OK, it's a little early but I'm getting pumped :)
Posted on 05/16/2012 2:22:05 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
The last Marquette poll, which had Walker leading Barrett by one thin point, made me want to drink whiskey in the daytime. This one makes me want to drink champagne. Yesterday's dKos/PPP poll had nearly identical numbers so it's safe to say this really is the state of the race in Wisconsin at this moment.
I can’t believe I'm asking this, but are we headed for a Scott Walker landslide?
Republicans are more likely to say they are “absolutely certain” to vote on June 5, at 91 percent, than are Democrats and independents, both at 83 percent. In other areas of participation, Republicans also have an advantage. Sixty-two percent of Republicans say that they have tried to persuade someone to vote for or against a candidate, compared to 54 percent among Democrats and 48 percent among independents ...
Another indication of Republican mobilization is a shift in the balance of Republican and Democratic partisanship over the past several months among all registered voters. In January there were two percentage points more Democrats than Republicans in the poll. That rose to eight points in February but has since declined to six points in March, three points in April and now just one point in May. When independents are asked if they feel closer to a party, the balance tips to a one-point Republican advantage in the May data. Such changes might be due to random variation from sample to sample, as the month-to-month changes are not large. However, polling by the Democratic polling firm, Public Policy Polling, finds a similar trend…
Collective bargaining continues to divide the electorate by single digits. Voters prefer to keep the current collective bargaining law rather than return to what it was prior to last year, by a 50-43 percentage point margin. Restoring collective bargaining is supported by 78 percent of Democrats and opposed by 81 percent of Republicans. Among independents, 53 percent want to keep the current law while 38 percent want to return to the previous law.
Last month Walker’s approval rating was 47/51. This month it’s 50/46. Some of that’s due to the good news on jobs in his first year in office and some of it’s surely due to Walker tapping his enormous war chest for the recall effort. But judging from that amazing split among indies on the collective bargaining law, Walker’s message that it’s been a net plus for the state has apparently penetrated. Back when the Madison protests were raging, I think big labor’s dream was to turn the Walker recall election into a referendum on public-employee unions. Then they got some unwelcome facts about the new law and clammed up about it, but it looks like they’re getting their referendum anyway. Hope they enjoy the results.
I don’t know what to make of that trend towards the GOP among the Wisconsin electorate generally, though. Two possibilities. One: Could be that the uptick in Republican identification is being driven partly by the presidential primaries that began in January and rolled on until April. Some of the anti-Obama rhetoric from Romney, Santorum, Gingrich et al. may have nudged fencesitters into the Republican column while O’s sat mostly silent on the sidelines. Two: Note that Democratic identification surged in February, shortly after Democrats announced they had the signatures needed to force a recall election. Maybe that woke up tepid Republicans and fencesitters to the possibility that Walker really might be removed and that labor would treat that as an epochal victory proving the righteousness of PEUs, resulting in a sustained pro-GOP backlash. Or, maybe this is all just the product of standard political forces at work. Walker’s spent a bunch of money to make his case and the national economy under The One continues to reek, so undecideds are reacting predictably. No wonder the DNC has apparently thrown in the towel.
All Romney needs to do now is figure out how to keep that GOP enthusiasm going and he can force O to spend a bunch of money on a state the Democrats never expected they’d need to protect. Speaking of which, Mitt’s favorable rating is now up to 40/44 from 33/46 in April, which was to be expected as hard feelings among Santorum and Gingrich fans after the bitter GOP primary start to soften. Obama will spend the next six months trying to knock it back down again. Quick, media — more stories about bullying that happened 50 years ago, stat.
I want to watch the returns with Ed Shultz live on PMSNBC, that should be quite satisfying
OK, it's a little early but I'm getting pumped :)
Ras has Walker much higher with likely voters. Osodomitula is in lots of trouble!
Looking good, oh yeah. In Wisconsin!
I’ll believe it if/when I see it. As hard as the left has worked to prevent the voter photo ID law from being enacted for this election worries me.
Hey, Look & Listen Freepers & Voters in Wisconsin. Yep, it’s looking good for Governor, Scott Walker to win his recall election in June at this time. But......please....please.....please, do not rest one minute. Act as if your life depended on Walker winning big time, and....it does. So does the life of freedom, liberty education, opportunity in these United States of America.
So.....again, please get everyone you know to vote for Governor Walker, be they Democrat, Republican, Conservative or Independent. Citizens and voters of Wisconsin, you may not realize it, but the future of our great nation rests with a Walker victory in the great state of Wisconsin, come June, 2012. Defeat Public Service Union Labor thugs and their lock-step candidate. And....lay the effective groundwork that will make the POTUS choice in November, 2012, ABO = Anybody But Obama in both Wisconsin and the entire nation!!!
Wisconsin new poll — Walker by 6 ping. Romney/Obama tied.
FReep Mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.
At least the university students are home for the summer and will be much less likely to vote. Teachers will also be on summer vacation and many will be out of town. Then again, the teachers won’t need sick notes this time around and will be able to vote early and often.
The DNC is not putting money into the recall which means fewer union goons will be bussed in from out of state because there wont be enough “walking around money” to make the trip worth it. In other words, Walker already let the “air out of their tires” like the Dems did in elections past in Milwaukee.
Excellent news in Wisconsin. If Scott Walker survives, it bodes well for Republicans in November. If Scott Walker wins 55% or better, than we need to go for it big time.
The carryover of a Walker victory should carry Romney and Thompson to victory in WI.
If Romney wins WI and PA, it’s time to break out the bongs and blow EARLY!!!
Wisconsin last went GOP for president in 1984. The Gipper was the last Republican to carry that state. Walker has it in play this time. He’s a great governor.
Thanks SeekAndFind.
Thompson’s a RINO and won’t be a champion for Conservatism. I’m for Mark Neumann.
Thompson’s a RINO and won’t be a champion for Conservatism. I’m for Mark Neumann.
Sounds logical. Either one beats Baldwin though.
Well, what do you expect when you force people to join unions - loyalty?
Well, what’s the word on Lt. Gov Kleefisch and the Republican Senators who are recall targets?
Well, what’s the word on Lt. Gov Kleefisch and the Republican Senators who are recall targets?
Things look very good for Walker.
I hope the State Senate is not left by the wayside. We’d prob get it back in November even if it’s lost but that would be a real bummer.
State appears to be moving into the tossup category for the POTUS race as it was in 2004.
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