"Gl- Gl- Gloria? Y- Y- You s-s-said you had a slam-dunk!"
Posted on 10/24/2012 1:05:44 PM PDT by TonyInOhio
This is techinically a vanity post, but newsworthy, all the same. Dave Wasserman is one of the head number crunchers at Cook Political Report, and he has been tweeting results from Virigina's early voting period. The numbers look good for Romney and very, very bad for Obama. Here are a several of his tweets with the raw data:
VIRGINIA EARLY VOTE: Up 18.8% in the 86 localities McCain won in '08, but up ONLY 4.4% in the 48 Obama won: http://www.sbe.virginia.gov/sbe_csv/STATS/
Overall, early vote up 9.4% across the board in VA vs this point in '08, but this 14% disparity very troubling #s for @BarackObama
3 of 4 top DECREASES in VA early voting vs '08: 1) Richmond City (-16.8%) 3) Arlington County (-14.0%) 4) Charlottesville City (-10.5%)
In VA's McCain localities, early vote = 95,744 (vs 80,881 at this pt in '08). VA's Obama localities = 152,084 (vs 145,673 in '08)
Huge drop-offs in Richmond, Arlington & C'ville indicative of understandable (yet troubling for Ds) decline in Af-Am, yuppie & college vote
VIRGINIA EARLY VOTE: Fairfax County (61% Obama) is DOWN 4.0% vs. this point in '08, even though statewide, early voting UP 9.4%
Buh bye Obama.
The Poll Ping list will find this interesting. In essence, the Obama campaign is relying on early voting to swamp Romney’s margins, and the data coming out of Virginia shows it ain’t happening.
Told you.
The metro DC folks are going Green and Libertarian this year.
I was told by some that they cannot vote for Romney but won’t vote for Obama hence the third party votes.
Ruh Roh.. I guess folk do care about who sat in the chair last.. and why they’re not there now.
sidenote.. Do not quote me! :-] I heard something about Florida early voting somewhere .. either radio or tv can’t recall.. 5 point advantage Mitt..
VA and FL are done deals. I’m worried about OH.
VA Ping!
If you want on/off the VA Ping List, please freepmail me.
If you see posts of interest to Virginians, please ping me.
Thanks!
African American turnout this time might hold some surprises.
Percentages of unequal totals can be deceiving. On raw numbers, ballots from GOP counties are up 15,000 while ballots from Dem counties are up 6,500. Of course those extra votes from Dem counties could all be Romney votes. Just saying . . .
VA early voting info.
Obama’s pretty much pulled out of western VA. He’s not on AM radio at all, while Romney and pro-Romney PAC’s are running at least 10 ads per hour on AM radio - a lot of it energy/coal related.
I admit I don’t watch much prime time TV, but when I do, I’m not seeing much Obama going on there either.
I’m sure Obama’s still on the air in northern VA.
Wow you’re right.
I have a friend (good guy, just hopelessly naive) working for OFA in Virginia. Recently he hasn’t really been wanting to talk about work, or the Presidential election.
They’ll probably stay home in droves.
They won’t dare vote AGAINST 0bama, but they won’t bother to show up to vote FOR 0bama.
“Obama’s pretty much pulled out of western VA. “
Being a resident of Virginia (and a voter) it will be nice not to be ashamed of which direction my state votes for the president this election. We are red basically accept for the Blacksburg/Va Tech liberal area and the Richmond area. They have as many non-Virginia born residents as the rest of the state does REAL Virginians.
The % of turnout vs 08 could be quite interesting.
That’s ok, Patrick Moran is on the job.
The % of turnout vs 08 could be quite interesting.
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