We gotta win beyond the margin of lawyer.
Posted on 10/22/2012 8:52:42 AM PDT by kingattax
Mitt Romney continues to out-poll every winning presidential challenger since 1968.
The latest Gallup daily tracking poll of likely voters has Mr. Romney leading Barack Obama by seven points, 52% to 45%. Mr. Romney’s total is greater than Richard Nixon’s 44% at this point in the race in 1968, Jimmy Carter’s 49% in 1976, Ronald Reagan’s hard to believe 39% in 1980 (Carter was ahead with 45%), George H. W. Bush’s 50% in 1988, and Bill Clinton’s 40% in 1992.
In 2000 and 2008 George W. Bush and Barack Obama both tracked at a within-error 51%.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtontimes.com ...
55% / 45%. I’ve been calling it thusly since mid-summer. I’m just waiting for the numbers to catch up.
When people go into the voting booth, they really have one big choice:
“Do I want for more years of this?”
And the answer will be a resounding “NO!”
Life in America sucks worse than at any time in post-Depression history. Everyone can feel it. We want the awful 0bama years behind us.
We could have run a real conservative and won 55% / 45%.
Clinton got 43% on Election Day - got 3+ over the last poll in October 1992. Romney will be up by 2+ over this poll on Election Day. If Obama melts down tonight, NJ, MI, WA and OR could come into play but I don’t expect that to happen.
All Romney needs to do put in a good performance tonight and the rest will take care of itself.
This is what beat Goldwater, the ad that changed the course of History..
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IkWAhuXtalw
When the world saw it, it was over! I hate to say it, but I think we just might see an updated version of this if Romney doesn’t see the TRAP tonight.. The only trick Obama has is FEAR.. The FEAR OF WAR..
What would Romney do with Iran, Israel, the fear of Syria, etc.. This is why Obama stalled before identifying the reason for the attack, HE NEEDED TO BE SURE! Thank God we had a steady hand at the helm! I hope I’m wrong, BUT.... ?
That won’t happen. The recovery begins the day Romney is elected especially if he gets a Republican Senate. The recovery will begin with a surge as job creators feel a massive weight lifted off their shoulders.
Imagine what our nation would be like if it had more papers like the Washington Times.
Too bad some of those rich guys Obama likes to slam don’t buy up the major papers and switch the tone.
Not to mention...
The country has grown more libtarded since then.
What was Sabato’s reasoning for saying Gallup is completely wrong?
People on the DU say the same thing about Romney.
It’s all nonsense both ways.
The GOP hasnt had a clear-cut election night win since 1988. We just aren’t used to winning, so when it looks like it, some get worried.
I think it would be fitting if in honor if McGovern death if Obamas electoral map is worse than McGoverns
Not to going to happen. A GOP presidential candidate today is not going to beat RR’s popular vote percentage and EV record and the Mittser is no RR. But he’s in the sweet spot. Just where you want to be two weeks out from the election.
Not to worry: I believe it very likely that Obama is going to top out at 43% of the vote.
“My biggest fear is that R/R get 53% of the vote and somehow lose the electoral vote. It can happen. Bush destroyed Kerry in ‘04 and could have easily lost the election if OH had slipped a few points in Lurches direction.”
Actually, the final total in 2004 was 51-48 Bush, and he carried OH by 126,000 votes, which was by roughly the same margin as the national poll. I wouldn’t worry about a scenario of getting 53% and losing — that, while possible, is nearly impossible, certainly nothing to lose any sleep over.
There really wasn't any, other than saying that such a split was laughable. A glance at some of his tweets reveals that he doesn't know WHY that could be, only that it's his personal feeling that millions don't shift their votes so easily. What he is missing is the fact that, up until very recently, the polls were designed to INFLUENCE opinion, not reflect it.
He’s wrong. All the other polls are in line with Gallup. If Romney wins independents by around 10 pts as all the polls are showing, he wins by the popular vote by 7-10 pts. Sabato is a Dem hack and is in denial.
I agree that Romney is the likely winner, and potentially by a surprising margin. I was only noting that the assertion of the author - that Romney’s tracking numbers are the nest since 1968 - was wrong. IN fact, it is laughably, miserably, astonishingly wrong.
That famous mushroom cloud ad created lots of talk but had little effect on the election and may had helped Goldwater. After all, the polls were showing that he would might lose his home state of Arizona. But Barry carried Arizona.
In Alabama when one mentions the ‘64 landslide it refers to how great the Goldwater margin was. His coattails swept in a slate of Republican Congressman in the then solid Dem South.
Goldwater said that the main factor in his defeat was that the country did not want a third prez within a year and a half and the sentimental JFK legacy in LBJ’s hands was strong.
Sabato says Gallup was wrong because Gallup disagrees with what - and I’m paraphrasing here - everyone knows will happen.
Like all things liberal, they have to have an air of inevitability to them. Their logic and approach is the very definition of “who are you going to believe, me or your lying eyes”
Haven’t the democrats been pushing that popular vote thing where some states have said they will pledge their Delegates to the winner of the national popular vote.
We gotta win beyond the margin of lawyer.
The same people who could not believe the whitewashing we put on the Dems in the 2010 midterms will be stunned - STUNNED - when Romney demolishes Obama. It’s like they are forcing themselves to not see it coming.
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