Who the hell are Virgil Goode and Tom H.? Who are people writing in? What are their chances of winning? We pushed for better candidates; we didn’t get it. If people with actual name recognition didn’t make it against Romney, what chance do those folks you mentioned have? Zero.
Is it really a revelation to you that, as of now, “ABO = Romney”?
That’s pretty sad.
Virgil Goode is the Constitutional Party candidate. From things I have heard, he is pretty solid, but is going to suffer from third party syndrome regardless.
Tom H - no clue. First I have heard of him too.
Tom H. is Tom Hoefling, which is me.
Virgil is a former VA rep...Constitution Party
Tom H. = Tom Hoefling, a FREEPER [Eternal Vigilance] Tom Hoefling for President
What are their chances of winning?
#1 You know, "chances" is a horseracing term...where they pay not only the winners, but to place as a runner-up (& if 8 or more horses, to "show" as well)...Unfortunately, for POTUS, there is no partial salvation in finishing as "runner-up." The 2nd-place finisher's vote counted for no more than the 3rd or 4th-place finisher.
While the race is certainly "wide open" now...(For example, Seek and Find posted this thread this a.m.: Rasmussen: Three-Way Race: Romney 44%, Obama 39%, Ron Paul 13%)...
So...given a...
...a Ron Paul third-party entry...
...coupled with more voters abandoning the GoP for other waters (Goode/Hoefling)
...coupled with the MSM expose' of Romney & Mormonism for 6 months straight...
...= a "formula" where I believe Romney will be WAY down in the polls come late October [unless the economy tanks even more significantly!]
Therefore, the Q isn't "What is a third party chance of winning?" as of May, 2012...
...Rather, it's "What are Romney's chances of winning?" as of late October/early Nov???
If his chances THEN are slim, all the more reason to vote third-party even for among the Romney voters and Romney supporters (converts).
#2 If you total ALL the FREEPER votes in states like NY, NJ, CA, OR, WA, IL, & other liberal states, even if 100% of FREEPERS voted for Romney in those states, Romney wouldn't win...
Think about that FREEPERS...Don't vote for Romney if you're NOT in a swing state!
We should start a movement that sweeps the nation whereby we advocate that as many as possible GoP voters in liberal states abandon Romney! [To send a message to the GoP-e]
Also, if FREEPERS exist in states in which Romney will win easily, their vote is unnecessary as well. (It won't make a difference)
Is it really a revelation to you that, as of now, “ABO = Romney”? That’s pretty sad.
Well, thank you for reinforcing my point. I clearly told Seize the Carp that "ABO" is a euphemism for Romney voters AND Romney supporters AND Rombots...and he didn't seem to agree that Romney voters and Romney supporters and Rombots would all (as 3 separate groups) seek to find FR "safe haven" under the umbrella of "ABO." [Note his response: Your ad hominem attack on my choice of words and your insinuation that I am a Romney “supporter” or “Rombot”..."]
So there ya go, FSE...there's at least a partial denial even NOW from STC that it's a euphemism for (some of?) those 3 groups!