Posted on 03/19/2012 2:36:21 AM PDT by Libloather
The Hill Poll: Voter gloom on Obamas jobs, gas, debt policies
By Elise Viebeck - 03/19/12 05:00 AM ET
Half of likely voters expect the Supreme Court to strike down President Obamas signature healthcare law, and strong majorities see other major policies coming from the White House making life more difficult for themselves and the country, according to this weeks The Hill Poll.
The poll indicated that 49 percent of likely voters said they expect a court ruling that is unfavorable to the Affordable Care Act, while just 29 percent think it will be upheld and 22 percent arent sure.
On economic issues, 62 percent of voters say Obamas policies will increase the debt, while 25 percent think they will cut it, and by a 48-percent-to-38-percent margin, voters believe those policies will increase joblessness rather than put people back to work.
On energy, 58 percent say Obamas policies will result in gasoline prices increasing, while just 20 percent expect them to cut prices and by a 46-percent-to-36-percent margin, voters believe they will cause the United States to become even more dependent on foreign oil.
Voters wide-ranging pessimism comes as gasoline prices have risen sharply, which often dampens attitudes among U.S. voters toward those in power, and as opinions remain sharply divided on the presidents healthcare law.
The measure, on which the court will hear oral arguments later this month and is expected to rule in the summer, is not expected to fare well with the courts conservatives, though experts say it is unlikely the entire law will be undone.
The results also run contrary to indications that the economy is recovering more quickly and to other recent surveys showing the public is increasingly optimistic about its improvement.
Notably, a Fox News poll released Wednesday found that 58 percent of voters had seen signs of economic progress. And a Washington Post/ABC News poll that concluded March 10 found that 49 percent think the economy is beginning to recover, compared with 36 percent in November.
The Hill Poll showed the starkest difference of opinion on Obamas policies between white and black voters.
On every question, a majority or plurality of white voters said they expected Obamas policies to fail while a majority or plurality of black voters expect them to succeed.
While 65 percent of whites said his policies would increase the debt, blacks by a 46-percent-to-39-percent margin said they would reduce it;
While 61 percent of whites said they expect gas prices to increase because of Obamas policies, blacks by 42 percent to 29 percent expect them to drop;
While 50 percent of whites say unemployment will increase due to his policies, 72 percent of blacks say they think it will go down, and
While whites by a 47-percent-to-33-percent margin say Obamas policies will make the United States more dependent on foreign oil imports, 68 percent of blacks say it will make the country less dependent.
There also is a slight gender gap between men and women, although both concluded that most of Obamas policies would be counterproductive.
Sixty-five percent of men thought his administrations policies would raise gasoline prices and debt, while 55 percent said they would increase dependence on foreign oil and 52 percent said they would increase joblessness.
While women agreed, more of them were willing to give the administration the benefit of the doubt. Fifty-nine percent thought the national debt would increase under Obamas approach, while 52 percent felt the same way about gasoline prices.
But only by a 44-percent-to-42-percent margin a result within the polls 3-point margin of error did women say administration policies would increase unemployment. And by a 41-percent-to-38 percent margin, they said Obamas policies would reduce dependence on imported oil.
The poll did not include questions about recent conflicts over the Obama administrations birth-control coverage mandate, including comments by conservative radio host Rush Limbaugh that a young woman was a slut and a prostitute for supporting the policy in testimony before Congress.
Observers believe the conflict will strengthen opinions of Obama among women, who, polls show, already support him over possible Republican rivals.
Women remain crucial to Obamas reelection, though they sided narrowly with Republicans in the 2010 midterm congressional election. His reelection campaign has been working to solidify their support as November nears.
Not surprisingly, self-identified Republicans were the harshest critics of Obamas policies, with the most pessimism coming as GOP voters predicted increases in the federal debt (85 percent) and gas prices (81 percent).
Democrats disagreed across the board, saying in great numbers that Obama would make unemployment drop (72 percent) and U.S. dependence on foreign oil decrease (66 percent).
Of all the policies polled, Democrats were least likely to say with confidence that gas prices would decrease under Obama, with 42 percent saying they would and 31 percent saying they would not.
Responses from independent voters tended to mirror Republicans attitudes more than Democrats.
Sixty-nine percent of independents predicted the federal debt would increase as a result of Obamas presidency, and 61 percent predicted an increase in gas prices.
They also lacked confidence in Obamas healthcare law, which remains unpopular: Fifty-two percent said the Supreme Court would strike it down, with 25 percent disagreeing.
The poll was conducted by Pulse Opinion Research on March 15 among 1,000 likely voters and had a margin of error of 3 percentage points.
Click here to view data from The Hill Poll.
Many still think he`s magical, though. That recent poll that finds 46% still somehow think Bush is to blame after 38 months of Obama is frustrating.
Plus... even though majorities of Americans may disagree with Obama`s policies, many millions still are emotionally bonded to him.
25% think his policies will lower the debt? Good grief.
There seems to be a denial among MANY black Americans on Obama. It’s like they cannot face that their first black POTUS is such an abysmal failure that they would continue to suffer (and they are doing much worse as a racial segment of our population) rather than admit it. Those numbers separated by race category are almost frightening.
It’s sad too.
I should change the caption... for his 2012 campaign poster...
The claim that only white people can be racist is bullshit, and no group {other than Asians} are more racists than American born and raised blacks.
The Chinese have the most racist view of the world, looking down on the {whom also look down on the Chinese} Japanese, Korean and other minor Asian people with zero use for round eyes of any skin tone.
The majority of African born blacks that I've met and worked with cannot understand the amount of time that American blacks spend on skin tone.
IMO much of Obama's personal approval ratings are overstated. People are reluctant to say they dislike him because it would stamp them as racist. In 2008 Obama received 43% of the white vote and McCain received 55%. In 2012, Obama will receive even less than 43%, which will hurt his reelection chances. Bush received 60% of the white vote in 2004. If the Rep nominee receives that percentage or more, he will win.
The drumbeat of Bolshevik Dictator Baby-Doc Barak continues to grow louder - - - .
We've heard that before.. in 2008. Remember all the noise about the "Bradley Effect," which turned out to be much ado about nothing? Many Americans, especially the younger ones, are still hot on him... it's not about policies or results, but emotion. By contrast, I've never heard anyone say unequivocally, "I want Mitt Romney to be my President."
Isn't it simply astounding that a "Hill" news article about a "Hill Poll" resorts to presenting data from two other competing polls because the Hill poll had such bad news for Obama? Things are not well in Foggy Bottom.
Publicly manifesting that degree of delusion got you permanently committed to the insane asylum not long ago.
It’s 1979 again, but the Democrat president is even worse.
I don't know where in VA you live, but Obama is no longer as popular as he was in 2008 with the young and independents. He has a record now--no more hope and change.
Do you think Obama will carry VA in November?
About a 50/50 chance. Obama was leading both Romney and Santorum at last count in the Ras poll.
b
Very true, but: 1) We have no Reagan this time around; and 2) The electorate is drastically dumbed-down by comparison to 1979.
These polls are more wild than I’ve ever seen... just shows Americans don’t have a clue about what they want. Gallup had Obama at 43A and 50D on Saturday; today it’s 49A and 43D. +13 in two days... Amazing.
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