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Poll shocker: Romney up double-digits in Florida
News-Press ^ | August 21, 2012 | Scott Bihr

Posted on 08/21/2012 7:04:17 PM PDT by RobinMasters

In the most shocking survey this election cycle, a poll released today finds Mitt Romney leading President Barack Obama by 14 percentage points among likely Florida voters.

Foster McCollum White & Associates, Baydoun Consulting and Douglas Fulmer & Associates, of Dearborn, Mich., questioned 1,503 likely Florida voters Friday and found Romney, the presumptive Republican presidential nominee, leading Obama 54%-40%. The poll has a margin of error of +/-2.53%.

Although recent Florida polls have been trending slightly in Romney’s direction (+2% and +1% in the most recent surveys), the jaw-dropping 14-point gap is a shocker. Future polls will determine if this result is ahead of the curve or merely an outlier.

In the U.S. Senate race in Florida, the poll found Rep. Connie Mack IV, R-Fort Myers, leading incumbent Bill Nelson 51%-43%.

(Excerpt) Read more at news-press.net ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; billnelson; fl2012; mack; maybealittlebro; romney2012
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To: catnipman
Engage people. Ask what they are thinking, and then gently seize on any doubts and subtly interject facts and statistics to buttress those doubts. For sure, do not waste any time at all with Obamabots. Spend your time only where it might make a difference.

Good advise!

41 posted on 08/21/2012 8:10:54 PM PDT by outofstyle (Down All the Days)
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To: piytar

>> People whose polls are usually only seen by insiders...

Oh! Is that right? These are INSIDE pollsters?

Are you sure? Any supporting evidence?

(I’m not calling you out or anything... just interested.)


42 posted on 08/21/2012 8:11:37 PM PDT by Nervous Tick ("You can ignore reality, but you can't ignore the consequences of ignoring reality.")
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To: profit_guy

Well, that’s still a significant change.


43 posted on 08/21/2012 8:12:01 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: taildragger
"Dick Morris has hinted of seeing internals from an un-named firm, hush-hush-bla-bla-bla, that Romney is doing fine etc in his estimation... I wonder if these are the guys..."

This is 'the guy':


Neil Newhouse
Public Opinion Strategies

44 posted on 08/21/2012 8:15:38 PM PDT by StAnDeliver ("So, a Mormon and a Catholic walk onto an aircraft carrier...")
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To: Eccl 10:2

You need to add:

8) Greatly reduce legal immigration - ending all illegal immigration tomorrow would still leave a million-plus pro-Democrat legal immigrants per year. To avoid demographic destruction, the GOP must end mass immigration.


45 posted on 08/21/2012 8:17:04 PM PDT by Aetius
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To: piytar
People whose polls are usually only seen by insiders...

I wonder what method these insiders' polls use that makes them more reliable than Rasmussen or Mason-Dixon, for example?

46 posted on 08/21/2012 8:22:39 PM PDT by Ken H
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To: Nervous Tick
Who the heck is “Foster McCollum White & Associates, Baydoun Consulting and Douglas Fulmer & Associates”?

Perhaps you know them better as

FMCW&A,BCDF&A /sarc>

(The lawfirm that got its name when the cat walked across the typewriter.)

Cheers!

47 posted on 08/21/2012 8:41:42 PM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: RobinMasters

If it seems like an outlier, it probably is an outlier. If Barry thought he was down double-digits in Florida, he’d be living there.


48 posted on 08/21/2012 8:43:06 PM PDT by TonyInOhio (Send Sherrod Brown packing - www.JoshMandel.com)
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To: grey_whiskers

ROFLMAO!


49 posted on 08/21/2012 8:45:44 PM PDT by Nervous Tick ("You can ignore reality, but you can't ignore the consequences of ignoring reality.")
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To: Chgogal

We don’t like Bambi here. I live in the only county McGovern carried in Florida, home of UF. Will be interesting to see if Bambi takes it this year but no way he takes Florida. It is permeating like 1980 which I remember very clearly.


50 posted on 08/21/2012 8:46:50 PM PDT by libbylu
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To: RobinMasters
I'm not surprised. I just started looking at the Rasmussen cross-tabs, and I'm beginning to see some potential patterns that need more analysis before I report.

That said, a first glance suggest that Ohio looks like Florida. If true, then the next "poll shocker" may come from there.

-PJ

51 posted on 08/21/2012 8:50:04 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too ( It doesn't come naturally when you're not natural born.)
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To: RobinMasters

Obama’s chickens...are coming home to roost.......


52 posted on 08/21/2012 8:57:17 PM PDT by Intolerant in NJ
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To: sushiman

“Maybe , but we have to find a way to KEEP the majority in both Houses for the forseeable future . Not much good if we are going to hand it back to the left in 4 or 8 years . Been that route time and time again.”

Yeah, look at the golden opportunity we gave the RINOS in 2000 and what they did with it. We have to start right now to get rid of all the people of the “Boner Ilk.” We would not have a problem in 4 or 8 years if these AH’s ever delivered on their promises and tried not to be like Democrat Lite. We have to be ever vigilant for signs of the Republicans chrome plating turds and telling us that prosperity is just around the corner.


53 posted on 08/21/2012 9:02:47 PM PDT by vette6387
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To: RobinMasters

this poll is an outlier...nice but still an outlier

way way outta whack with all other recent FL polls

just checking the demographics and this poll leaned heavily white non hispanic and older

count me on record it is wishful thinking

ya’ll can rub my nose in it later


54 posted on 08/21/2012 9:05:05 PM PDT by wardaddy (this white hair don't cover up my redneck......)
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To: libbylu
Gainesville went McGovern? Wow! My neice goes to UF. She's voting Romney though. ; )
55 posted on 08/21/2012 9:05:30 PM PDT by Chgogal (WSJ, Coulter, Kristol, Krauthammer, Rove et al., STFU. TY)
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To: RobinMasters

This poll polls Likely Voters therefore is one of the more credible ones.


56 posted on 08/21/2012 9:06:10 PM PDT by arrogantsob (Obama MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: Aetius

“Greatly reduce legal immigration - ending all illegal immigration tomorrow would still leave a million-plus pro-Democrat legal immigrants per year. To avoid demographic destruction, the GOP must end mass immigration.”

The time has come to essentially “end immigration”, period.

Enough are here for 50 years into the future, at least.

Let assimilation happen, if it’s even possible anymore.

We don’t need any more, for a while. Perhaps an exception could be made for Caucasian South Africans and [former] Rhodesians who will soon be facing genocide. We could use those folks.

But that’s about it.


57 posted on 08/21/2012 9:08:18 PM PDT by Road Glide
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To: Political Junkie Too
"That said, a first glance suggest that Ohio looks like Florida. If true, then the next "poll shocker" may come from there."

Photobucket

58 posted on 08/21/2012 9:26:21 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: Strategerist

I wonder why that is? Could it be the numbers they are getting are extremely alarming for the messiah?


59 posted on 08/21/2012 9:42:04 PM PDT by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life's tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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To: Signalman
does anyone know anyone who’s going to vote for Obama?

Yes...but I do live in Austin (aka. little Berkeley)

60 posted on 08/21/2012 10:04:06 PM PDT by rhinohunter (DraftWalkerNow)
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