Posted on 06/08/2012 7:55:29 PM PDT by neverdem
Scott Walker beat the spread.
Sometime politics is like betting on football. It's not just about whether your team wins. It's about whether you beat the spread. The rough calculation going into Tuesday's recall election in Wisconsin was that if Governor Scott Walker won by less than five percentage points, the race would not have any clear national-level implications, but if he won by five points or more, it would. The final result, 53.2% to 46.3%, is a margin of 6.9 percentage points. He beat the spread...
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But we are finally reaching the Thatcher Line: the point at which the government runs out of other people's money. Europe has gone over that line already—Greece maxed out Germany's credit card—and now we are approaching it...
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Wisconsin is the bellwether for that cultural-political shift, but it is not the only example. Two less-heralded votes on Tuesday were held in California, where voters in San Diego and San Jose—hardly bastions of conservatism—approved referendums cutting back on benefits for government employees. In San Jose, the measure was approved by a 70%-30% margin...
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The result is that the Blue Dog Caucus in the House has been reduced from 54 members after the 2008 election to 26 after the 2010 election, and after November, it may be winnowed down to as few as 10 congressmen.
Paul Ryan summed up the trend after the 2010 election, and events are bearing him out: "Reagan Democrats are becoming Reagan Democrats again." Democrats who are not adherents of the socialist hard left are becoming appalled at the out-of-control growth of government, and they will support any politician who has the will and the courage to rein it in.
You tell me if Barack Obama qualifies. And since he doesn't, that is why the result in Wisconsin is...
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Everyone needs to walk - run - run like crazy - away from elite liberals.
There are whispers that the Reagan Democrats in CA may turn the state red in November.
Probably not permanently red, but enough to ditch zero.
What a shame our presumptive nominee will be the recipient of ABOism, which he’s done nothing to earn and certainly isn’t any inspiration for RR Dems.
And some Reagan Democrats are becoming plain old Reagan Republicans.
I chuckle when news readers say, "A state that hasn't gone Republican since 1984".
Well, duh....unless you're Minnesota, you "went Republican" that year.
Cali? No chance. Unless if by “red” you mean solid communist for Obama. Losing by only 10 points ala Bush in 2004 would be a swell result there.
And there are no Reagan democrats (sure as shite not in Cali) and haven’t been for some time, if they haven’t switched by now then they at least became independents.
Walker got independent votes, not democrat votes.
I have been following it very closely and was pleased with the results and so was the stock market. I hope it will set a trend. What most “Republicans” fail to understand is that they only have to appeal to one coherent group of “Conservative” people, and there still plenty left in this country who neither like or appreciate that constant “’Reach across the isle” crap and are tired of it.
The likes of John McCain are a good example and many are in distain of him just because of it. Lets face it what is right is right and the same holds for the truth, the same with the Ten Commandments you just don’t fudge or compromise on any of them and it does not matter what religion you believe in either, as the survival of any society depends on them.
This is opposed to liberals, socialists or by what ever name they go by, in order to attract enough votes they have to appeal to just about any Tom, Dick and Harry may this be homosexuals, mass murderers, thieves, tree-huggers, illegal immigrants etc. This is what sets true conservatives apart and this is what so called Republican still have to learn, in order to win they only have to appeal to one core group. It is just like educating a kid, who may frown upon a strict parent who lays down the law, but deep down in their heart they know that it is in their best of interest and the same psychology followed by Walker has proven to be right on target as fortunately there are still enough people around who can tell right from wrong what got him re-elected.
California is unlikely, though possible if Obama loses by a landslide. George W. Bush got 45% there in 2004, better than he was expected to do.
Like that - will use it from here on out. Thanks.
“And there are no Reagan democrats (sure as shite not in Cali) and haven’t been for some time, if they haven’t switched by now then they at least became independents.”
Exactly! The term is “Reagan democrats” as outdated as “icebox” or “dilly dally”.
The Reagan democrats were ~3 decades ago. I submit a good number of those folks have died and been replaced by a populace that is, on the whole, (much) more liberal then they were.
I think CA has gotten worse in the last 8 years. It would have to be a hell of a landslide. I think Obama would lose Illinois before he lost CA.
I agree that Obama would lose Illinois before he lost California. I lived in Calif. for 14 years, and I’ve lived in Illinois for 12 years. Illinois is a swing state, but Obama will win about 2/3 of the vote, in CA.
WHOA! That's even less likely than Romney winning it. Obama got 61% last time and he's not gonna do better in probably any state than he did last time. No democrat has ever come close to 2/3 in Cali in a Pres election.
I think he'll get 56% or so.
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