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How GOP Can Get 51 Senate Seats Without Todd Akin
National Journal ^ | 09/26/2012 | Michael Catalini

Posted on 09/26/2012 4:35:57 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

Our colleagues take a close look today at Republicans' path to 51 in the Senate now that the Missouri Senate race is tilting in Democrats' favor.

(RELATED: NRSC Softens Stance on Akin)

Republicans thought they could count on Rep. Todd Akin to beat Sen. Claire McCaskill, but since his comments about rape, polling suggests the GOP is in trouble in the Show-Me State.

(RELATED: DeMint, Santorum Are Backing Akin Now)

Reid Wilson explains:

Republicans believe Akin's comments all but disqualify him from office, and several polls taken during the last month show McCaskill surging ahead.

But there are broader ramifications: Republicans need to win a net of four seats to take control of the Senate, and they counted Missouri as one of the states they would certainly win.

So how will the GOP get to 51 in the Senate?

Now, the GOP is investigating other paths to a majority, paths that meander through more Democratic-leaning states like Connecticut and Maine, and through more entrenched Democratic incumbents in Florida and Ohio.

Republicans have plenty of opportunities to get to the 51 seats they would need to control the Senate outright. Polling shows Sen. Ben Nelson's seat in Nebraska is almost certain to turn red, while Sen. Jon Tester is running slightly behind Rep. Denny Rehberg in a recent Mason-Dixon survey in Montana. But Republican candidates are running behind expectations in North Dakota, Wisconsin and Indiana, and vulnerable Republican incumbents in Massachusetts and Nevada give Democrats room to expand the playing field. Polls even show longer-shot Democratic hopes like Arizona narrowing as voters tune in.



TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: gop; senate; toddakin
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To: SeekAndFind

Factor: Obama


21 posted on 09/26/2012 5:08:36 PM PDT by Laura722
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To: Laura722

So, how is the faux Messiah doing in Missouri nowadays?

Is he generally more loved or despised?


22 posted on 09/26/2012 5:10:34 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: soycd

There is no choice now...Akin or McCaskill.


23 posted on 09/26/2012 5:11:56 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: soycd

RE: Independent and women voters do not like his rape and uterus commentary.

So, Missouri Women and Independents will vote based on this one remark, ignore his apology and clarification and totally not consider any policy issues at all?

The debt, the deficit, unemployment, national defense, all take a back seat to the one single remark he made?

If the answer is “yes” that says a lot about Missourians right there...


24 posted on 09/26/2012 5:13:04 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: SeekAndFind
THAT TOO!!!!!!

But the media can only have so much influence. One remark can negate an entire candidate? The people ARE imbeciles, if they're going to vote for someone they DON'T want because of one remark.

25 posted on 09/26/2012 5:15:53 PM PDT by FrdmLvr (culture, language, borders)
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To: SeekAndFind
Is the GOP-e writing off a Romney win in Missouri? IF Akin loses so will Romney. Missouri is a swing state... they in majority HATE obamacare.... Missouri has a liberal governor, and one lying liberal ‘woman’ senator. So maybe Romney is the one in trouble in Missouri and it is soooo easy to blame Akin?
26 posted on 09/26/2012 5:18:58 PM PDT by Just mythoughts (Please help Todd Akin defeat Claire and the GOP-e send money!!!!!)
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To: SeekAndFind

And not only that, but the people of Missouri would throw the election to the democrats because of that remark? UNBELIEVABLE!


27 posted on 09/26/2012 5:21:13 PM PDT by FrdmLvr (culture, language, borders)
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To: SeekAndFind

Let’s do it WITH Akin, ‘kay ?


28 posted on 09/26/2012 5:21:23 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (If you like lying Socialist dirtbags, you'll love Slick Willard)
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To: soycd
akin needs more than just the Conservative vote to win. Independent and women voters do not like his rape and uterus commentary. Apologies do not seem to be working for akin. The GOP can not afford to look like they support his comments. I do not see any path to victory for akin.

Have you moved to Missouri? IF not then keep your unsolicited comments to yourself as YOU are not helping we Missourians defeat Clair the lying liberal.

Who are your Senators?

29 posted on 09/26/2012 5:23:27 PM PDT by Just mythoughts (Please help Todd Akin defeat Claire and the GOP-e send money!!!!!)
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To: svcw

I like the way Akin stood up to bully Karl Rove.


30 posted on 09/26/2012 5:26:11 PM PDT by Memphis Moe
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To: SoFloFreeper
.....agreed... sound logic...

Where are the Rovistas or the Crytalistas....

No where in sight....

31 posted on 09/26/2012 5:28:44 PM PDT by ptsal (E)
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To: Memphis Moe

A “like” button is need here


32 posted on 09/26/2012 5:33:13 PM PDT by svcw (If one living cell on another planet is life, why isn't it life in the womb?)
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To: SeekAndFind

I don’t think people should count Todd out yet. I can tell you he won’t be beholden to the GOP if he gets in.


33 posted on 09/26/2012 5:35:34 PM PDT by freeangel ( (free speech is only good until someone else doesn't like it)
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To: SoFloFreeper

Add Susan Collins, Lamar Alexander, Scott Brown, Thad Cochran, and Orrin Hatch to your list of potential unreliables.


34 posted on 09/26/2012 5:38:37 PM PDT by Soul of the South
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To: Soul of the South

Orrin, Thad and Lamar less so...but yes....


35 posted on 09/26/2012 5:42:19 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: SeekAndFind

Then how about 52 with Akin?


36 posted on 09/26/2012 5:55:34 PM PDT by stevem
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To: Soul of the South

Yeah, let’s face it, we probably need 80 Republican Senators to have a simple majority when it comes to passing Conservative legislation.


37 posted on 09/26/2012 5:58:09 PM PDT by taterjay
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To: SeekAndFind

You’re forgetting something big.

The elites came out against Akin in droves.

This tells us that of all Senate candidates, we should push for Akin to win more than anyone else.


38 posted on 09/26/2012 6:02:13 PM PDT by reasonisfaith (Why do you seek the living among the dead? (Luke 24:5))
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To: freeangel

” I can tell you he won’t be beholden to the GOP if he gets in.”

And just how will that “help” our situation? We all know just how “helpful” The evil Twins From Maine have been. We need adult Conservative Senators who will help move the agenda and to change the direction of the weak-kneed Republican Senatorial leadership.


39 posted on 09/26/2012 7:00:04 PM PDT by vette6387
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To: freeangel

” I can tell you he won’t be beholden to the GOP if he gets in.”

And just how will that “help” our situation? We all know just how “helpful” The evil Twins From Maine have been. We need adult Conservative Senators who will help move the agenda and to change the direction of the weak-kneed Republican Senatorial leadership.


40 posted on 09/26/2012 7:00:11 PM PDT by vette6387
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