[KansasGirl]

Fox’s poll of registered voters with Obama +9 makes me nervous.

[mrs9x]

Rasmussen states that historically, the best indicator of an incumbent’s share of the vote is the approval rating of the president.

In every poll, I have seen Obama’s approval rating at around 42-44%. He will not win if those numbers stay the same.

[cableguymn]

I haven’t seen the numbers behind the +9... I’d bet they way over sampled the democrats on that one.

[Nervous Tick]

>> Fox’s poll of registered voters with Obama +9 makes me nervous.

This poll doesn’t make me any more nervous than I already am. :-)

It does make me laugh, though. Barky had a *very* good year in 2008, and in the final tally he didn’t score +9 over a pathetic McCain.

With all the water under the bridge, there is no possible way the big O is that far ahead.

[chaos_5]

Fox’s poll of registered voters with Obama +9 makes me nervous.

That is exactly what it’s supposed to do. Make you nervous so you tune in to hear the talking heads go on about what he’s going to do. Don’t trust any of the networks results, they only care about viewers and $$$

[PA Engineer]

Fox News Poll is a strange one.

They deal with a new category of extremely interested. The internals are well hidden. The sampling is 44% Democrat, 35% Republican, 14% Independent/Other, and 6% Don’t Know/Refused.

The results can be found at Fox News poll: Presidential race, page 13 of 26.

I just don't know what to make of any of this poll. Voter registration has been declining for Democrats, slightly rising for Republicans, and increasing substantially for Independents. This has been reported here on FR. I don't know where they came up with the 44% Democrat sampling rate as representative of the national average. Further, they really decimated the Independent category in their sampling.

[kara37]

Fox polls are just as bad as the rest of the media polls, they maybe even worse. I will always remember the poll they released before the 2004 election. They had Kerry winning by 5 points.

I remember it, because Fox had the pollster on the day after the election. They ask him how he got it so wrong, and told him he had one of the worse poll results. I don't even think MSNBC gave Kerry 5 points.

[sargon]

Fox’s poll of registered voters with Obama +9 makes me nervous.

That's what it was designed to do.

It has zero value as a gauge of public opinion.