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Dick Morris: Romney Will Win By a 4-8 Point Margin with over 300 Electoral Votes (Video)
Gateway Pundit ^ | October 23,2012 | Dick Morris

Posted on 10/24/2012 6:24:57 AM PDT by Hojczyk

Dick Morris predicted on The O’Reilly Factor tonight that Mitt Romney will win by 4-8 points and over 300 electoral votes. Morris also said Romney will likely take Pennsylvania, Ohio and Wisconsin.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Ohio; US: Pennsylvania; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: 2012swingstates; dickmorris; predictions
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To: Hojczyk

It’s in our basic nature (and ego) that we humans don’t like to be wrong, nor do we like to look bad. We despise being fooled or cheated and certainly dislike it far worse when it happens a second time. So, my theory is that millions upon millions of people who are currently defending their foolish choice in 2008, will soon hide behind those drapes, cast their vote, and not be wrong TWICE. They will do it for they’re own ego and not because they were finally persuaded by their “conservative brother in law at the family dinner a few nights before”. This is also why some far lefties are wishy washy about B-HO. Their deep seated need to be liked, based on what others in their group think, trumps their own ability to think for themselves. I think it’s going to be a trouncing.


41 posted on 10/24/2012 7:06:32 AM PDT by LittleBillyInfidel (This tagline has been formatted to fit the screen. Some content has been edited.)
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To: stockpirate

My point was that 0bama’s loss cannot be a surprise to his base. They cannot think, going into election day, that he’s going to hands down win it.


42 posted on 10/24/2012 7:07:12 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: LittleBillyInfidel

*”their own”... Geez, need coffee...


43 posted on 10/24/2012 7:09:19 AM PDT by LittleBillyInfidel (This tagline has been formatted to fit the screen. Some content has been edited.)
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To: The Hound Passer

Buck up. That’s no way to look at life.


44 posted on 10/24/2012 7:09:52 AM PDT by InvisibleChurch (the mature Christian is almost impossible to offend)
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To: AppyPappy

I think you mean that the larger parasite states are too lopsided: Illinois, California & New York/New Jersey. The little parasite states (Rhode Island, Vermont, etc.) are pretty lopsided as well.


45 posted on 10/24/2012 7:13:04 AM PDT by MSF BU (n)
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To: MrB

If they know he’s going to lose, they are going to stay home. No point in casting a wasted vote.

And this means Romney will easily take swing states that are usually very close.

Watch IN - if Romney wins it by better than 25 points - he’ll have a very good night. IN traditionally gets called first and I knew the election was over in 2008 when it came in very late and went for Obama by a squeaker.


46 posted on 10/24/2012 7:15:15 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Haiku Guy

I fear that if Obama loses, we,ll see his face on TV MORE than ever before. Hell go on an all-out jihad against Bush, Romney, and the USA in community organizer style, the likes of which we’ve never see before.

He’ll make has-been meddler jimmy carter look like a beginner.

He will not go easy into that goodnight, because he loves the limelight too much.


47 posted on 10/24/2012 7:17:16 AM PDT by FrankR (They will become our ultimate masters the day we surrender the 2nd Amendment.)
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To: GilesB

“Call me crazy - but I’m saying it’s possible. Despite the color on all of the EV maps, CA is not as solid for the Big 0 as everybody thinks.”

Dude, what are you smoking??? Seriously, I would like to believe that but don’t think that is possible. Only other state that would be harder would be NY! Last time we won CA was in ‘88 I think with Bush the Senior!


48 posted on 10/24/2012 7:19:39 AM PDT by gbscott1954 (Please come back Sarah!!!)
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To: Maceman
I've heard him explain his rational before, it has to do with which way the undecided vote breaks. If I remember correctly, he says that the undecideds historically break for the challenger. So if things appear all tied up, with 4-6% undecided, more than half of that undecided vote swings to the challenger. With Romney leading or tied in the swing states, Morris believes Romney will collect more undecided votes than Obama, giving him the election.

No doubt, there are a lot of prior Obama voters who wish Obama had made them proud, but they are not proud, and even still wish they could vote for an Obama second term. But the cold hard facts starring them in the face when stepping into the voting booth mitigates against an Obama second term; they take comfort in the fact they voted for the first black president of the United States, but they know it's time to fix what has been broken for the last 4 years. And its fairly easy, Romney doesn't scare them like the boogie-man Obama made him out to be. Undecideds mostly want to have made the right choice when all is said and done. Obama holds no promise of correcting this economy and I think they know that. Those who go ahead and vote Obama are doing it for another reason, not the economy. I believe Morris is more right than he is wrong... It will be a Romney win, not land slide proportions, but by a distinct margin... bet me!

49 posted on 10/24/2012 7:24:45 AM PDT by dps.inspect (rage against the Obama machine...)
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To: InvisibleChurch

No worries, it was a tongue in cheek remark.


50 posted on 10/24/2012 7:27:08 AM PDT by The Hound Passer
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To: FrankR

He’ll go around the world on speaking tours, badmouthing America and trying to ruin a Romney recovery of the US economy...


51 posted on 10/24/2012 7:28:48 AM PDT by dps.inspect (rage against the Obama machine...)
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To: gbscott1954

Just wait and see. There is a pretty strong conservative core in the central valley - and the libs are not excited about their candidate.

California is in BAD shape
Only the hardest of hard-core libs are excited about the lib results.
If a little blood gets in the water, it will rouse the slumbering conservatives and further suppress the liberals - and as the frenzy grows, the rout is on.

Not saying it will happen, but it is going to be much closer than the mid teen margins currently being reported.


52 posted on 10/24/2012 7:29:12 AM PDT by GilesB
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To: The Hound Passer
ok. Good.

; )

53 posted on 10/24/2012 7:30:31 AM PDT by InvisibleChurch (the mature Christian is almost impossible to offend)
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To: goldstategop
I agree with Dick Morris.

Its not based on anything scientific - just a feeling we’re looking at a landslide.

I agree too.

Let's remember some of the "effects" that may be in play for our side.

1-The Bradley effect. The experience that whites don't want to openly say when polled they're against the black guy.

2-As someone else pointed out on the thread-the fact that undecideds typically go 80% for the challenger.

3-The enthusiasm gap. This typically manifests itself in certain apoliticals who just aren't excited enough to get off the sofa and turn out for someone they're just not wild about. Republicans are livid, wired, you know...."broken glass".

4-The embarrassment factor among blacks. Obama's embarrassed many of them. After the first debate many are embarrassed FOR him. They'll want him off the stage. They won't vote for Romney, but the story of this election will be how blacks stayed home in significant numbers, IMHO.

54 posted on 10/24/2012 7:33:06 AM PDT by wayoverontheright
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To: FrankR

That’s why we need to beat him so bad he will be embarrassed to show his face on the street.

We need to win by so much that nobody will admit ever having voted for him in the first place.

We need to deliver such a overwhelming victory, that by the time January rolls around, people are wondering, “Who is that guy shaking President Romney’s hand?” at the Inaugeration.


55 posted on 10/24/2012 7:34:13 AM PDT by Haiku Guy (If Hillary reminds every man of his ex-wife, Joe Biden reminds every woman of her ex-husband.)
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To: FrankR

That’s why we need to beat him so bad he will be embarrassed to show his face on the street.

We need to win by so much that nobody will admit ever having voted for him in the first place.

We need to deliver such a overwhelming victory, that by the time January rolls around, people are wondering, “Who is that guy shaking President Romney’s hand?” at the Inaugeration.


56 posted on 10/24/2012 7:34:23 AM PDT by Haiku Guy (If Hillary reminds every man of his ex-wife, Joe Biden reminds every woman of her ex-husband.)
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To: GilesB

Save yourself and move to Colorado!


57 posted on 10/24/2012 7:34:36 AM PDT by Dr. Ursus
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To: GilesB
Call me crazy - but I’m saying it’s possible. Despite the color on all of the EV maps, CA is not as solid for the Big 0 as everybody thinks.

When the early returns call New Jersey for Romney, you will know that it is all over...

58 posted on 10/24/2012 7:40:03 AM PDT by Haiku Guy (If Hillary reminds every man of his ex-wife, Joe Biden reminds every woman of her ex-husband.)
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To: Dr. Ursus

Oh, I’m already out of CA...but now in OR. Oregon is showing a little bit more sense with a light blue “leaning” color. Not as bad as CA, but sure needs some intelligent influence.


59 posted on 10/24/2012 7:42:05 AM PDT by GilesB
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To: LibLieSlayer

I am not so sure you and I dont have as much info as Morris.


60 posted on 10/24/2012 8:09:52 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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