Posted on 10/08/2012 6:38:40 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
Monday, October 08, 2012
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney and President Obama each attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.
While there have been modest swings in recent months that have favored one candidate over the other, the overall picture is of a race that is both stable and very close. Over the past 100 days of tracking, Romney and Obama have been within two points of each other 72 times. Additionally, on 89 of those 100 days, the candidates have been within three points of each other. That is exceedingly close in a poll with a three percentage-point margin of error. See daily tracking history.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
This makes no sense.
Rass is not using “heavy dem bias.” D+3.5 is fair for a presidential election. All this means is that obama, protected by the media, the rockstar of the apolitical, has fallen far off his pace of 2008. Romney will gain as people grow comfortable with him over the next 2 debates.
This makes sense. None of my republican friends or family
would ever.ever answer a poll.
Marches and polls are participated by democrats. That’s just the way it is.
What does in 0bamaworld?
I feel that Rass is just doing it (D+3.5) to ‘play it safe’ with a ‘tie’ right now. But, the true markers point to Romney clobbering the ‘Bamster if the election were tomorrow. Actually, this (a tie or ‘close’ polling) plays it better for our camp because we have the ‘enthusiasm’ edge over the RATs. So, best to ‘disguise’ our advantage with a ‘close’ poll, than foster ‘complacency’ with a poll showing Romney +4 or +5.
You are correct. Ras is using D +5 now for no other reason than he didn’t like being an outlier from other polls. He got in line with the Obama media meme.
General consensus from both sides is that a minimum of 80% of likely voters are locked in...that is, nothing will change their mind as to which candidate they support..and I suspect it may be as much as 90$...but let's use the 80% number.
Mitt got a bump of about 4%..from 2% down to 2% ahead...if not more.
That means that one debate caused 20% of voters that are open to changing their mind to in fact do so...Mitt has the trend in his favor..
The left/dems will use a landslide to claim that America is “still racist”.
We should simply laugh at them and bury the race card forever.
Mitt got his debate bump to catch up and pull ahead then Obama got a job number bump to offset some of his debate setback and pull even. It’s going to be close.
Agreed and 70 million watched the debate. Everyone knows Romney not only looked better, he was on point, and Obama really had no direction in what he wanted to do or defense of his record.
I can’t explain the best pollster having it tied after that.
Damn. I hope it doesn’t shift back to Zero.
Seriously, tell me how Obama wins when he’s down about 16 with Independents?
It will be close don’t let anyone tell you other wise. Too many people don’t wanna see the first black president be a one term flop.
Nope, D+5:
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (Rasmussen) - O:47%, R:49%, ‘other’:2%
Saturday, October 06, 2012 10:00:13 AM · 74 of 170
Cruising For Freedom to tatown; profit_guy
If my reverse-engineering using profit_guy’s internals is correct, Rasmussen’s party ID breakdown is:
39.3%D 34.4%R 26.6%I
Rasmussen is using a +5D model.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2941087/posts?page=74#74
Obama doesn’t win if that’s how it goes. But Romney made it harder on himself with the 47 percent remark. He wisely backed away from that but it’s still a hurdle to overcome.
Good old scotty... keepeing the race tight and his revenue up.
LLS
well it is a business....they will all have the polls tight for a while, encourages more spending on them.
Romney had a couple of big days that are rolling off now.
I expect The One to be back in the lead tomorrow.
Ugh!!!
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