Posted on 10/12/2012 6:38:30 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate,...
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
You won’t know until next Thursday if there is a debate effect and by then we’ll have Obama/Romney round 2 on Tuesday night. So any effect from the VP debate will be all over the shop. Biden did not help himself though last night, that was pitiful to watch.
The key is the Kenyan is still several points below 50%.
All the other movement is just statistical noise at this point.
The yo-yo action from Ras is annoying. It would be comforting to see Romney solidify that 50% mark.
Yeah thats the key, he’s stuck around 47%, not good for an incumbent at all, means people are reluctant, i can see 90% breaking for Romney at the end. Be funny if 47% is exactly where he ended up in Nov.
For those keeping track, today Obama is at -12%
The pollsters won’t let the real figures flow until the last week, they need to sell more polls........
Sunmars,
We should have a decent idea about the effect of this debate, if any in the poll released on Wednesday the 17th.
That poll will include both Monday and Tuesday and thus will be as “fair” to the Republicans as possible
Of course, the Prez debate is on Tuesday night but the first polling from that wont show up till Rasmussen’s Thursday poll.
Thank you.
Maybe that's it. Make it sound close until the end.
Then make the adjustments to party affiliation the last week, publish and boast until the next cycle.
notice the uptick in number of polls, this is the month they make masses of money, up the fees and charge monstrous amounts for polling because after Nov 6th, the well dries up for quite a while ,of course they will keep it close to drag extra revenue polls out.
Explain how with everything that has happened the last few weeks, including the debates, how is it that obama and Romney are tied.
Yes, tied, a two point separation with a MoE of 4 is tied.
I think you’re right, we have the incumbent in a tough position. Obama has to really scare people off Romney to somehow keep the undecideds from staying home or going with Romney. He also needs to fire up his base.
I’ve always expected a racial theme to chase blacks to the polls. That can turn off whites, but Obama won’t do it directly.
New McLaughlin poll out in Virginia has Romney +7 with a R .02 sample. Romney +11 in VA with Independents.
Suffolk is right.
What is to expain? The country is divided in two parts with a middle that is increasingly small and or disaffected.
What is to expain? The country is divided in two parts with a middle that is increasingly small and or disaffected.
This is Rasmussen and I’ve never seen the general election poll with more than a 3 point separation. Maybe it’s just how he does the polling? IDK
In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 49% support to Obama’s 48%. Three percent (3%) are undecided.
This is the fourth day in a row Romney has led the daily Swing State Survey, continuing to reflect the modest bounce he earned from last week’s first presidential debate. Prior to that, the president had led for 17 of the previous 19 days, and the candidates had been tied twice. Virtually all of these findings are based on responses prior to last night’s vice presidential debate.
In 2008, Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%, virtually identical to his national margin.
In the swing states, Romney now leads 54% to 43% among male voters but trails by a 51% to 45% margin among female voters.
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