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WI CD7 district polling showing very good signs for Duffy and Romney.
http://americanactionnetwork.org/sites/default/files/WI_CD_7_Memo_0.pdf ^

Posted on 10/08/2012 3:05:46 AM PDT by sunmars

New polling out of Wisconsin Cong district 7 shows more trouble for Obama as the GOP incumbent 11% ahead of Dem and Romney ahead by 3%, 49 – 46….why is this significant….This district went for Kerry with 51% and for Obama in 2008 with 56%…..Obama is now running 10% behind where he was in 2008 and 5% behind Kerry in 2004. Obama cannot afford to lose districts like this in WI by 10%, if this happens, he will lose Wisconsin to Romney by about 5-10%.

This district is nominally a D+3 district but Romney is running R+3 in it and the congressman R+11…….this does not bode well for Obama. You just cannot lose districts like this by 10% in WI and win an election overall.

The poll was done last week before the debate.........


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; polling; sourcetitlenoturl
Looking good in many places, seeing reports of Obama lagging behind in many districts across the country by 10% or over that he needs to win and way behind the votes he took in 2008...This is not 2008 folks.
1 posted on 10/08/2012 3:05:52 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: sunmars

probably gives us a good indication as to why Obama went running ti WI the morning after the debate.


2 posted on 10/08/2012 3:07:20 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: sunmars

On Nov.6th the deluded MSM is going to get another harsh dose of reality, like they did in 94, and 2010.


3 posted on 10/08/2012 3:16:43 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: sunmars
Ok, here are some of the pieces of evidence we have:

Zero running way behind the numbers needed to win in key counties/districts, such as the Cong district from Franklin Co.

Ds running 5-20 points behind 2008 levels in almost every county in OH. R senators---in some, not all---polls running ahead of Dems in states Zero is supposed to win (McMahon, Mandell).

to me, these add up to massive phony polls and what may well be a very big Romney win.

4 posted on 10/08/2012 3:37:41 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Tell me about it, the BS in the media is busy sticking their fingers in their ears and hand over their eyes to what could well demolish the Obama train.


5 posted on 10/08/2012 4:09:47 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: sunmars

This also goes to show you why Barack Obama insists on “going through the motions” even though I saw his convention speech and last week’s debate performance as evidence that he knows he’s in over his head and he doesn’t even want the job anymore. If he were to capitulate like he wants to, he’d bring on a rout of the Democrats in swing districts like this.


6 posted on 10/08/2012 4:14:06 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("If you touch my junk, I'm gonna have you arrested.")
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To: Alberta's Child

I don’t really think he cares if the Dems get routed, its a “if i’m going down, you are going down with me” attitude, he has always had like a petulant child.


7 posted on 10/08/2012 4:19:59 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: sunmars
This district is nominally a D+3 district but Romney is running R+3 in it and the congressman R+11. This does not bode well for Obama. You just cannot lose districts like this by 10% in WI and win an election overall.

The poll was done last week before the debate.

Wait till the next debate, obama has a new Totus and it has been implanted in a contact lens.

It will appear that obama is staring at the ceiling but he will just be trying to focus on it's {his} response.

8 posted on 10/08/2012 4:20:55 AM PDT by USS Alaska (Nuke the terrorist savages, start today.)
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To: sunmars

Dang, I forgot the Cook Co IL poll showing Zero not doing well enough there to offset downstate R vote


9 posted on 10/08/2012 4:32:45 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Looks like Michigan may be in play, Paul Ryan coming to Detroit suburb tonight with Kid Rock. If Obama comes to town we will know it’s in play.

http://www.freep.com/article/20121008/ENT07/310080036/Kid-Rock-will-support-Paul-Ryan-s-appearance-OU


10 posted on 10/08/2012 4:37:43 AM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: LS

and that downstate rep vote is going to be way higher than it was in 08.


11 posted on 10/08/2012 4:39:03 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: sunmars

Re-districting didn’t hurt either being in the remap which removed Petri (R) and gave me Kind (D.) Kind’s new distict includes most of the democrat area of a state senate district that supported recall of Walker and a Republican state senator and put a newly elected state Rep (Assemblyman)(Krug)I vigorously supported who dislodged a 20 plus year dem hack from office in danger.


12 posted on 10/08/2012 4:51:59 AM PDT by mosesdapoet (The best way to punish a - country is let professors run it. Fredrick the Great para/p)
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To: sunmars; Hunton Peck; Diana in Wisconsin; P from Sheb; Shady; DonkeyBonker; Wisconsinlady; JPG; ...

Wisconsin ping: Romney looking good in WI district where Obama won 56% of the vote in 2008

FReep Mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.


13 posted on 10/08/2012 5:05:25 AM PDT by afraidfortherepublic (Joe Biden is reported to be seeking asylum in a foreign country so he does not have to debate Ryan.)
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To: Alberta's Child

It did look like Obama threw the fight the other night. All due respect to even Twinkie Boy Scott Rass, but no way this year are Dems going to be + anything in voter advantage. ANY poll with ANY Dem advantage is junk, even Rassmussen, this is looking like 2010 all over again from the empirical and anecdotal data on the ground. Sorry Dems and Dem pollsters you are headed for a blowout. Ryan visiting Michigan today…hmmm. Watch team R&R will start visiting Pa, and NH. NC, VA, Indiana, Mo, and Co once “battlegrounds” are going Romney , sticka fork in them for Obama. Obama HAS to win Florida and Iowa, Michigan and Wis. All of them,.. which he won’t. Time to start thinking Romney transition team, this one is over.


14 posted on 10/08/2012 5:08:22 AM PDT by pburgh01
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To: mosesdapoet

Well, thanks a lot! WE got Petri (RINO) and lost Sensenbrenner. Most of us are hoping that Petri will retire next time around. Jeff Fitzgerald would be a wonderful replacement who would garner a lot of support around here.


15 posted on 10/08/2012 5:12:28 AM PDT by afraidfortherepublic (Joe Biden is reported to be seeking asylum in a foreign country so he does not have to debate Ryan.)
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To: mosesdapoet

We feel your pain in District 3. Kind comes out every couple of years, touts his *record* and then goes back to his easy lifestyle of doing whatever Pelosi and Hillary tell him to do. We just can’t get rid of him. And now we also have Shilling at the State level.


16 posted on 10/08/2012 5:22:32 AM PDT by reformedliberal
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To: mosesdapoet

I’d like to know if this poll takes into account the re-districting, which I’m guessing it does.

That would mean you can’t really compare the results in this poll versus 2008. This is now a much more GOP district.

This also looks to be an internal candidate poll, and those always seem to favor the candidate by plus 5 no matter what.

The poll is good news, but take it with a grain of salt here.


17 posted on 10/08/2012 5:45:41 AM PDT by SteveAustin
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To: afraidfortherepublic

The re-districting was based on the Prosser vote.
Petri, is certainly no Sensenbrenner but has at least voted with the block when called for. He does believe in holding accountability sessions and had conducted them regularly while districted in this area.


18 posted on 10/08/2012 5:48:58 AM PDT by mosesdapoet (The best way to punish a - country is let professors run it. Fredrick the Great para/p)
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To: SteveAustin

Re internal polling
When running campaigns I never believed in doing an internal plus + polling. Your objective is to find out your standing. But that being said, what you report is another matter.


19 posted on 10/08/2012 5:56:32 AM PDT by mosesdapoet (The best way to punish a - country is let professors run it. Fredrick the Great para/p)
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To: reformedliberal

Kind is being opposed by Boland a retired Col and former commander of Fort McCoy. He made an appearance at our (Adams County) Lincoln Day Dinner and his stump speech was that of his former Army record period.

Nothing about local issues one of which would be ,particularly here in Adams County which is loaded with the stuff, silica sand, the use of fracking and the reluctant policy to permit its use by the administration. While he could have gone into veteran issues particularly the diminished retirement benefits he didn’t.

He didn’t pass out a brochure leastwhile I was there, having left before the conclusion so I don’t even know what his website address is

I do have his yard sign and will post it and vote for the guy because he’s there but he better be doing more than just showing up if he wants to win.


20 posted on 10/08/2012 6:22:03 AM PDT by mosesdapoet (The best way to punish a - country is let professors run it. Fredrick the Great para/p)
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To: SteveAustin

According to our enemies at Daily Kos, Obama won the old district 56-43, and would have won the new district 53-45.

So no, it does not appear to take redistricting into account for reporting the results.

Now, the question is, did it take redistricting into account for doing the poll?

If so, Obama is in trouble. If not, Obama is in bigger trouble.


21 posted on 10/08/2012 6:42:58 AM PDT by scrabblehack
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To: LS

Obama ads re strting to be run in Illinois....after they thought they had that state in the bag.


22 posted on 10/08/2012 10:32:50 AM PDT by ridesthemiles
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To: LS

Romney will be in Cuyahoga Falls tomorrow night


23 posted on 10/08/2012 11:37:19 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: pburgh01

The Disaster can’t “throw” a poll he had no chance of winning. Romney is a whole level of intelligence higher than The Disaster and don’t even get me started on Ryan vs Biteme.


24 posted on 10/08/2012 12:19:43 PM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: Perdogg
Romney's going to win from Seneca to Cuyahoga Falls. Hey way to go Ohio!
25 posted on 10/08/2012 4:22:24 PM PDT by HenpeckedCon (What pi$$es me off the most is that POS commie will get a State Funeral!)
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To: HenpeckedCon

that is from The Pretender’s song that Rush uses.


26 posted on 10/08/2012 4:27:00 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Perdogg

“that is from The Pretender’s song that Rush uses.”

Really? I just thought of it on the top of my head.


27 posted on 10/08/2012 4:33:41 PM PDT by HenpeckedCon (What pi$$es me off the most is that POS commie will get a State Funeral!)
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