Obama Wins Close or Loses Big (O will be either a narrow winner or big loser in November 2012)

American Thinker ^ | 04/25/2012 | J. Robert Smith

[SeekAndFind]

President Barack Obama: narrow winner or big loser in November. Presidential election history gives us indications that Mr. Obama either squeaks back into the White House or gets an undignified boot in the back of his designer trousers. In modern presidential elections, only Jerry Ford lost his re-election bid narrowly. Odds are, if Mr. Obama loses, it will probably be on the order of Hoover (1932) or Carter (1980).

If Mr. Obama wins, it's closer to George W. Bush's re-election in 2004. But the conditions are dramatically different in the country from 2004, and not to Mr. Obama's advantage.

A narrow win by Mr. Obama would be thanks to bungling by Mitt Romney and the Republicans, because based on the president's record alone, Mr. Obama has richly earned a pink slip from voters.

The Obama presidency is a big, fat failure, despite all the spin emanating from the White House, Democrat flaks, and the left's petting-zoo media. Americans are living Mr. Obama's economic failure daily; their dreary experiences (or those of family and neighbors) cut right through the liberal-manufactured smoke and fog.

Campaigns of distraction distract only monetarily.

Incumbents are always about their performances, their records. A politician up for re-election is a referendum-in-the-making; an up or down vote by the electorate. That's the core strategic consideration of Romney's General Election campaign.

In a referendum election, all Mr. Romney has to do is satisfy voters that he's competent, advocates sensible remedies to the nation's economic dilemma, and plans to stop Uncle Sam's profligate spending and not raise taxes. Romney is well-suited to accomplish all three aims. Romney's character hasn't been an issue through a grueling intraparty vetting; it shouldn't be one in the General Election, despite anticipated efforts by Mr. Obama's team and the left to do so.

[Buckeye McFrog]

I live in a traditionally blue collar union Democrat area, and I can tell you that aside from college campi, poor black neighborhoods and amongst some activist loonies, Obama is NOT at all popular. I say he loses big. Especially since the railroading of George Zimmermann is causing so many to wonder what Barry would allow the Black Panther to do to the rest of us in a second term.

[Buckeye McFrog]

If they are not beaten by a wide margin, their election fraud machine, perfected over the years, will carry them over the top.

He is not well-liked on FR, but Hugh Hewitt wrote a book which illustrates that beautifully.

[MrB]

Ah, I was wondering how this headline could be anything approaching a “prediction”.

Of course, unless you beat ‘rats by a wide margin,
they win through fraud.

[Texas resident]

I think that obama will be landslided in November.

There are LOTS of folks who are ready to go vote against this monster. Not so much about voting for a rino, but voting against baraq.

What we have to watch against is what happens when he loses.
Baraq’s and holder’s people will ramp up the racial indignation and raise hell. And his media will encourage them.

[EDINVA]

I’m assuming the poster wants to see Obama defeated but, assuming the R nominee is Romney, doesn’t want to see him win big, either. Conservatives fear that if Romney is elected, much less in a landslide, their views will be disregarded altogether.

[Lady Lucky]

I fully expect Obama will win by a comfortable margin in November. That’s in popular vote. In electoral votes he’ll have a landslide.

[DWC]

What?

[ilgipper]

I disagree. He may well lose by a little. There is going to be a lot of money in this campaign, and Obama is likely to invest much of it in a narrow group of states that he has to tip in his favor. He could easily win some of the swings states and lose others, and be real close. 2004 would have flipped with Ohio going for Kerry, and it would have been loss by a marginal amount for Bush. Depending on how the race plays in the fall. Obama could win by a lot, or win by a little. He could lose by a lot of lose by a little. It is totally up in the air right now how this will play in the electoral votes.

[neverdem]

At this point constant carping about Romney not being conservative, while true, accomplishes nothing. Barack Obama is a distinct threat to America and must be defeated.

If Obama goes down in a landslide, then there will probably be significant gains in Congress. If that happens, I don't think Congress will be as deferential to Romney as it was with GWB and his domestic agenda. I'm thinking more like rejecting Harriet Miers for the Supreme Court and comprehensive immigration reform with amnesty. I would have preferred a conservative, but Obama must go. ABO!

[Terry Mross]

If Romney wins we have to look forward to him turning to obama right after he’s sworn in and saying “I want to thank president obama for his selfless service to America over the last four years.”

[hinckley buzzard]

Obama would have to lose states the GOP hasn't won in a generation.

Y'mean like Ohio, Indiana, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina and Florida? Yeah, 2008 blue states wasted by the decrepit Bush/McCain abortion, states that never went republican before, right? Howsabout pulling your head out of rectal defilade and looking at the bright side for a change.

[El Gato]

I HOPE Obama is a LOSER in Nov by the NARROWIST of Margins!

Although I don't think it will happen, I'd like to see him trounced thoroughly, especially in the electoral college vote, but a good thumping in the popular vote would also be richly deserved.

[ScottinVA]

No, Pollyanna, I`m referring to not only Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, but a host of other longtime democrat strongholds needed to amass Romney`s “big win” the article supposes.

Got it?

[ripley]

Will the Progressive, adolescent punks try an October Surprise?

Just asking.

[sport]

Does a bear shit in the woods?

[ExSoldier]

Ummmmmm why?

[ExSoldier]

Well... CONSERVATIVES understand it's a big, fat failure, but to the burgeoning parasite class, he's King, and to the average voter in the dumbed-down, marginally aware American electorate, he's "acceptable."

My favorite nephew is a forty year old extremely successful professional living in Boise, ID and this was his point precisely. He's using it as an excuse to buy up every gun he ever wanted before Jan 20th 2013. Well, I understand his motivations because I have a wife, too. But I keep telling him to remember the old movie Kelly's Heroes. Remember the Donald Sutherland character who was playing the stoned out hippy-ish Tank Commander (Odd Ball)? That guy kept chastising those around him to stop putting out negative waves because they invariably lead to self fulfilling prophesies of the very B-A-D sort. That holds true here as well.

If we subconsciously have Obama voted back into office it's going to happen -- either because we can get behind Mittens or because we somehow have Obozo tapping into supernatural powers that he doesn't possess but can't be overcome. I remember Jimmy Carter's 30 point lead over Reagan in April before the election. And I remember the landslide win for Ronnie. At that point, we could have run the Cookie Monster and he'd have beat Carter just as easily and I feel that way now because as was pointed out in this article, Obozo's negatives and positives are far different (and more difficult) than Carters. SO (~roaring~) ENOUGH with the negative waves, already! And maybe somebody can post that youtube clip since I can't (server blocked).

[The Iceman Cometh]

I just want to see the liberal heads explode as they claim racism kept Obama from a second term. Seeing the media defeated is worth having Romney elected all by itself.

[The Iceman Cometh]

I just want to see the liberal heads explode as they claim racism kept Obama from a second term. Seeing the media defeated is worth having Romney elected all by itself.

[ExSoldier]

In the 2000 election Gore lost his home state of Tennessee. Tell me the last time a "FAVORITE SON" lost his home state. Also in that same 2000 election, West-by-God Virginia went Republican and that hasn't happened in a very long time. Like 80+ years. So don't tell us that these things are impossible or even unlikely. Todays volatile electorate makes every national election an adventure into the unknown. As I said in my other post, I remember the Reagan landslide in 1980. About this time in the process, Carter was ahead by 30 points! And what happened on election day? Hmmmmmmmm?