Posted on 09/18/2012 12:48:56 PM PDT by KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle
Karl Rove's weekly commentary on his updated Electoral Map:
"Four states changed status since last week's Electoral College map.
"Both Minnesota and Pennsylvania shifted from 'lean Obama' to 'safe Obama.' Michigan moved to 'lean Obama' for now. And Kentucky moved from 'lean' to 'safe' Romney.
"Barack Obama now has 214 'safe' Electoral College votes and only two 'lean' states (27 EC votes). These changes come after a week of heavy polling (there were 41 polls conducted in 20 states last week, compared to 13 surveys taken in nine states the week prior)
[SNIP]
"With Kentucky's change, Mitt Romney has 154 'safe' EC votes while three states (37 EC votes) 'lean' in his favor. The states in Mr. Romney's column are unlikely to change in the 50 days left until the election because they are all generally safe Republican states.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.investors.com ...
Obama definitely has an edge in “safe” states because he has more big states locked up (CA, NY, IL) than Romney. Which means that Romney has to win a solid majority of the tossups to win it — splitting them with Obama 50/50 won’t be good enough.
It all depends on the turnout. The mainstream polls are predicting a model in which turnout is similar for Democrats to what it was in ‘08, or even more favorable for them. Rasmussen seems to be the only exception, which is why he’s showing Romney with a slight lead.
We’ll find out who’s right soon enough.
Funny you should mention that.
One of the gym TVs is set to PBS and last night lib Bill Moyer show was on and he had a guest who outlined how Karl Rove was behind the scenes smearing Romney's 2012 primary opponents like Santurum, Newt, Perry, etc.
My google says it was Craig Unger who wrote “BOSS ROVE: Inside Karl Rove’s Secret Kingdom of Power.”
That was just last night(I think it was last Friday's show).
Naturally this is popular with the Dem outlets, you will never see it on the Republican channel as Rove is a big shot there.
Useless garbage indeed! What kind of idiot posts this garbage on FR and then takes it seriously?
Seriously. They ran the same freakin' poll for OHIO!!!! Really? Asking Ohioans (supposedly of both parties) about the speakers at the DNC??
No. This wasn't a rigged poll. Of course not.
We're both reading from the same hymnal, analysis-wise. ;) At this point -- with Pennsylvania (and IMHO, as of right now, Minnesota) out of realistic reach -- Ohio and Florida are where the story will ultimately end up being told, one way or the other.
Well Rove dissed the Tea Party and missed 206 and 2010 elections, he regurgitates the polls on Fox with Trippi, even thought he finally fessed up when pressed on the oversampling rats in the polls.
It reminds me of the espn sports argument show which are staged.
I watch how the campaigns act, Obama is ACTING like he is toast. The polls reflect a 2008 turnout model which is a fantasy.
All the polls show Obama down double digits with independents Rove knows this.
I think there is no way for Obama to win nationally while losing independents by double digits.
People don’t fall for this, its liberal propaganda.
I advise all to go to www.hillbuzz.org and read Kevin’s articles on this very subject. They are trying to depress and discourage voter turnout. Don’t fall for it and don’t unknowningly spread the propaganda, you’re doing the enemy’s dirtywork for them.
We’re winning and they know it!!
Rove is in charge of a 100 million+ PAC, to be deployed in service of Romney's electoral ambitions. One way or another: it's inarguable that he's taking the king's shilling. ;)
If she is the one I think she is then the R party has two Kingmakers on the block and I don't think they like each other one bit, and they work for the same channel,
If Romney wins then her role will not be very interesting for her.
The head of one of Mitt Romney's Super PACs is dispensing "liberal propaganda" against its own candidate...? Really -- ?!?
Have you dashed off a quick e-mail to Romney HQ, informing them of this startling development? If not... why not? ;)
Minnesota has a marriage amendment vote; couple that with the Dems booing God and the rural bible thumpers will be out in force on Nov. 6th. Depending on how the range goes, things could be in play.
You might want to consider not referring to them, publicly, as "Bible-thumpers," then... rural or otherwise.
Friendly little FYI, is all. ;)
Panic time! I have been since the GOP-E got their weakest possible candidate again. Any of the others-but Ron Paul-I would be more likely to vote for.
Michigan always has had a big labor contingent. I think Penn has too. Michigan maybe getting more conservative. Some of the parasite class are going to leave as the gravy train is finally coming to an end. "Upstate" (everything outside Detroit area) and the Suburbs have finally decided to stop the subsidies to Detroit. That means more departing residents (most return to family areas in the South in my experience) who are part of the 95% Obama supporting voting block.
Benton Harbor (a majority minority city) is already under an appointed overseer's control. Detroit will be soon. That means the end of fake jobs and union contracts and the rest. When the gravey train ends a lot of people will go somehwere else.
PA was in the ‘safe’ Obama column before he was even a candidate.
Thank you. My decade's worth of easily searchable postings hereabouts -- and reputation with both JimRob and the mods -- speaks (or SHOULD speak, at any rate) for itself. ;)
Well, I’d rather see Romney building a lead in all four of those states, but these results aren’t disastrous by any means. Minnesota and Pennsylvania would be awfully nice to win, but they aren’t the key states for Romney. Kentucky was never likely territory for Obama. That leaves Michigan, which is still a possibility.
It’s going to be a close race up to the end, and Romney is going to have to fight hard these next 50 days. It’s still a very winnable race, though, and I think Romney is starting show some spark since the press conference over the leaked video nonsense.
I've always thought so too, personally... but I thought it interesting that the head of one of Romney's Super PACs publicly agreed with said estimation. ;)
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