Posted on 07/16/2012 2:20:21 PM PDT by Justaham
TalkingPointsMemo today is trumpeting a new McClatchy/Marist poll showing Obama edging Romney on both the economy and foreign policy. The nationwide poll of registered voters shows Obama ahead 2-points, 46-44, on being better able to handle the economy and 6-points, 47-41, on being better able to handle foreign policy. Overall, the poll shows Obama ahead of Romney 48-46.
Of course, the poll's sample undercounts GOP voters. Republicans make up 29% of the poll universe, a number far below their share of the electorate in recent elections. The overall sample is D +7, which would mirror the 2008 electorate. There is no way the composition of the electorate in 2012 is going to mirror 2008. Setting aside that and the fact that the poll is of registered voters--both of which suggest that Romney is probably a couple points ahead--the real story in the poll is Obama's continuing struggle with Independents.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Title should be “Obama is Tanking with Independents”
“The overall sample is D +7, which would mirror the 2008 electorate.”
It’s not 2008 no more, the demographic has changed and this poll is irrelevant.
Thought it said “Obama Struggling With Underpants”.
Yes the 2008 spread was 7 points BUT it was 39/32. This poll using a seven point spread at 36/29 tells you how hard they have to work to get Democrats to answer polls - it must be all that enthusiasm the media is telling us about going to their heads - making them dizzy and unable to come to the phone.
Again, registered voters and a Dem overcount means the real poll has Romney up a couple, just like Ras (who only uses likely voters) says.
Translation: Obama struggling with registered Democrats
Polls should go with the REAL demographic of this country- 40% Conservative, 35% Independent, and 21% Liberal. Bet you’d see some way different numbers then.
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