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How Mitt Romney could win the popular vote, but lose the election
Examiner ^ | May 15, 2012 | Ryan Witt

Posted on 05/15/2012 11:45:05 AM PDT by presidio9

In the year 2000 then-Vice President Al Gore won, but in the end he lost. After nearly all the votes were counted, 50,999,897 Americans voted for Al Gore across the country, compared to just 50,456,002 for then-Governor Bush. However, as everyone now knows, what matters is the vote in the Electoral College. After a recount in Florida was denied by the U.S. Supreme Court the Sunshine State was handed to Bush and gave him the victory with 271 electoral votes. Some Democrats still have not fully moved past the 2000 election, but if the current set of polls is right Democrats may have their revenge in 2012.

The national polls currently have a very close race between President Obama and Mitt Romney. The Real Clear Politics average of polls from the last two weeks has Obama at 47.1% compared to 44.9% for Romney. The undecided alone in that poll could put Romney in the lead. The Composite Poll from PoliticalDerby.com is the more accurate measure according to some, as it weighs poll age, momentum, sample type, and margin of error using a proprietary formula. The Composite Poll actually gives Romney a small lead, 45.8% to Obama’s 45.6%.

There are other reasons to suggest Obama may lose the national vote as well. The anti-Obama vote is very strong, and the Obama campaign will likely not even compete hard in many states. As a result,

(Excerpt) Read more at examiner.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
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1 posted on 05/15/2012 11:45:07 AM PDT by presidio9
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To: presidio9

Same article, different election.


2 posted on 05/15/2012 11:47:31 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Do I really need a sarcasm tag? Seriously? You're that dense?)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Nonsense.


3 posted on 05/15/2012 11:49:21 AM PDT by jimfree (In Nov 2012 my 11 y/o granddaughter will have more relevant executive experience than Barack Obama)
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To: presidio9

problem is, if homobama’s numbers nationally continue to trail (big if, of course), then that will start to become a drag on states that are in play. If the GOP goes on the offense in NC, VA, WI, PA, etc., etc., OH, FL...etc., etc....then, that hurts the Dems badly. The campaign actually matters, and the polls matter. It sort of becomes a battle as to who can get the leg up in those swing states, and the national polls play a big role in that....

As of today, homobama has some real problems.

Don’t know what July/August/September/October will bring....but as of today, the Dems have to feel a little sick in the stomach.


4 posted on 05/15/2012 11:49:59 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: presidio9

Romney could win both the popular vote and the electoral and still lose the election with the man we got in ther WH now. He’ll find a way to stay in power. He’ll blame the republicans for inciting violence and political instability for insisting that he step down after the election when he has not yet made things fair in America. I mean, why should he only get 4 years when all the other white ones got eight? We don’t need no stinkin elections.


5 posted on 05/15/2012 11:50:16 AM PDT by tsowellfan
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To: presidio9

If such a scenerio were to occur, it would not automatically give the election to Obama as a Republican led Congress would have to certify the election and Republicans will be in control of Congress when the election is certified.

The GOP members would simply all vote for against Obama, regardless of how their state voted.


6 posted on 05/15/2012 11:50:29 AM PDT by Uncle Slayton
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To: E. Pluribus Unum; presidio9

Forget it. Obama is gonna feel worse than Mondale after this coming election.


7 posted on 05/15/2012 11:54:21 AM PDT by bolobaby
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To: jimfree

Nonsense.
+++++++++

You beat me to it.

Obama will pile up huge margins in CA and NY and several other solid blue states. If Obama loses the popular vote, Romney will be the next President.


8 posted on 05/15/2012 11:54:55 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (TIN)
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To: presidio9
Romney, at most, is tolerated by the base.
He is thought of as ... "at least he's not a Fabian Fascist" ... by most of the Taxed Enough Already members.
This could be the smallest turnout for a Presidential Election, ever.
I no longer have a candidate to vote for.
To me, Romney's just another "Establishment Republican" that will SAY ANYTHING to get elected.
He won't get MY vote!

If we're lucky, we have a "Brokered GOP Convention" and then we'll get an electable candidate.
9 posted on 05/15/2012 11:55:13 AM PDT by Yosemitest (It's simple, fight or die!)
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To: presidio9

Lose the electoral vote while winning the popular vote?

As much as it would suck... that’s the construct under which we operate.


10 posted on 05/15/2012 11:55:30 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... so should voting!)
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To: tsowellfan

The way the kenyan is so “in your face” about everything makes me wonder what he is capable of. I don’t think we have seen the worst of obama and there is real darkness in his soul.


11 posted on 05/15/2012 11:55:30 AM PDT by lodi90
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To: presidio9
Yes,it *could* happen but my gut tells me that this article is the result of wishful thinking on the part of the author.
12 posted on 05/15/2012 11:58:02 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Julia: another casualty of the "War on Poverty")
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To: bolobaby
I think it is going to be an historic landslide.

I wouldn't be surprised to see Nasty Pelosi presiding over no more than two dozen Democrats.

13 posted on 05/15/2012 11:59:13 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Do I really need a sarcasm tag? Seriously? You're that dense?)
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To: presidio9

Gore won the popular vote if you consider 0.51% margin “winning” with no county by county recount, no tabulation of outstanding absentee ballots (in counties where it wouldn’t change the result, they were not included), and no tabulation of the 3,000 Florida Supreme Court approved military ballots.

Now consider, the media leaked an election eve October Surprise report of Bush’s decades old DWI arrest. No one disputes that the news cost him some support.

If it cost him half a percent, it cost him the popular vote.

But the media loves the lie that “Gore really won”. Even in 2004 when Bush got more votes (after also winning back Congress in 2002), they claimed that the Rat “really won”.

Vote tallies don’t matter to Democrats. At all. They will take the count by whatever means necessary. Which is why they insist that middle America is brainwashed to vote against their own interests in voting Republican.


14 posted on 05/15/2012 12:01:25 PM PDT by a fool in paradise (Barack Obama has cut and run from what he called "the right war".)
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To: ConservativeDude

Republicans should feel sick having to try to defend the indefensible Romney to conservatives/Independent. This is why Fox News is not pimping Romney much on the daytime news now.

When it is two bad guys then nothing is worth defending.


15 posted on 05/15/2012 12:02:07 PM PDT by Mozilla (Constitution Party 2012)
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To: ConservativeDude

Didn’t California and Maryland enact laws saying the national popular vote winner would get their electoral votes?


16 posted on 05/15/2012 12:02:36 PM PDT by Perdogg
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To: jimfree
Yeah, and I could be a woman if God had designed my plumbing a little differently.

For the umpteenth time, our founding fathers had the vision to design a system where a president needed both deep support (popular votes) and wide support (electoral votes) to win the office.

In the event of a split decision, the wide support took precedent, as has only happened three times in 56 presidential elections.

In the event of an inconclusive decision in either support test, then the House of Representatives decides. That has happened exactly once.

And, by the way, the only one of these four anomaly elections which even came close to precipitating a crisis was in 2000 and then only because the loser refused to play by the rules and accept the outcome.

17 posted on 05/15/2012 12:03:46 PM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: tsowellfan

Considering they slashed the tires of GOP “get out the vote vehicles” and cut the power to GOP campaign offices and placed militant black supremacists as sentry at polling centers ALL on election day, this election cycle could be the Rats’ most violent offensive ever.


18 posted on 05/15/2012 12:04:04 PM PDT by a fool in paradise (Barack Obama has cut and run from what he called "the right war".)
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To: Yosemitest

The base don’t tolerate Romney. I hope not or else the republican is gone for good and the tea party is dead.


19 posted on 05/15/2012 12:05:45 PM PDT by Mozilla (Constitution Party 2012)
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To: Yosemitest

The base don’t tolerate Romney. I hope not or else the republican party is gone for good and the tea party is dead.


20 posted on 05/15/2012 12:06:31 PM PDT by Mozilla (Constitution Party 2012)
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