Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Too good to check: Could Obama lose Illinois?
Hot Air ^ | August 20, 2012 | Ed Morrissey

Posted on 08/20/2012 11:25:54 AM PDT by RobinMasters

Look, I’m a pretty sunny optimist, but this stretches even my credulity. A pollster in Illinois believes that Mitt Romney can win Barack Obama’s home state, thanks to a mediocre performance in Cook County by the incumbent, and outright hostility outstate:

A poll conducted by Illinois-based pollster and political strategist Michael McKeon found Obama leading Republican Mitt Romney by 49 percent to 37 percent in Cook County, the home of Chicago. That puts him ahead by a far thinner margin than expected in a county he should be winning handsomely.

Cook is the most Democratic leaning county in the state. It is also the most populous. …

According to the poll, which surveyed 629 registered voters last week, Obama’s problems are not in Chicago proper, but in suburban Cook County.

In the city of Chicago itself, he retains a 60-29 lead over Romney. But the Republican challenger leads 45-38 in the surrounding areas. Across the county as a whole, Romney leads 43-31 among independent voters, a crucial voting bloc. Romney also holds a 44-38 lead among male voters, and a 53-40 lead among white voters.

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; bho2012; bluestates; il2012; obama

1 posted on 08/20/2012 11:26:02 AM PDT by RobinMasters
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: RobinMasters

Bill Brady almost beat Pat Quinn for governor in 2010. Maybe, but I won’t hold my breath, still too many dead people in the crook county cemetaries


2 posted on 08/20/2012 11:28:02 AM PDT by sharkhawk (Mr Gorbachev, tear down this wall.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: sharkhawk

If nothing else maybe even the threat of it happening will keep extra busloads of voters from coming into WI that day to vote.


3 posted on 08/20/2012 11:29:18 AM PDT by MNlurker
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: RobinMasters

Not looking good. He’s going to need a lot of dead voters and Their pets if he hopes to win.


4 posted on 08/20/2012 11:31:03 AM PDT by matt04
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: RobinMasters

I think they should poll New Jersey, Connecticut, Michigan, and Minnesota.

I have a feeling they will find it much worse for Obama than Illinois.


5 posted on 08/20/2012 11:33:37 AM PDT by barmag25
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: RobinMasters
Half of Illinois's voters (living *and* dead) are welfare parasites and many of the rest are government paycheck parasites.Add to that the trust funded (Bill Ayers,for example) and there's not a hope in hell that Osama would lose it.
6 posted on 08/20/2012 11:33:38 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (The Word Is Out,Harry Reid's Into Child Porn.Release All Your Photos,Harry!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: RobinMasters

I suppose that it’s possible, but I really don’t see an upset in Illinois. I would say that Pennsylvania has more potential for an upset, and even that’s a long-shot.


7 posted on 08/20/2012 11:35:38 AM PDT by Sark
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: RobinMasters

If Obama loses Illinois, I’ll eat Palin’s shorts.


8 posted on 08/20/2012 11:36:09 AM PDT by Tenacious 1 (The Click-&-Paste Media exists & works in Utopia, riding unicorns & sniffing pixy dust.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: RobinMasters

... Illinois-based pollster and political strategist Michael McKeon...

Lenny is doing polls?.............

9 posted on 08/20/2012 11:36:35 AM PDT by Red Badger (Anyone who thinks wisdom comes with age is either too young or too stupid to know the difference....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: RobinMasters
IMO it's very possible that Romney could carry all of the states that W carried in 2000.If that happens then he's in.He might even pick up one or two others.But any talk of a popular vote...or *Electoral* vote...landslide by Romney is delusional.The Rat Party has done too good a job over the last 30 years in terms of open borders,tax legislation,etc,for a Republican...”conservative”,”moderate” *or* “liberal”...to win a Nixon-like or Reagan-like landslide.
10 posted on 08/20/2012 11:39:48 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (The Word Is Out,Harry Reid's Into Child Porn.Release All Your Photos,Harry!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Tenacious 1

Will she be in them at the time?

(Sorry, couldn’t resist.)


11 posted on 08/20/2012 11:41:05 AM PDT by Sigurdrifta
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: MNlurker

If it forces 0bama to spend resources defending Illinois, all the better.


12 posted on 08/20/2012 11:47:15 AM PDT by henkster (We're the slaves of the phony leaders...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: RobinMasters
This should be in Breaking News!!!

Shock Poll: Romney beats Obama in Chicago Suburbs

http://dailycaller.com/2012/08/20/shock-poll-obama-could-lose-illinois/

A poll conducted by Illinois-based pollster and political strategist Michael McKeon found Obama leading Republican Mitt Romney by 49 percent to 37 percent in Cook County, the home of Chicago. That puts him ahead by a far thinner margin than expected in a county he should be winning handsomely.

Feel free to post it there if we are aloud to post daily caller. ; )

13 posted on 08/20/2012 11:51:42 AM PDT by Chgogal (WSJ, Coulter, Kristol, Krauthammer, Rove et al., STFU. TY)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Tenacious 1
If Obama loses Illinois, I’ll eat Palin’s shorts.

My brain hurts

14 posted on 08/20/2012 11:52:06 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (The Word Is Out,Harry Reid's Into Child Porn.Release All Your Photos,Harry!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: RobinMasters
I'd love to believe that BO will lose Illinois.

However, I'm not holding my breath.

The good news hidden in this article is that if Illinois is not a blowout for BO - note, not "close", or a "a loss", just "not a total blowout" - then that's a good sign for Romney.

BO should carry Illinois by 20+ points. If he can't do that, he'll be getting his head handed back to him in a bag, nationwide.

15 posted on 08/20/2012 12:02:34 PM PDT by wbill
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sigurdrifta

It’s a win win evolution of the impossible. :o)

I can’t say more for fear of impromptu speculation of what I mean by innocent FReepers.


16 posted on 08/20/2012 12:04:26 PM PDT by Tenacious 1 (The Click-&-Paste Media exists & works in Utopia, riding unicorns & sniffing pixy dust.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: RobinMasters

What did they find when they polled the cemeteries in Chicago?


17 posted on 08/20/2012 12:24:47 PM PDT by stevem
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: RobinMasters

It all depends on whether the Cook County jail can get all the inmate absentee ballots mailed out soon enough.

That, coupled with whether the Democrat Union Cemetary Workers can copy down all the headstone names correctly.


18 posted on 08/20/2012 12:32:20 PM PDT by Gaffer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Red Badger

... or Derek St. Hubbins ...


19 posted on 08/20/2012 12:48:24 PM PDT by bassmaner (Hey commies: I am a white male, and I am guilty of NOTHING! Sell your 'white guilt' elsewhere.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: bassmaner

David St Hubbins.
Derek Smalls............


20 posted on 08/20/2012 12:50:40 PM PDT by Red Badger (Anyone who thinks wisdom comes with age is either too young or too stupid to know the difference....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: RobinMasters

I heard that Obama ads have been seen in both California and NY. Romney ads too. Since the Romney campaign can’t begin advertising until he formally accepts the nomination, I suppose it’s the Republican PAC’s doing this on behalf of Romney.

In Obama’s case, it must be that the internal polls are showing these states to be in play. Is this possible? Why else would he spend precious campaign cash in NY and California?

Can anyone here confirm that ads are being placed in those states?


21 posted on 08/20/2012 12:55:00 PM PDT by wayoverontheright
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Red Badger

Knew I should have checked before I posted that ... I must have seen Spinal Tap *only* about a hundred times ... :-(


22 posted on 08/20/2012 1:09:44 PM PDT by bassmaner (Hey commies: I am a white male, and I am guilty of NOTHING! Sell your 'white guilt' elsewhere.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: RobinMasters

Most of Illinois is a red state. We just can’t out vote the crooks in Cook county. Check out the voting map of Illinois

http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2010/11/illinois_not_as_blue_as_you_th.html


23 posted on 08/20/2012 1:32:32 PM PDT by vickixxxx
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: barmag25

As a CT resident, I don’t see much support for Obama. The die-hard leftists still support him, however independent and less liberal dems are not nearly as enthusiastic as they were in 08.


24 posted on 08/20/2012 2:07:14 PM PDT by matt04
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: matt04
As a CT resident, I don’t see much support for Obama...

You don't get to Bridgeport much,do you? Or New Haven.

25 posted on 08/20/2012 3:21:26 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (The Word Is Out,Harry Reid's Into Child Porn.Release All Your Photos,Harry!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: Gay State Conservative

Good point. I live in Northern CT and besides the occasional Obama 2012 bumper sticker if you ask, most people do not support him.


26 posted on 08/20/2012 3:40:06 PM PDT by matt04
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: RobinMasters

I could see it happening...Downstate hates Obama, Suburban Independents/Moderate Dems pealing off and suppressed ‘homey’ votes. Yeah it’s possible.


27 posted on 08/20/2012 4:56:05 PM PDT by bjorn14 (Woe to those who call good evil and evil good. Isaiah 5:20)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson