The majority of folks from Iowa....in my humble opinion....are independent. Four years later, they are asking more questions this time around.
If we are seen as winning Iowa and being very competitive in Wisconsin, I have a hard time seeing a loss in Ohio. Iowa typically turns red when Ohio is already in the Republican column. The same is certainly true of Wisconsin.
I think this will be a 45 State landslide. With Paul Ryan on board, and Mitt attacking Obama the same way he attacked fellow GOP candidates, I think everything is going to break the Republicans’ way.
Look back at the VA & NJ governor races, then Scott Brown, then 2010 midterms. The political/socio-economic environment that produced these results has not changed much. Certainly not to the demholes advantage. Then look at WI. First the judicial election, then the various recalls. The left pulled out all the stops…union thugs, MSM propaganda….etc, and they still came up short. Since, factor in de-facto amnesty, gay marriage (see Chick-Fil-A), continuing lousy ecomic news (UNEXPECTEDLY!), etc, etc, etc. So the political/socio-economic environment has really gotten worse for the demholes. Now Romney seems to be stepping up his game. And now we have Paul Ryan and a revved up base. Any rational observer knows Obama is in deep poop. All he has to go on is character assassination and vote fraud. The former aided and abetted by his MSMwhores and the latter ignored by his MSMwhores. (Sadly, this may work for him, never underestimate the moron-vote.)
But even morons have their limit. That said, for my very unscientific election predictor - look at the 2010 numbers, then take the 2008 numbers state-by-state. Factor in a 10-point swing in all the “solid/lean-McLoser” (2008) states, then factor in a 5-point swing in all the 2008 toss-up states.
Obama is in trouble.