Posted on 10/01/2012 11:38:29 PM PDT by WilliamIII
...Mitt Romney would probably win such an election, because Republicans will probably control a majority of state delegations in the incoming House of Representatives.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com ...
Nate ( Daily Kos liberal) Silver claimed an Obama victory last week and now it’s a tie?
Which proves once again those polls which showed an Obama easy victory were a bunch of dog poo..the left knows it and Romney knows it, Obama is losing..from jubilation last week to all of a sudden its an electoral tie..gee what happened libs lol
A tie election would be... strange to say the least.
They got to maintain the suspense. That’s all these “news”
items are for. It’s alays neck and neck. to sell papers.
I trust the reading of the bird droppings on it more than the leftist rag.
I know averages don’t mean much, but I just took a look at the WSJ poll average and Romney just jumped an entire point in one day (that’s a lot in an average). A sharp rise like that hasn’t been seen for Romney since June. Let’s hope the upswing continues.
Frankly, I think it's more a case of "A columnist with a deadline to meet will write anything." That said, Michael Barone is skeptical of the polls that show Zer0 with a commanding lead, and he's about the best analyst in the business. IMO, it's anybody's race.
The statistical challenge in the Electoral College of a “tie” is enormous. It’s like you buying a lotto ticket and winning $500 on it, once in your lifetime. Anybody who sits around and worries about this scenario...is an idiot. And newspaper reporters who have nothing better to do....instead of investigative reporting...are just wasting their time.
"The “now-cast” estimates that Mr. Obama would have a 97.8 percent chance of winning an election held today. Further, it pegs his advantage at five and a half percentage points in the national popular vote."
They can’t help it. They have the attention span of a gnat.
Obama’s got 237 EVs guaranteed, and needs just 34.
States where he is still vulnerable, that he will need to win (ie, less than 90 percent).
Wisconsin, Colorado, Nevada, New Hampshire, Iowa. That’s it. Adding them all together - on average he will win all but one of these states. So it’s not a forlorn hope, but it’s getting pretty grim.
Breakpoint at present is -Colorado and - Iowa, at 54 percent. He needs just one more state to wrap up the election.
Looks like the Times is trying to set up a scenario where the dems can steal the election through the courts, a la Bush/Gore.
Do you understand the concept of "garbage in, garbage out"? Obviously not.
Just a little history: 1980 - October 26, two days prior to the debate, Gallup released a survey that suggested that Carter was leading Reagan by a margin of 47% to 39%
Just a little history: 1980 - October 26, two days prior to the debate, Gallup released a survey that suggested that Carter was leading Reagan by a margin of 47% to 39%
Fine, show me some evidence supporting your position.
They ar reading our OH early voting thread and seeing that so far this is 2010 all over again.
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