Posted on 10/08/2012 8:51:32 AM PDT by Ravi
above
(Excerpt) Read more at elections.gmu.edu ...
NC: steady as she goes (repubs 52% of ballot requests and dems 27%). Over 125,000 ballot requests (more than half of 2008's total already). Turned in ballots favor repubs by a slightly greater amount percentage wise. Still need to see where we stand after early voting also. But overall better compared to 2008.
FL: New stuff here. Interesting counties Pinellas and Hillsborough results in thus far. Again caution very early. We may be a little more agressive with absentees than dems here especially since 2010 but they out absenteed us in 2008. With that said, Obama won Hillsborough 53% to McCain's 46% (273,000 to 236,000). In Pinellas, Obama won 53% to McCain's 45% (238,000 to 210,000). Currently with absentee ballot requests, repubs have asked for 53% of ballots and dems 32%. This is again only with 9300 voters thus far (about 1-2% of expected turnout for those counties). So very early but something to watch as those are definitely bellwether counties.
OH: See LS from yesterday. Everything seems to be going well here.
The only thing with OH to me is this whole definition of what a repub or dem means to that spreadsheet. It seems like some counties may have not been very diligent in clarifying what a dem or repub is even if they voted in a particular party primary. So even if you voted in a primary, some counties may be a little sloppy and still list you as unaffiliated - I need clarification how extensive these errors are or whether they are exceptions to the rule.
For FL, IA and NC, repub means repub and dem means dem. Indies are indies. No confusion there as far as I can tell.
Well of course the Republicans will ‘seem’ to be ahead, the R voter only votes once. We gotta give the chance for the D voters to drive, state-to-state, and accrue their votes. It can take 35 days to span 35 states for the D vote to be totally realized.
C’mon get real. \sarcasm
I wonder if this election will be like the last one where McCain was leading in almost every state until an hour or less before the polls closed then Obama shot to the lead. I went to bed and McCain was ahead, when I woke up Obama was president.
IA particularly encouraging, because they supposedly had a 100,000 to 10,000 advantage now it's 78,000.
So, just to clarify in IA, it was 49-28, while now it is 52-27 . . . but all moving in the right direction?
Hi Ravi,
What were the latest stats from Ohio yesterday? Wasn’t here. And thanks so much for these useful updates.
49 to 28 was from 2008. We have to improve on that is my goal.
ths needs to be put in a table for easier comparison.
I don’t know if it’s still a common practice, but in the 60s and 70s, my parents would register as Democrats so they could vote in the primary for the weakest candidates, but actually were Republicans.......
Search LS and he posted last nite. He has county by county breakdown.
IA now updated for Monday am: Dems now ahead of us by 74,700 balot requests. So from 97,000 ahead to 74,700 ahead in under two weeks. Dems have now requested 50.8% of ballots and repubs 27.7% of ballots. Dems continue to go down and repubs continue to rise. Let’s see where this ends up. Also now up to 324,000 ballot requests already about 70% of the total for all of 2008.
Early voting is just another fraud tactic produced and directed by the RATS. Voting should be either absentee ballots or vote on election day.
Wow, Dems fell 4,000 from this morning’s report and Rs nearly at 08 levels now.
Don’t buy that. We. have plenty of observers, poll watchers, and lawyers. I prefer all vote on. Election Day, but this is a Dem-initiated idea that is now benefitting Rs.
As I recall, you were very confident of a big GOP win in 2008. With respect, I believe that your confidence in system is misplaced.
Early Voting, Absentee Voting, anything other than showing up to your polling place on election day ought to be banned. It favors the communists by enabling fraud. The only people that should be allowed alternative voting is members of the military. If you cant show up on the day of election you dont really need to vote anyways.
Wasn't the election I was watching. You must have went to bed at 5. It was pretty obvious from pre-polls; exit polls; everything that Obummer was going to win.
I don’t remember anyone getting much from the exit polls and I remember McCain being ahead in a lot of states then WHAM it all went south in a flash. I think we will have to worry about a lot of illegal voting, i.e., people voting more than once, dead people and illegal immigrants voting, that is why the Dems are fighting the voter ID laws.
We didn’t lose in 08 because of too much fraud. We lost because too many Rs voted for Zero. That’s not speculation, that’s the actual numbers we saw on election night. Do you really think that will happen again?
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