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Why Obama Will Lose in November
CNS News ^ | 3/19/2012 | Alan Caruba

Posted on 03/20/2012 8:12:09 AM PDT by IbJensen

I received a campaign letter from Michelle Obama the other day. This is especially surprising because I am a registered Republican; hardly a likely prospect to contribute to her husband’s reelection efforts.

“Every day I learn about the challenges and the struggles—the doctor bills they can’t pay or the mortgage they can no longer afford,” said the text. The “fairness” theme, a socialist meme, was expressed. “American prospers when we are all in this together, when hard work pays off and responsibility is rewarded, when everyone—from Main Street to Wall Street—does their fair share and plays by the same rules.”

The fact is, however, America has not been prospering for the last four years during which Barack Obama has been President. And everyone knows it. The U.S. sovereign debt rating was downgraded for the first time while he occupied the Oval Office. Federal spending (25% of GDP) is the highest since World War Two. Federal debt (67% of GDP) is the highest since just after the end of World War II, and the nation has experienced, not only the longest recession, but the highest unemployment since the 1930s.

In the first nineteen months of his term, Obama added more federal debt than was amassed by all U.S. Presidents from George Washington to Ronald Reagan.

I have two theories about the November 6 election. (1) That it will be an overwhelming defeat for Obama or (2) that it will be so close we could see a situation comparable to the Bush-Kerry election in 2004.

Obama’s Achilles’ heel is, of course, Obamacare. As Robert Bluey of The Heritage Foundation notes, recent polls indicate that 53% of Americans favor repeal and more than half (57%) say that the Supreme Court should strike it down as unconstitutional. Fully 60% of physicians believe the law will have a negative impact on overall patient care.

The Congressional Budget Office revisited Obamacare this past week and concluded that 20 million Americans could lose their employer-sponsored health benefits and 49 million more Americans could become dependent on government-sponsored health care. Projecting through 2022, Obamacare could cost as much as $2.134 billion and the employer-mandate penalties could hit $221 billion.

There’s another reason why Michelle Obama was writing to me last week. As Karl Rove noted in a Wall Street Journal March 14 commentary, “Many of Mr. Obama’s 2008 donors are reluctant to give again” to his campaign. “As the Obama campaign itself reported, fewer than 7% of 2008 donors renewed their support in the first quarter of his re-election campaign, well below the typical renewal rate.

The Obama campaign and the Democratic National Committee are burning through current donations so fast that the White House has told this year’s congressional candidates that they will not receive any funding support for their campaigns because Obama needs all the money.

While Obama’s 2012 campaign is already showing signs of stress, other issues will impose great pressure. Unemployment affects most American families either directly or because some member of the family or a friend is unemployed. Even the unemployed vote.

The price of gasoline continues to rise. Releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve that exists for use only in an emergency is not a solution, and Americans are well aware that this administration has opposed or thwarted every effort to drill for more oil on federal lands. The failures of “green energy” companies that have cost Americans billions in loan guarantees are well known. A President who hypes “algae” as an energy solution will be seen as a fool and/or a complete charlatan.

Recent polls indicate how close the 2012 election may be. Obama has lost ground among female voters. In a head-to-head match-up with Mitt Romney, women voters back Obama 49%, but that is seven points lower than 2008. A Rasmussen poll found that 59% of likely voters asked whether Obama is more liberal or more conservative than they are answered that he was more liberal. Of these likely voters, 65% who are also union members thought Obama was more liberal than themselves.

Polling firms have been asking Americans to self identify themselves as conservative or liberal for decades. In February 2012, Gallup polling revealed “that in every single state with the exception of Massachusetts” conservatives outnumbered liberals.

The Battleground Poll conducted by George Washington University in collaboration with Democrat and Republican polling organizations found that 58% of Americans described themselves as “very conservative” or “somewhat conservative”, while only 37% described themselves as “very liberal” or “somewhat liberal.”

A conservative campaign message will win in 2012 and this explains why the Republican primaries are all about candidates striving to describe themselves as a “true conservative.”

Even the mainstream media are showing less enthusiasm for Obama. When even The Washington Post rejects Obama’s lies about U.S. oil reserves, as it did on March 15th, it suggests there may be a growing, wider level of disenchantment with the man they embraced in 2008.

Obama will lose in November. It may be a very close election or it may be an overwhelming rejection, but the polling numbers and the state of the economy will be the deciding factors.

Memo to Michelle Obama: The “fairness” message is not working. The appalling failures—“stimulus” anyone?—of Obama’s first term will ensure that there will be no second term.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: communism; evilregime; obozo; whitehut
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To: Kharis13
My wife and I have decided that if Romney wins the primary, we are choosing not to vote for a president in the General Election.

That is your right, of course, but in my mind that's a vote for Obama. I'm not a Mitt fan either, but getting Obama out of the White House trumps ALL this time. If Romney wins it all, then a conservative Congress will help keep him in check.

This needs to be repeated on a daily basis if Mitt is the nominee...not my candidate either BUT this nation will not survive another 4 years of this lawless regime.

21 posted on 03/20/2012 9:45:40 AM PDT by Prov1322 (Enjoy my wife's incredible artwork at www.watercolorARTwork.com! (This space no longer for rent))
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To: IbJensen

OBAToast 2012


22 posted on 03/20/2012 9:49:49 AM PDT by FrankR
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To: kabar

—Our forces are much more professional, better trained, and more committed than we were.—

And lets be blunt. Technology has matured to the point that we just don’t need as many men as we once did, relative to the number of men who would volunteer.


23 posted on 03/20/2012 9:50:35 AM PDT by cuban leaf (Were doomed! Details at eleven.)
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To: ml/nj

“Could this be because most substantial donors are really investors seeking financial returns...”

###

I think they were crooks looking for an inside track.

See Bernie Madoff’s clientele....


24 posted on 03/20/2012 9:53:47 AM PDT by EyeGuy (2012: When the Levee Breaks)
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To: IbJensen

If Romney is the Republican nominee, it won’t matter who wins. We lose.


25 posted on 03/20/2012 9:56:12 AM PDT by Antoninus (Romney Inc. -- Now attempting a hostile takeover of the Republican Party.)
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To: IbJensen

Obama is afraid of Newt because he knows Newt would hand his head on a platter every time that had a debate or discussion on virtually any topic. He’s afraid of Newt’s ability to articulate fundamental republican principles over the marxist dogma Obama espouses.

If Newt is not the Nominee, and if we win in 2012, Newt should be made the Secretary of State.

If Santorum is not the nominee, make him the US Attorney General.

Make Paul the Secretary of the Treasury.

Romeny, if he is not the nominee, would be an excellent head of the economic council.

West for Secretary of Defense.

What an unbelievable GOP cabinet could be created by the individuals that we have. And if they were working with large majorities in the Hosue and Senate, we could make unbelievable progress in turning things around and in have a 12-16 year run that fundamentally restores America to its roots and its stength as a nation, economically, foreign policy wise, defense wise, and socially.

AMERICA AT THE CROSSROADS OF HISTORY
http://www.jeffhead.com/crossroads.htm

IF I WERE PRESIDENT, HERE’S WHAT I’D DO
http://www.jeffhead.com/aspres.htm


26 posted on 03/20/2012 10:05:22 AM PDT by Jeff Head (Liberty is not free. Never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
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To: cuban leaf
And since we have such dependence on advanced technology, we need to invest more time and money in training. We can't afford a revolving door military.

We have not been overwhelmed with volunteers. We are meeting our quotas, but that could be affected if the economy recovers.

The reductions in our forces are due in large part to budget cuts, which are driving force levels rather than techonolgy and mission. We are entering the familiar phase of declining powers when "guns versus butter" dominates funding levels.

27 posted on 03/20/2012 10:08:06 AM PDT by kabar
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To: Jeff Head
"Obama is afraid of Newt because he knows Newt would hand his head on a platter every time that had a debate or discussion on virtually any topic."

If Newt does get the nomination, watch the media introduce a new debate format that will neutralize this advantage. Don't know what it might be, I just know that's what will happen.

28 posted on 03/20/2012 10:16:30 AM PDT by GourmetDan (Eccl 10:2 - The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but the heart of the fool to the left.)
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To: Jeff Head
"Obama is afraid of Newt because he knows Newt would hand his head on a platter every time that had a debate or discussion on virtually any topic."

If Newt does get the nomination, watch the media introduce a new debate format that will neutralize this advantage. Don't know what it might be, I just know that's what will happen.

29 posted on 03/20/2012 10:17:05 AM PDT by GourmetDan (Eccl 10:2 - The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but the heart of the fool to the left.)
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To: kabar

When I think of our future military, I apply things like this and what it can easily lead to:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YQIMGV5vtd4


30 posted on 03/20/2012 10:20:40 AM PDT by cuban leaf (Were doomed! Details at eleven.)
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To: jeffc
If the election was fair, zero would lose. But it won't be. The liberals will pull out all the stops, even blatant cheating, to win for zero. Zero will win re-election thanks to illegal voting, multiple voting, dead voting and supression of the military vote.

All of these are portion but who is counting the votes? A computer system that is not allowed to vent & has no checks & balances. The computer experts know this. They can tweak the voting to the outcome they want.The whole voting system is a complete joke.

31 posted on 03/20/2012 10:29:29 AM PDT by Digger (If RINO is your selection then failure is your election)
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To: IbJensen

Just say NO to Socialism - it’s easy if you have any self-pride.


32 posted on 03/20/2012 10:32:20 AM PDT by TexasRepublic (Socialism is the gospel of envy and the religion of thieves)
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To: Kharis13
then a conservative Congress will help keep him in check.

You mean like how the current conservative Congress is keeping Obama in check?

33 posted on 03/20/2012 10:34:22 AM PDT by Drill Thrawl (Brass, copper, lead. The new precious metals.)
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To: Marko413
My wife and I have decided that if Romney wins the primary, we are choosing not to vote for a president in the General Election

Let's get real here. Do you want two or more Kagans on the Supreme Court? There can be nothing worse than Big Ears back for 4 yrs unchecked. Again I say, get real.

34 posted on 03/20/2012 10:34:54 AM PDT by Digger (If RINO is your selection then failure is your election)
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To: kabar
You can send whatever message you want to the GOP, but it will be meaningless and irrelevant. It is akin to rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic. Given what is at stake, i.e., the survival of the Republic, "anybody but Obama" should be the objective of patriots.

Even if Ronald Reagan rose from the dead and ran for president this time around, do you really think that one man in the office is going to be able to reverse the decades of corruption and Marxist infiltration of virtually every institution in this country? The simple answer is not "no", but "hell no". Now add to that the idea of someone like Romney in the office. Not only will the direction of this country not change, but he will most likely actively continue most of the worst policies.

In other words, we might as well go for the best guy out there, whether he wins or loses, because either way this country is going down. I would almost prefer the collapse occur within the next few years while I am still young enough to help squash the commies and rebuild.
35 posted on 03/20/2012 10:41:15 AM PDT by fr_freak
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To: Digger

More meaningless scare tactics. Non of the conservative supreme court justices or even Kennedy has to retire in the next 4 years. Usually these folks serve until they cannot serve anymore. If Republicans keep the House they can keep Obama in check and he would not be able to do anything significant.


36 posted on 03/20/2012 10:44:10 AM PDT by jveritas (God bless our brave troops)
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To: ml/nj

or it is disinformation intended to lull conservatives into a false sense of security.

(like obama not helping democrats in congress)

we have to keep fighting and keep moving and most importantly keep talking to others.


37 posted on 03/20/2012 10:44:31 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: GourmetDan

They will certainly try...but I do not believe Newt will play aloong. He ate the MSM alive in the debates with the other GOP contenders.

I like his plan to inisist on a certain number of Lincoln style debates and to follow Obama around, speaking after him in each city, hammering it home until Obama agrees.

But, Obama simply will not agree. It will make a difference to you and me...but we would be voting for Newt anyway. Independents will probably be impacted by it...but the vast majority of Obama cupporters simply do not care. he is their meat wagon and they will vote for him no matter what.

We just need to get the base out and have the independents come over because of the disasterous policies...and I believe we can make that happen.


38 posted on 03/20/2012 10:45:15 AM PDT by Jeff Head (Liberty is not free. Never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
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To: Digger

If that’s how you really feel you should consider changing your sig. Just trying to help you there.


39 posted on 03/20/2012 10:49:34 AM PDT by Marko413
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To: kabar

The country has survived way worth than Obama throughout her history and not only we have survived but also we have prospered and have become more powerful and more advanced than any other nation in history of mankind. Yes we can survive 4 more years of Obama if we have to and if we keep the House, most probably the case, then Obama damage would be greatly limited. In fact historically Obama has so far done far less damage in implementing socialism than FDR or even LBJ. Obama is probably the worst socialist President in term of rhetoric but his actions are much weaker than his rhetoric because he is weak and incompetent and for this we are fortunate.


40 posted on 03/20/2012 10:50:09 AM PDT by jveritas (God bless our brave troops)
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