Well, I don’t know what region you’re in but in my neck of the woods, tidewater, seen a whole lot more interest in willard of late. But it’s been like the last week to 10 days.
As for tim kaine, I’ve seen no interest in his campaign as compared to George Allen. I think I’ve seen 2 signs and stickers to a deluge of signs for George Allen. And that doesn’t surprise me. Even with the macaca comment, what I thought was a notsohotso campaign, and a well-known and qualified opponent, George still only lost by a thin margin in 2006. It wasn’t a repudiation, it was an eked out win by Jim Webb.
Upshot: I think George Allen will win absent he or his campaign pulling something really stupid, or a complete diaster for willard that suppresses turnout.
As for the Presidential race, it’s still too close to say but I think this poll is about right with regards to the trend but maybe a tad overstated for willard. I do think it’s beginning to trend willard. That could change. But I think that ultimately it’ll break hard one way or the other. VA isn’t going to be a 2 point victory for one of the candidates in my view.
He's fairly typical of the black leadership class here, so when it comes to state affairs these guys generally go along with longer jail sentences, strong execution policy, low taxes, and fiscally sound state financial management over and beyond what the constitution requires.
Alas, the other problem also involves Democrats ~ that's the crowd in Arlington and Alexandria who are literally tied into the national Democrat party through their employment ~ politics, publishing and Congressional staffers and their friends.
Usually these guys end up working at cross purposes to the Virginia black leadership elite, and that's where Republicans can move in strong and do whatever their hearts desire. We are having such a time now. Unfortunately we have a Governor who is simply not able to take advantage of this since he has no long term goals ~ just short term stuff (Toll bridges, toll roads, etc.)
While there's a chance the black turnout in VA is going to be lower than normal, the crazoid national Democrats will probably all show up this time.
Ordinarily you could push for a higher Socon turnout to offset that, but not this time. This has happened over and over in this state. Probably why the Romney crowd has minimized their contact with the "broad masses" (as they might put it) because all they can do is PO the VA Socons more and more.
The Obama crowd seems to have come to the same conclusion as well.
The result is we have a very evenly divided electorate that can, and has, gone either way, or both ways simultaneously, and both major campaigns are afraid to come here lest they lose more votes ~