Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Here Comes $10,000 Gold...
TBI ^ | 9-16-2012 | Sam Ro

Posted on 09/16/2012 4:48:28 PM PDT by blam

Here Comes $10,000 Gold...

Sam Ro
Sep. 16, 2012, 5:56 PM

"It has never been easy to have a rational conversation about the value of gold," wrote Ken Rogoff in a 2010 piece titled $10,000 Gold?.

But with the national debt passing $16 trillion and the Federal Reserve launching a unlimited quantitative easing, the gold bulls will increasingly tell you that the sum of their fears are coming true.

In this week's issue of Barron's, Jim McTague spoke to Guggenheim Partners Scott Minerd:

Hedging against the most pessimistic case without crippling the upside potential of a better or even miraculous case appears to be as unsolvable as the proverbial Gordian knot. Alexander the Great "solved" the intellectually challenging knot riddle by severing it with his sword. Scott Minerd, chief investment officer of Guggenheim Partners, offers a more reasoned but equally simple solution to the hedging conundrum: gold. In extreme circumstances—like miscalculations regarding inflation by the Federal Reserve—the metal could hit $10,000 per troy ounce, he asserts. Thursday, after the Fed disclosed its latest financial-stimulus scheme, the metal rose about 2% to $1,768.

The ultra bullish forecasts for gold aren't without precedent. Applying the "Pareto principle" – the idea is that 80 percent of the effects of something come from just 20 percent of the causes – Erste Group analyst Ronald-Peter Stoeferle argued that we could see $8,300 gold by the spring of 2015.

Citi's Tom Fitzpatrick also has an extremely bullish gold scenario out there. "We see no reason why this gold trend cannot perform as well as the last bull market in gold between 1970 and 1980," he told King World News. "If you replicated that move exactly, it will take gold to $6,300."

Inflation and technical pattern aren't the only ways to get to extremely high

(snip)

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: commodities; gold; qe3; recession
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-35 next last
Here We Go Again.

How long has it been since we've heard predictions of $10k gold?

1 posted on 09/16/2012 4:48:32 PM PDT by blam
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Jet Jaguar
Here's anotjher:

Gold Stocks Just Began a Huge Run Higher /a>

2 posted on 09/16/2012 4:50:27 PM PDT by blam
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: blam

Here comes inflation.
Obama will screw the very people he says he cares about, while demonizing Romney as a rich wall street fat cat that aint “down wid de struggle”


3 posted on 09/16/2012 4:56:12 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jiggyboy; PA Engineer; blam; TigerLikesRooster; Cheap_Hessian; CJinVA; Jet Jaguar; ...

Goldbug ping


4 posted on 09/16/2012 4:57:18 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 election.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Jet Jaguar

I haven’t done any panning/sluicing in what seems like forever...


5 posted on 09/16/2012 5:01:08 PM PDT by djf (Political Science: Conservatives = govern-ment. Liberals = givin-me-it.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: blam

I’ve invested *heavily* in the precious metals of brass & lead. Are people going to throw gold bars and silver coins at zombie looters and gangs? LOL. Shoot them, stack them like cordwood and burn them. Or just let the buzzards and maggots feast.


6 posted on 09/16/2012 5:02:53 PM PDT by Carriage Hill (Liberals, democrats & unions - and all leftist scum - are like bacteria: attack, attack, attack!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: carriage_hill
By 2015 Hard Commodity Prices Will Have Collapsed
7 posted on 09/16/2012 5:04:18 PM PDT by blam
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: blam

Never gonna happen. Why not? Because once it gets to 2500-2600, I’ll give in and start buying. Whereupon, gold will instantly drop back to the 400-500 range. (Prior results are not indicative of future losses, but come on, now, already!)


8 posted on 09/16/2012 5:04:18 PM PDT by Tanniker Smith (Rome didn't fall in a day, either.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: blam

If gold goes to $10K, what will a gallon of milk be..


9 posted on 09/16/2012 5:06:08 PM PDT by Track9 (Ego undermines moral courage.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: carriage_hill

Your ‘brass & lead’ will become currency too. 9mm’s instead of dollars. Imagine that? A currency that doubles as ammo. Now THAT’s buying power. Literally.


10 posted on 09/16/2012 5:07:07 PM PDT by GeorgeWashingtonsGhost
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: blam

If the people pushing you to buy gold really believed it was going to increase by 600% or more, they wouldn’t be selling it at $1600.


11 posted on 09/16/2012 5:09:14 PM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (Never believe anything in politics until it has been officially denied.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: blam

Ammo (brass/lead) will always be “in style” and quite fungible. I can see some of the other commodities taking a dump, though.


12 posted on 09/16/2012 5:09:36 PM PDT by Carriage Hill (Liberals, democrats & unions - and all leftist scum - are like bacteria: attack, attack, attack!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: blam

Gold will be worth nothing if there is no currency to exchange with in value. We are headed for that world.


13 posted on 09/16/2012 5:10:44 PM PDT by bmwcyle (Corollary - Electing the same person over and over and expecting a different outcome is insanity)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Track9
"If gold goes to $10K, what will a gallon of milk be.."

About $22.50 a gallon. (That's 5.6 times @ $4.00 a gallon presently)

14 posted on 09/16/2012 5:12:54 PM PDT by blam
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: blam
I called a bottom on Newmont NEM at 44.73 and BEGGED, BEGGED my bro to buy some.

Photobucket

Photobucket

"Ahhh, that technical analysis is a load of crap."

44.5 > 57 in a month. Tell me you've seen a more textbook double bottom than June > August.

15 posted on 09/16/2012 5:14:35 PM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (This stuff we're going through now, this is nothing compared to the middle ages.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: blam
How long has it been since we've heard predictions of $10k gold?

Can't say I ever remember reading gold going to $10K. On the other hand, just a few months ago I remember reading the economy is doing great and gold is going sub $1K...

16 posted on 09/16/2012 5:14:59 PM PDT by EVO X
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: carriage_hill

Gitcher’sef a cuppla’ hogs.


17 posted on 09/16/2012 5:22:11 PM PDT by pingman ("Human history seems logical in afterthought, but a mystery in forethought." (Strauss & Howe))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: blam

Exactly.. and at that price, I would think society will have collapsed.


18 posted on 09/16/2012 5:23:22 PM PDT by Track9 (Ego undermines moral courage.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: pingman

4-legged, 2-wheeled or 12ga kind?


19 posted on 09/16/2012 5:25:39 PM PDT by Carriage Hill (Liberals, democrats & unions - and all leftist scum - are like bacteria: attack, attack, attack!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: blam

“Here We Go Again.

How long has it been since we’ve heard predictions of $10k gold?”

About as long as it’s been since we’ve heard predictions of Gold collapsing back to $600, from the crowd who missed out on the big run-up.


20 posted on 09/16/2012 5:33:01 PM PDT by ScottfromNJ
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-35 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson