Posted on 09/16/2012 10:06:31 PM PDT by GR_Jr.
PPP's newest Virginia poll finds Barack Obama leading by 5 points, 51- 46. Obama's lead is unchanged from a month ago when we found him leading 50-45 in the state. He may not be seeing a bump from the convention in the state at this point, but he was in a pretty good position to begin with. Virginia continues to look like it may be something of a firewall state for Obama. PPP has now polled it 9 times this cycle, and President Obama has led by at least 4 points on all 9 of the polls. He's been ahead by 5 points, 5 points, 8 points, and 8 points over the course of the four surveys we've conducted in 2012. “Barack Obama continues to look like the definite favorite in Virginia,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “And it’s hard to imagine a scenario where Obama would win Virginia but lose the election.” Obama has a slight advantage over Romney (49-47) in terms of who voters trust more on the economy and a wider (51-45) edge over Romney on foreign policy. Only 41% of voters say they approve of how Romney reacted to the situation in Libya this week while 48% express disapproval. Obama's leading 56-42 with women, 91-7 with African Americans, 63-30 with other nonwhite voters, and 56-37 with young voters. Romney has a 51-45 advantage with men, a 57-40 one with whites, and a 54-43 lead with seniors. Romney is slightly ahead with independents, 47-45, but Obama's party is more unified with Democrats supporting him 95-4 while Republicans go for Romney by a slightly weaker 92-7 margin. There has been a lot of talk about the possibility of Virgil Goode tipping the election
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
Didn’t PPP have Walker losing the recall election?
Which is a joke. Almost Rey other poll shows Indie numbers are WAY up for Romney-—10-15 %-—so once again PPP jimmies the numbers to get he desired result.
This is a simple rounding error that sometimes happens when each of the component numbers have been rounded off to whole numbers then added together.
An example-three results of 15.6%, 30.8%, and 53.6% add up to 100.0%, but if you round the three numbers to 16%, 31%, and 54%, then they add up to 101%.
It's common, and not evidence of fakery or incompetence.
Except everyone else-—even the polls that have Romney losing-—give him a assize advantage among indies. As usual, PPP jimmying the results-—but they are getting a little more sneaky. Same untrustworthy crap, though.
Been to Arlington, Fairfax, or Loudoun Counties lately?
Where do you think all that borrowed and printed money os going?
Virginia is a dependent satrapy of Mordor on the Potomac, and will vote accordingly.
Agree, maybe PPP has started to notice that poll watchers have started to notice their overt oversampling, so they’re doing it in more subtle ways.
Any time the poll people sit down and decide which samples are to be thrown out and which are to be kept, there is the potential for mischief.
Only 4% of DemocRats have jumped to the Romney side, and 7% of Republicans are supporting O-Bah-Mah?
Cut me a break.
A a matter of fact I have, and most Obama voters switched their allegiance about three years ago. People in Virginia are informed and see what is happening. Well, most people that is. There are a few died in the wool libs, but they never switch anyway.
The guy who posted this article is a troll
>> Didn’t PPP have Walker losing the recall election?
PPP’s final poll results: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_6312.pdf
HTML article: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/06/walker-leads-by-3-points.html
PPP had walker leading by 3. He actually won by almost 7.
Every PPP poll except the second one had Walker ahead: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wisconsin_gubernatorial_recall_election
We report, you decide. :-)
Personally I think nearly all the polls are slightly under-predicting (R) and conservative performance. Whether it’s by design or just the way the poll chips fall, I do not know.
Ppp is the worst liberal hack polling co out there. Just watch their reps on twitter. They make these up and then are giddy freaks posting dribble breathlessly. They honestly believe their make believe stuff. Ras had Romney up. Others have shown it close. Within a point. I would suggest not bringing the LOL ppp polls here.
Snicker
This however, will not stop the pant-wetters and the ABRs.
VA Ping!
If you want on/off the VA Ping List, please freepmail me. Thanks!
It is also worth noting that unemployment is low and the economy of the state is good.
Fairfax County went Dem in 2004 for Kerry, the first time in 40 years that happened. Obama won VA in 2008 with 52.6% of the vote compared to McCain's 46.3%. Obama won big in Fairfax County 60% to 39% gaining a 110,000 vote cushion there alone. Arlington County gave him another 50,000 advantage, Loudoun 11,000, Prince William 26,000 and the city of Alexandria 30,000. That totals 227,000 in NOVa alone and does not include Obama's plus 55,000 in Richmond and 38,000 in Norfolk. Obama won VA by 225,000 votes.
Almost from the day Obama was inaugurated, his people have been registering voters all over the state. They are everywhere at supermarkets, metro stops, etc. The changing demographics of the state are having an impact.There are a total of 911,000 immigrants in the state or 11.9% of the population. Almost 380,000 have arrived since 2000. 45% of them are citizens. Most are minorities. Immigrants and minorities vote Democrat.
Some people can't understand why Obama can even be competitive given his terrible record. They fail to see how the the rapidly changing demographics of this country fueled by a pro-population growth immigration policy has changed the electorate. No matter what happens in this election, the Democrats are well are their way to becoming the permanent majority party. California is what our future looks like in terms of demographics. In 2050 we will have similar demographics to that of CA.
VA is going to be very close. The results are not going to resemble what happened in 2009 or 2011. A large turnout is expected with both parties pumping in huge amounts of money. And the Dems have the advantage given their extensive registration efforts. I don't think Obama's lead is as big as the PPP poll indicates, but he could very well have a slight edge in VA.
R 39 D 36 in VA. It 7 point over samples Dems
Notice one odd thing abut your posting. 100% negative about Romney. Seems to me you are one of the founding members of “Conservatives for the Reelection of President Obama” (CREEPO) club.
I don’t buy this. I live in Northern Virginia , which is the leftist part of the state. I see nothing like the support for Obama that I saw 4 years ago.
I was invited to the Manassas rally the day Romney selected Ryan to run for VP . Thousands of people turned out in 90 degree heat to support the Ryan pick. All Obama could muster was a small protest from~two dozen members of a teachers union and a handful of black protesters bussed in from Maryland. They were only there because they were paid to be there. Except for hard core leftists and blacks, people hate how Obama is destroying this country.
Take heart - I know of many federal government civilian employees who are not voting for Obama. Even those that are inclined to do so are not enthused. Remember, he’s frozen their pay for years.
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