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Tied in Iowa (Romney 48% - Obama 48%) - American Research Group (ARG) ^ | 15 October 2012

Posted on 10/15/2012 11:13:18 AM PDT by Yashcheritsiy

Interview dates: October 11-14, 2012

Sample size: 600 likely voters

Margin of error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time

Question wording and responses:

If the general election were being held today between Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, and Mitt Romney for president and Paul Ryan for vice president, the Republicans, for whom would you vote - Obama and Biden or Romney and Ryan (names rotated), or someone else?

(Excerpt) Read more at ...

TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; ia2012
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To: Yashcheritsiy

Idiots Out Walking Around? (I’m just the messenger)

21 posted on 10/15/2012 2:22:07 PM PDT by GnL
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To: rwfromkansas

[ Explain Kansas then.....never votes Dem. ]

Cuz we’re smart here.

Uhhh....nevermind. We elected Sebelius twice.

22 posted on 10/15/2012 2:24:14 PM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obamar)
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To: rwfromkansas

Iowa is almost nothing to do with ethanol. Catholic voters in Iowa put Dems over the top. Dems slip with Catholics in general and Iowa goes GOP.

23 posted on 10/15/2012 2:33:00 PM PDT by jjotto ("Ya could look it up!")
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To: Kevin C

“Iowa is a must-win. It’s hard to see how Romney can get a majority in the Electoral College without Iowa.”

He could do it, IF he had Ohio. With Ohio, Romney would not need either Iowa or Colorado.

However, without Ohio, Iowa -and- Colorado become VERY important, as they will provide the electoral votes Romney needs to get over the top. (This assumes Romney also gets New Hampshire, which seems to be leaning in his favor).

Ohio still remains “the key”. If Romney wins it before midnight, the election will be his.

24 posted on 10/15/2012 3:49:39 PM PDT by Road Glide
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To: Road Glide

Based on the RCP map, Romney can lose Ohio, Penn., Wisconsin and Michigan and still win the election if he gets Colorado, Nevada, Iowa and New Hampshire. He only needs to win ONE of those 4 if he gets Ohio or Penn. though. Something tells me he should bombard Iowa and New Hampshire, and use the Mormon leverage in Colorado and Nevada, rather than pin his hopes on Ohio. The industrial states seem to be giving Romney a harder time.

25 posted on 10/15/2012 3:57:56 PM PDT by JediJones (ROMNEY/RYAN: TURNAROUND ARTISTS ***** OBAMA/BIDEN: BULL $HIT ARTISTS)
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To: Yashcheritsiy

If Iowa turns Romney,I’d be surprised.A lot of people I grew up there are brainwashed Obominoids.They worship him like a god.You can’t talk any sense to them,they just plug their ears and scream”I CAN’T HEAR YOU,LA LA LA LA!”Hopeless cause.Glad I left that shithole years ago.

26 posted on 10/15/2012 4:00:56 PM PDT by Uncle Meat
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To: Skulllspitter

Plus he’ll likely get one out of Maine as well. We may even get a surprise in the race for Senate and get a real conservative for a change.

27 posted on 10/15/2012 4:19:04 PM PDT by MSF BU (n)
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To: Yashcheritsiy
Well, you know what Iowa stands for, right?

I Owe the World Apologies?

28 posted on 10/15/2012 4:35:16 PM PDT by Big Giant Head
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To: Arthurio

I don’t really believe that. I’m a farmer in KS, and I don’t vote RAT to get handouts, and I only know one a-hole who does. And he’s a life-long RAT.

29 posted on 10/15/2012 4:37:34 PM PDT by ozzymandus
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To: Uncle Meat

I wouldn’t be that surprised to see Iowa go for Romney. After all, Iowa went for Bush in 2004.

I take Iowa as a quintessential purplish-blue state - so if it goes Iowa, or is even close, then it foresages a fairly hefty Romney win. Not a 56 state blowout, but a solid, unassailable win.

30 posted on 10/15/2012 5:26:30 PM PDT by Yashcheritsiy (It's time to make Obama a minor footnote in the pages of history)
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To: Beelzebubba
Sucking at the government ethanol subsidy tit.

Being an Iowan - I have to say that is a bit true, but from my observations and experience - not the driver by a long shot.

Iowa has four primary groups of voters. First - idiot liberals thinking that they are living in a left wing metropolis. This occurs in any metro area >100,000 people in Iowa, and in smaller communities that happen to have Univerisities, colleges, etc. These people are considered idiots around here but they make a lot of noise and get a lot of attention.

The second group is suburban voter. ABout 75% of them have brains, 25% dont as they are transplants from the first group who like to have some space at home when they get back from protesting urban sprawl. Unfortunately, there is another group of farm and blue collar based families and they vote democrat. They have absolutely no clue what the dems stand for today, but they vote dem anyway. Ethanol subsidies don't matter to them either. THey vote dem because they have always voted dem. THey have heartburn from the 80's farm crisis and blame it on Reagan. They are the thick skulls in the state. Smart, hardworiking, but unwilling to give up the past and open their eyes. They take a break from hunting to vote for Harkin while he works to take away their guns. THey are blind.

I hope my state can help kick O out of office, I'm just not confident.

31 posted on 10/15/2012 6:58:44 PM PDT by !1776!
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To: KansasGirl

Well I was talking about president. Grew up there....know isn’t the case locally.

32 posted on 10/15/2012 7:12:16 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: Yashcheritsiy

That was then,I’m talking about now.I was shocked to see how many of my old friends were so in your face pro gay marriage,anti rich,Romney lies,etc,etc on Facebook.I was viciously attacked on my wall by a neighbor girl I grew up with for posting anti Obama articles.As far as I’m concerned,I could care less if I ever go back to that hole.It’s become the California of the midwest.Too bad there’s not an ocean for it to fall into.

33 posted on 10/16/2012 2:32:58 AM PDT by Uncle Meat
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To: KansasGirl
Uhhh....nevermind. We elected Sebelius twice.

It's really weird. We have elected more than our share of Democrat governors. We seldom send a Democrat to Washington. Dennis Moore and Nancy Boyda would be the exceptions. I think it's because at the state level, they're better at hiding who they are. Kathleen Sebelius would get destroyed if she were to run for Senate, now that we see her for what she is.

34 posted on 10/16/2012 10:42:07 AM PDT by RPTMS
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To: ozzymandus
"I never understood why Iowa was a RAT state."

The eastern part of the state has historically had many unionized operations in the numerous small towns.

35 posted on 10/17/2012 9:01:00 PM PDT by Paladin2
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