Posted on 09/08/2012 6:53:36 PM PDT by profit_guy
Friday, September 07, 2012
This article offers a combined view of the results from 11 key states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney now attracts 46% of the vote, while President Obama earns 45%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.
In 2008, Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%, virtually identical to his national margin.
Due to the Democratic leanings of these states, a Romney lead in the 11 swing states would almost certainly result in victory for the GOP. However, Obama is likely to enjoy a bounce from his convention this week, and the results could shift significantly.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
If you study past elections, every incumbent president that got reelected was leading his opponent by a much greater margin than Obama is now. The guy is not popular and he’s on the defensive no matter how MSNBC and friends try to spin it.
I live in PA, a Democrat state for the last 20 years. While I saw loads of Obama bumper stickers and lawn signs in 2008, I don’t see any now. If anything, I see more anti-Obama stickers. My analysis is that the Democrats are not popular in this state after Fast Eddie got done with it.
Even WI, another Democrat stronghold, could flip. I think the DNC dug their own grave there with the union debacle.
Romney gets 1% of the black vote in that poll.
Romney should be much higher in the polls than he is because of who is in the WH.
It’s his to lose. You’re right about that.
Nationally, only 26% of Independents think the country is on the “Right Track”.
Obama is running ads in California. I’m not sure why, but it’s interesting.
BO is running ads in CA because CA is IN PLAY.
Holy blank! If California and its 55 electoral votes are not in the bag for Obama, he’s in very big trouble.
THAT is what dreams are made of....
Holy blank! If California and its 55 electoral votes are not in the bag for Obama, he’s in very big trouble.
I predict every singlr polling group will agree to keep the two neck and neck regardless of what they actually know.
Ok, clue me in: does Ras simply consolidate x number of voters from each state into one big pool? Or-—not being able to access the internals cause I’m not a member-—are there individual state breakouts?
Conservative majority, Americans for Prosperity and the RNC are running anti-Obama ads.
I’m glad I have TIVO so I can skip the pro Kenyan ads!
Yeah. The fact that they are so close is discouraging.
Obama is clearly less qualified than Romney in every way and has a totally miserable track record. His foreign policy is aweful and he has expanded the attacks of the Bush Administration on Americans personal freedoms.
He should be much lower in the polls than he is.
Romney should have his PACs going after Obama on EVERYTHING while he and Ryan concentrate on Obama’s performance.
Obama SHOULD loose points in a debate as well as Biden.
Another thing of note, Obama is set to lose the advertising race, the first incumbent president to do so.
That’s a big deal to lose in fundraising to Romney when Obama set records in 2008.
The Bumble Bee bunch
Obama has largely owned the airwaves, but that will change now. If that has no impact within 3 weeks, then I would start to be concerned since we would have to rely upon the debates.
Here’s some more data
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html
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