I AM WAS
Posted on 09/11/2012 12:56:41 PM PDT by Arthurio
On the days of September 8th and 9th, Gravis Marketing, a non-partisan research company, and Capitol Correspondent conducted a survey of 2,238 likely voters in the state of Virginia. The survey covered the same questions as the August survey, which comprised questions regarding the presidential election, Virginia’s senate race, the direction of the United States, and the effect of a libertarian candidate on Romney and Obama. Overall, from August to the most recent survey, Obama’s 44% to 40% lead has turned into a Romney lead of 49% to 44% in the most recent poll. Interestingly, Obama didn’t lose votes, rather Romney gained previously unsure voters or voters that previously planned on voting for a different candidate.
Who is Ahead in the Senate?
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Gravis Florida poll
Mitt Romney 48.0% (48.3%)
Barack Obama 46.7% (45.1%)
Other/Unsure 5.2% (6.6%)
It’s bad for Obama. They are doing it for two reasons. Leftist leanings of course, but secondly they are doing it to create the image of a horserace for “news”. It’s not close. Romney is way ahead. At the ground floor I see it every day. Even as anecdotal as stickers and signs and such - it’s not even remotely close. I think a potato could beat Obama this time around.
What is it with everyone’s spelling these days? I would feel better if the pollster could at least spell the Democrat running for Senate in Virginia correctly. Geez.
Good news/Bad news.
Good news: the 43% for 0bama appears to be a ceiling for him. It’s pretty clear that he has difficulty getting any permanent traction above 43% nationally, and in particular in the battleground states.
Bad news: 43% is also his floor. Which means that 43% of likely voters are stupid enough, corrupt enough, or just plain lazy enough, to vote for the WORST American president in a century no matter what. And in some states such as California, New York and Massachussetts, that number is well over 50%.
I think you could have a video of 0bama simultaneously selling drugs to a 10 year old girl, engaging in a sex act with Reggie Love, while accepting a bribe at midnight in the basement of the Chinese Embassy, and he wouldn’t lose any of that 43%. And that number seems to increase every decade, which does not bode well for the long-term prospects for our country.
Yes, but the judging of polls can be quite definitive now.
1) if it isn’t likely voters, dismiss it.
2) State polls matter more than national polls, particularly swing states.
3) If D’s, R’s and I’s are all above 30%, it’s probably a fair enough sample but, still, watch the breakdown.
4) If incumbents have a favorable rating below 50%, that’s trouble for them. If it’s below 45%, that’s big trouble.
Apply these rules to every poll that comes out and dismiss the rest and you will have a much more accurate idea of the way this election is turning out.
Your right, but its what it is, I won’t backpeddle!
Romney will win Ohio.
I AM WAS
Anybody know if the Washington Post is pushing the macaca issue against Allen? Or are they letting bygones be bygones????
Anybody know if the Washington Post is pushing the macaca issue against Allen? Or are they letting bygones be bygones????
Anybody know if the Washington Post is pushing the macaca issue against Allen? Or are they letting bygones be bygones????
The pollsters, as usual, discard non-responses ~ and admit as much by noting Romney's apparent climb among previously uncommited voters.
That means they went back to see how many non-response responses they had that actually meant something else ~ like: "You kids, get off my lawn".
The problem with democracy is that the parasites are stupid and greedy and eventually kill their host.
THE FIVE STAGES OF GRIEF FOR ROMNEY SUPPORTERS
Denial: "The polls are all juiced. Everyone knows that... except for this one favorable poll, right here!"
Anger: "Just STFU and get with the damn program, you miserable, wretched, ungrateful conservatives! You're lucky Mitt even allows the scurvy likes of you to vote for him in the first place!"
Bargaining: "Okay, look, God: there’s still those three debates yet to come, right...?"
Depression: "Oh, lord... every time he speaks now, I keep hearing John McCain, instead..." [::fumbles blindly for kitchen knife::]
Acceptance: "Buying a shotgun, generator and lots of canned food. Heading up into the hills. Don't try to find me."
LOL!
Romney also leads Barry with independents by 14 pts. That is huge.
Interesting. So 0bama did get a convention bounce in VA. A negative one since it turned off a whole lot of people who may have otherwise been open to voting for him.
Didn’t Wexler of FL get caught doing this too?
He didn’t have the good conscience to resign, if I recall correctly.
Yes, he can lose Ohio since CO and WI look to be flipping. So lose 18 in Oh and pick up 19 in CO and WI
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