Posted on 09/11/2012 11:51:50 AM PDT by C19fan
For the first time since January, Democrats now lead Republicans on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending September 9, 2012.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 44% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Democrat in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 42% would choose the Republican instead. The last time the Democrats held a lead over the Republicans was in late January.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Nobody watched it. Did you see the ratings? Nobody watched it.
Just wait until the $4 per gallon gas price starts to reverberate?
I see no evidence of this on the campaign trail in the grassroots effort.
they are willing to give Obama the benefit of the doubt for 4 more years.
It is just sooo disturbing that people are so easily fooled. The possibility of 4 more years of the Obama administration and I will never recognize the place I was born. And “I told you so” won’t bring anyone satisfaction. The damage will be done. God help us.
My understanding from prior cycles is that the GOP hardly ever wins the Congressional generic, and wins seats despite being up to 5 pts down (or more)
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I think you’re right on this.
Byron York may have been right. With record levels of pessimism about the economy and long-term job prospects, lots of Americans may be thinking “I’m gonna need those government benes to survive. And the Dems are more likely to deliver”.
Self-perpetuating cycle. If you keep voting for the Dems, IT WILL NEVER GET ANY BETTER!!!!
If that was true, then Carter would of won in 1980.
The bounce they are getting speaks for itself. Yes, the radicalism was on display when the networks weren't broadcasting, but this is the stuff that fires up the true believers. A party needs that stuff. The Dem's delivered to their base, we did not In prime time the Democrat's hit home runs each night. Moochelle, Clinton and Hussein each helped their cause tremendously. I'm sorry, I don't like saying this at all but it is what it is. Pretending they didn't do better than us guarantees we screw up again next time.
Our convention was good too.
Our convention had a few good moments, but there was little excitement on the floor. Our convention was divided due to the numerous Paultard delegates and their invited guests - all of whom are rooting against our own party's nominee. These paultards were nothing but disruptors who served to put a damper on the entire convention. Additionally our speakers gave uninspired speeches. Many were technically good, but they just lacked fire. The Romney campaign wanted to avoid being too harsh on Obama and that really diminished any chance that real energy could build on the floor. Attacking Obama aggressively is what the base needed to hear (even some of the paultards could have cheered that), instead we got a bunch of mush.
The media did their usual business during both. It is part of the landscape of the political season, so hopefully our guys step it up.
On our current pace, we are going to lose. It is completely obvious. Now is not the time to dismiss bad polling (and virtually all of it is bad right now). The time now is to reassess what is going wrong and right the ship. Part of that requires we aggressively attack Obama, his cronies and his record. I mean, attack with fire, with energy, with emotion. All of that is lacking right now.
How much were the Democrats over-sampled in this poll?
The only way The Disaster can be shown to be winning is 1) over sample Democrats, 2) under sample Independents, 3) over sample women, 4) poll “adults” or “registered voters”. And we don’t even know from where they pick the people polled. Even with all that they can only eck out a small lead for The Disaster.
Certainly the American voter is monumentally stupid, as the election of The Disaster showed, but that stupidity is being hard pressed by reality to keep up the 2008 levels.
Wrong again. Almost all the speeches were excellent. Even Romney's got very good reviews even here on FR (and we're just about the harshest audience.)
The convention did what it was supposed to do...rally the base around the candidate. Conventions don't do anything other than that. If you think the Dem convention fired up anyone outside of the far left you don't get it.
You are too centered on the conventions and the post-bounces.
There's LOTS more ahead.
Youre gonna look pretty dumb in about 2 months. Obama is going to lose -bank on it. You just sound silly way overreacting to the DNC.
Youre gonna look pretty dumb in about 2 months. Obama is going to lose -bank on it. You just sound silly way overreacting to the DNC.
Byron York was mesmerized by Bob Kerrey’s BS lies about not liking Obamacare.
LLS
OButtHead’s bounce is already collapsing rapidly as we speak. Rasmussen confirms this with today’s tracking poll:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2929481/posts
How have all recent elections gone? 2010? Wisconsin? Local races in general? Ballot initiatives on social and tax issues? Look at actual elections not polls 2 months out
I am not saying we ARE going to lose, I am saying that is the path we are on. How hard is this to understand? I am warning about the same things people like Ingraham, Trump, etc, are warning about. The campaign the GOP is running sucks. It's bad. It isn't working. Even with the media bias we should be 5 points up at this point. The economy is in AWFUL shape, gas is 4 bucks a gallon, the debt just crossed 16 trillion, and we are behind. The fact that we are behind right now by 3-4 points in the RCP polling average is proof enough the campaign is failing. Now lets right the ship and win.
Byron York may have been right. With record levels of pessimism about the economy and long-term job prospects, lots of Americans may be thinking “I’m gonna need those government benes to survive. And the Dems are more likely to deliver”.
I never thought of that but that might just be true. If you have been out of work for a few years and know the Democrats continue to throw money at the unemployment “bank”, you may want to stick with that then risk Republicans who want to treat you as grown ups and cut you off. I seriously hope this is not happening and people are that crazy.
i believe that poll also showed Independents favoring Romney by 14pts though CNN has release no other data on the poll (search Freep)....according to an ABC/WaCompost this poll released this morning obozo was +1 in likely voters, +6 in registered voters- of course that poll gave the rats a 10% advantage (33% rats/23%GOP)...
If Romney will grow some balls, get belligerent, and attack the President’s failed policies, his political stances, and questionable background he might have a chance. Way too many weak spots to attack to just be a nice guy and lose like McCain did.
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