Posted on 09/30/2012 4:18:54 AM PDT by timlot
"A new Dispatch Poll shows him trailing President Barack Obama in bellwether Ohio by 9 points, 51 percent to 42 percent.
A surge of Democratic support for Obama has transformed the race since the first Dispatch Poll had the two dead-even at 45 percent just before the Republican National Convention in late August".
(Excerpt) Read more at dispatch.com ...
Yep, Ohio in 2008 (the Highwater mark) was 39 D 32 R and 29 i or other, Look at the good work of Freeper LS and you will quickly determine that this ain’t 2008.
Less than 1% Hispanic?
So 5% of the voters who voted for McCain in 2008 are now voting for Obama, and only 6% who voted for Obama are now voting for Romney. Sorry, that simply does not pass the smell test.
I also question the no party affiliation going 45-42 for Zero,
LS has personally called hundreds of these unaffiliated voters, has not found many supporting Obama. What is the split 70-30 or 58-42?
its a big old push poll designed to inflate Dem numbers and discourage GOP turnout and morale.
I’m thinking lazy pollster is in the mix as well.
Correction, I did not personally call-—the Romney county campaign chairman called them beginning in May and found almost no support for Zero.
The morning laughs continue
What do you make of this one LS?
The Dispatch Ohio poll has always been VERY accurate AND the paper is not a fan of Obama.
This means much more work must happen. AND Mitt has to get fired up like he was in primaries. There is no reason for him to lose Ohio except for lack of effort (and using the right themes).
Both Obamas and Biden are practically living in Ohio
Personally, what I find amusing is that this poll claims Zero & Willard each split the White vote 46%. That doesn’t pass the smell test.
I live in Ohio and the few people I knew who were sucked-in by Obamamania in 2008 have woken up. No way he’s taking Ohio and judging by how many times he campaigned here (so far), he thinks so too.
That is a dem +8.5% sample. Oh B.S.
Another problem, check out the gender differences. The 54%-37% Obama advantage with women is slightly larger than nationally, but the 48%-46% Obama advantage among men is ridiculous.
And yet this poll says 5% of McCain voters are now voting for Obama and only 6% of those Obamamania voters woke up and are now voting for Romney. Just not believable.
Regardless of the skew to the democrats, Romney is not well liked else he would be leading every poll by a few to near double digits. This is evidenced in the important non-affiliated category of voters.
In this poll, if Romney were able to capture 2/3s of the unaffiliateds and peel off 5% more of ‘Other’, the poll would be tied 48 - 48.
Romney is destined to lose due to the independent vote because they are just not that into him; he’s phoney.
The thing to do is to put the energy and $$$ to capture the Senate. This will impede Obama significantly and set the stage for a conservative candidate in 2016. It will also provide an opportunity to extinguish the GOP-e which must be done without fail in order to have a party that conservatives can express themselves through.
In order to adjust the numbers so that the ratio of Kasich voters to Strickland voters is 1.174, you must increase the number of Republican voters by 23%. This adds 134 voters to the Republican total. Adding these voters nets out to 47% Obama, 45% Romney.
Another thing to consider is the behavior of Ohio voters two years ago. They turned on an incumbent Democrat governor by a sizable margin. Will they do the same to an incumbent Democrat President? I think so.
You are correct, but I am not sure having Romney as the GOP candidate will make any difference even if he practically ‘lives’ in Ohio.
Who does a mail poll? And also, most of the respondents are from northeast Ohio, and make less than $40,000 a year.
This poll is very centered in Cleveland among lower income voters.
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