no Presidential names marked.
It is far better for the GOP to see what % of the voters vote for the various candidates, as each one has distinct ideas, and thereby show that ideas are important in selecting a Nominee, and platform planks.
For example: About 1/3 rd like to vote for the SOS_ _ _ Candidate; 1/3 rd vote for the hope of the future Candidate; and 1/3 rd vote for 2 candidates who are boat-rockers.
The supporters of the boat-rockers are the least likely to vote for the SOS, or the hope of the future Candidate.
Thus, the best way to reform the Republican Party is to bring the remaining FOUR HORSEMEN into The Big Tent at Tampa, and force by debate on the floor, the RNC to stop Nominating round-heeled RINOs to defeat the Counter Culture Left.
The longer the Primary Campaign goes on, the fewer the opportunities will remain for Candidates to convince voters that they have ideas with merit, or, in the case of Romney, no useful ideas at all - - - .
The very fact MJaffe works for a MSM (propaganda) outlet, casts doubt on his veracity.
Sad, but true.
Iowa. Virginia. Third Party Man Ron Paul. crossover democrats being decisive, etc.
However, as the Primary Campaign continues, thanks to Newt and now Santorum, Romney is showing the voters that he is a big spender in this Primary Campaign, and he will probably also be a big spender if elected POTUS.
I understand and agree with the first logic, but not the second one. It’s not like Romney team doesn’t see what’s going on and responds to it. They know that the main target now is Santorum, and they will target him now. They’re not going to gun for Newt anymore since they probably are happier that he’s still in the race.
GO NEWT!
LoL.
Now, Red, don’t get on friend, Steelfish. He says he was once a Newt supporter, until Rick won some primaries. So our good friend is just a bit conflicted and muddled.
Let’s just pray that when his head stops spinning, it’s back to facing front—
He is the only one smart enough to know how to crush Mitt, and he aims to do it one way or another. That's good enough for me, and I trust NEWT.
After all the negative lying ads Mitt ran against Newt in Iowa, Newt will never forget that. Romneys going down.
BTW: I hope Newt gets to see that picture of the little girl.
Interesting. That is what the Newt folks on FR were telling us this past weekend when we said that Rick had a shot in one or two of those states Tuesday. Funny how that worked out.
“So our good friend is just a bit conflicted and muddled.”
Well, well, well. Some of us try not to emulate the three proverbial monkeys like “Hear No Bad, See No Bad, and Speak No Bad” of Gingrich.
With respect, I think you misread my intent.
You said that Rick wouldn’t be hurt by Romney’s negative ads. To THAT, I said let’s talk after Illinois.
My feeling has been that Romney has yet to go both barrels after Rick because he would just elevate Newt. Now, I think he has no choice.
Could be wrong— but, that’s why I introduced Illinois- not that I expected that Newt would be competitive there. I doubt he will.
Come on Annie- be nice— Steelfish is a good guy- just on the wrong team at present. We’ll win him back.
This primary season has been hard fought, but I’ve always found Steelfish to be decent about things....
I hope that doesn’t sound arrogant. I just appreciate the way he battles.
“BTW: I hope Newt gets to see that picture of the little girl. “
Did you get to hear his story of the 175,000th $2.50 donor which he called on the phone? He told it in his after-primaries speech Tuesday night. Brought tears to my (and others’) eyes.
Ok, I will go into my closet now and giggle.
Some of us try not to emulate the three proverbial monkeys like “Hear No Bad, See No Bad, and Speak No Bad” of Gingrich.
******************
Steel, don’t get upset- just having some good natured fun. Honest.
But, perhaps you might reconsider your point about “emulating Gingrich”.
Now, I’m certain your don’t-— but friend Santorum wouldn’t have a platform, campaign or any thing to say- if he didn’t emulate Newt.
Wow, that is awesome, and just the kind of man Newt is.
Thanks for telling me about this.
Most excellent!
I got Romney smear ads running one right after the other here in PA and we don’t even vote till three days before the convention it is so late. Latest polling has Rick cruising above 50% over the other candidates and a new poll out shows Rick beating Obummer here. We are a blueish swing state. If Obummer loses PA, he is finished. I don;t think that the negative ads and MSM smears on him being a misogynist are working.
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