Posted on 09/07/2012 6:30:38 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
As per yesterday, Thursday September 6th, Romney has taken the lead in most National Polls and the President is behind. You can follow the line graph on Realclearpolitics.com and see this is the first time in months Romney has lead. This is also the latest in the trend of Mitt Romney making up ground and the president losing voters. I heard it said once to “not look at numbers but look at trends”, going into an election. Romney has been steadily climbing and has passed Barack Obama. As of today the RCP betting line has Obama at 58% to win the election. This number had been as high as 70% in the past as well.
In the latest polls from 24 hours ago, Rasmussen has Romney up by 3% and Gallup has Obama by 1%. Gallup used Registered voters which is far less accurate and historically distort the outcome by about 2-4% in Democrats favor. The Likely voter polls, which are more accurate of the outcome, have all leaned Romney for the past week.
And today, yet another poor jobs report is coming out as I type this and gas has risen in price the last 4 weeks straight to over $4 a gallon yet again.
Hope, Change and wait, wait and wait I guess.
But this goes with what was said on FR - he waited until AFTER the convention to land a hard punch. Makes sense, at least to me.
Yep. I'm in NC.
Remember that in 2008, during the biggest landslide for the Democrats since '64, with an unpopular sitting (R) president, and an unpopular (R) challenger ..... NC only went for Obama by a few tenths of a percent. A real "Dead Heat", as it were.
Breathless Punditry aside, Romney wins NC this year, going away.
I have lived in PA since 86 and I can say BeST Obama can hope for is a squeaker if Romney/Ryan bring the fight here.
That will only happen if it’s pretty clear the overall election is in the bag. PA in 2012 is NOT PA of 2008. Republican turnout will not be depressed, you don’t have a sitting governor using state resources and campaigning for Obama etc etc as well as voter iD.
PA absolutely can go Romney if they fight for it, Obama has completely disenfranchised the blue dog dems.
I would not bank the win on PA but the idea PA can’t be won by a republican is silly. I know so many life long democrats who are
Openly stating they won’t vote for this turd it’s
AmaZing and so far I have found one swing voter who voted for Obama last time stating they are going to do so again.
Agreed. This election is going to be a diaster for the Democrats.
Obama has no chance in NC. Or Fl. Only state in south he might hold would be VA, he has no chance of any other. Southern state.
I think 2010 was the tipoff.
Yesterday, Rasmussen’s Approval Index moved back to a -19 for Obama (difference between strongly approve and strongly disapprove). That’s encouraging, but even more encouraging was the 46-54 numbers for total approve vs. total disapprove. These numbers are currently going the wrong way for Obama, especially considering the movement is taking place during the Dem convention.
Dewey and the rest of the Repubs were laughing at Truman's numbers all through the Summer/Fall of 1948 to November 8, 1948. Truman ended up laughing the hardest especially after reading the Chicago Tribune.
Truman blanketed the nation with ads and whistlestop tours while the Dewey team sat in the background smiling at the poll numbers favoring the Republicans, then reality hit the GOP in the face.
“...I know so many life long democrats who are
Openly stating they won’t vote for this turd...”
I have similar experiences as well. I’ve lived in PA all my life, watched my Philly neighborhood get forcibly turned into a Ghetto, moved out to the suburbs, saw the Dims flee the utopian city they’ve created and bring their politics up into the burbs to begin f***ing up those areas.
People lost their homes, their jobs, their life savings, and they’re blaming it on the Dems. I do my best to enhance and strengthen that idea wherever I can.
I’ve changed a lot of minds already, and I will continue to work on that raw nerve wherever the opportunity presents itself.
PA is a center-right state, with the exception of Philly and Pittsburgh. We are a gun-owner friendly, middle-class, working class state with people that still believe in the American Dream - and we despise people who mess with that Dream when it becomes clear that they are doing so.
If it wasn’t for the corrupt thug b*stard Dem fraud machine in the two big cities, I’d bet that PA would be reliably Republican in most elections.
Maybe I’m reading my people wrong...but I don’t think so.
There’s a lot of old-school rural Dems who don’t realize what that party has become. They need to be spoken to and educated.
Now if only Intrade would adjust to these polls, 0 is currently at 58% odds to win re-election.
[So why is OBummer ahead 58-42% on InTrade?]
Look at the trend. The incumbent is alway favored to win. Especially one that went into power with the massive (though undeserved) popularity of Obama. The trend is away from Obama and this convention and latest disastrous jobs data certainly won’t help him.
Obama can’t stand anyone confronting him on his positions. Romney will push Obama’s “buttons” and Obama will say and do Stupid stuff.
Your fingers to G*ds ears...
The 2010 mid-terms were a BLOODBATH for the Dems up here..NH citizens know the job's not done until Nov 6th.
The 2010 mid-terms were a BLOODBATH for the Dems up here..NH citizens know the job's not done until Nov 6th.
And George Soros would never take a few thousand from his vast fortune to influence the numbers at Intrade...
George Soros.
Karl Rove hits big: The birth of a mega-donor http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0712/78466.html#ixzz25paXbbg7http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0712/78466.html
GOP SuperPacs, Koch Brothers & Karl Rove Pledge Spending $1 Billion To Defeat President Obama
http://3chicspolitico.com/2012/05/30/gop-superpacs-koch-brothers-karl-rove-pledge-spending-1-billion-to-defeat-president-obama/
How Karl Rove’s Billionaire-Backed Super PAC Will Be Election Game Changer
http://www.forbes.com/sites/clareoconnor/2012/04/27/how-karl-roves-billionaire-backed-super-pac-will-be-election-game-changer/
Virginia going to Obama depends on how many fools split the Republican vote and vote third party.
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