[justiceseeker93]

Presidential elections do tend to have run-ups regardless of the probable victor.

Really? That certainly didn't hold true for the period around Obama's election in 2008.

[steve86]

Yes, it is true that over many elections there tends to be a turn-up mid June into the election. Viewed a chart just the other day showing the four year seasonal component with the crest centered prior to election day. I’m not so sure it’s going to happen this year either.