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Pennsylvania down voters from 4 years ago
TribLive.com ^ | Oct 24, 2012 | Adam Smeltz

Posted on 10/24/2012 11:47:41 PM PDT by JustaCowgirl

Pennsylvania is approaching the Nov. 6 presidential election with 3 percent fewer registered voters than in fall 2008, an unusual slip that political analysts blame on a drop in voter enthusiasm across the country.

Democrats especially experienced a slump, bleeding 229,396 registered voters in Pennsylvania since the last presidential race, state data show. Republicans are down 112,796 registrants, but voters unconnected to either major party grew by 7 percent, or 73,043, according to Pennsylvania Department of State figures. As of Monday the state had 8,487,093 voters, down from 8,755,588 in November 2008, despite a 2 percent population gain. Democrats still hold a 50-37 percentage registration edge over Republicans, down one point from 2008.

The registration deadline for the election was Oct. 9.

“This year, we don’t have such a sense that this election is going to make history the way we did in 2008,” said Pat Dunham, chairwoman of the political science department at Duquesne University. “Enthusiasm in general may have dampened a little. Three-and-a-half years after electing Barack Obama, we see it’s not that easy to change things. ”

For Democrats in particular, “there’s not the same excitement” as four years ago, when the party tallied thousands of registrations, said political analyst Geoffrey Skelley of the University of Virginia Center for Politics.

...snip....

Yet even Ohio, the most contested swing state, reported a voter-registration dip of about 490,000 as of September, a nearly 6 percent decrease from 2008. Election officials may remove names from voter rolls when people move, die or go inactive for extended periods.

Another barometer of voter interest — Election Day turnout — is projected to slide. The Center for Politics expects 60 percent of the voting-eligible population will vote, down from about 62 percent in 2008.

The 60 percent figure is about on par with 2004, Skelley said. He said that’s still relatively high, considering turnout rates for presidential elections hovered between 50 percent and 60 percent in the 1990s. ....snip..... Washington County Democratic Chairman George Vitteck said the party registered legions of college students in 2008.

“I think probably a lot of them have left the state with different ventures,” Vitteck said. “I don’t see the college people being as enthused now as they were four years ago. But the core Democrats – they’re still there.”

The state will complete voter-registration counts after an Oct. 29 certification deadline, spokesman Ron Ruman said.


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; pa2012; pennsylvania; swingstate; voterregistration
"Three-and-a-half years after electing Barack Obama, we see it’s not that easy to change things. ”

Yeah, especially if you're stupid enough to elect a snake.

1 posted on 10/24/2012 11:47:55 PM PDT by JustaCowgirl
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To: JustaCowgirl

Democrats enthusiastic for Romney. Feelin’ it?


2 posted on 10/24/2012 11:54:30 PM PDT by Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America
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To: Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America
... 50-37 percentage registration edge over Republicans, down one point from 2008.

Actually, active registrations are 50-38, which is down 2 points for Dems since 2008. The Trib needs to drill down further in the PA Dept of State spreadsheet.

3 posted on 10/25/2012 12:10:46 AM PDT by FredZarguna ("The future does not belong to those who do not eat bacon.")
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To: FredZarguna

Thanks for the info. Mo’ better even.


4 posted on 10/25/2012 12:26:14 AM PDT by JustaCowgirl (Storm the heavens with your prayers for Mitt Romney tonight.)
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To: JustaCowgirl
But there seems to be a lot of enthusiasm to get rid of Barack Obama.

The author got that right! In '08 I used to say that I'd vote for a cardboard box before I'd vote for Obama. To humor that sentiment I kind of wished we'd nominated a cardboard box this time. But I guess a cardboard box wouldn't have done as well in the debates.

5 posted on 10/25/2012 12:27:48 AM PDT by Hokestuk
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To: JustaCowgirl
voters unconnected to either major party grew by 7 percent

And they will go overwhelmingly for Romney.

6 posted on 10/25/2012 12:32:15 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: JustaCowgirl
How many legal voters is California bleeding?? People who want a good job with lower taxes are fleeing liberal led California like rats bailing out a sinking ship captained by Jerry, pot smoking, Brown. It’s the Titanic all over again but this time it affects millions of people. ROMNEY/RYAN 2012 Change this deep blue state to bright red on it’s way back to the Golden State, not the illegal refuse state.
7 posted on 10/25/2012 12:45:06 AM PDT by Nitehawk0325 (Credo quia absurdum, I believe it because it is absurd.)
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To: JustaCowgirl

When the poly sci prof talks about making history in 2008—so biased it sounds like satire from the Onion.

Guess the Neanderthal voters will “unmake” some history this time.

:-)


8 posted on 10/25/2012 1:18:05 AM PDT by cgbg (No bailouts for New York and California. Let them eat debt.)
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To: JustaCowgirl

-490K total
-113K GOP
+ 73K Ind


-450K Dem


9 posted on 10/25/2012 3:35:50 AM PDT by Hoodat ("As for God, His way is perfect" - Psalm 18:30)
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To: JustaCowgirl

Maybe they removed all those dead voters from the rolls, the ones who always vote Democrat.


10 posted on 10/25/2012 3:47:39 AM PDT by generally (Don't be stupid. We have politicians for that.)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Thanks JustaCowgirl.
with 3 percent fewer registered voters than in fall 2008
the steady decline puzzles analysts.


11 posted on 10/25/2012 4:00:29 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: fortheDeclaration
voters unconnected to either major party grew by 7 percent

And they will go overwhelmingly for Romney.


That's right. That's why these statistics say more to me about where Pennsylvania might be going than a lot of the election polls.
12 posted on 10/25/2012 5:25:50 AM PDT by JustaCowgirl (Storm the heavens with your prayers for Mitt Romney tonight.)
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To: cgbg
When the poly sci prof talks about making history in 2008—so biased it sounds like satire from the Onion.

Guess the Neanderthal voters will “unmake” some history this time.

Isn't it though? She might as well have said 'Sigh, I guess it just wasn't possible for dear, lovable Barack to make the changes he wanted to. All the ignorant dummies will probably go vote for Romney now.'

13 posted on 10/25/2012 5:29:45 AM PDT by JustaCowgirl (Storm the heavens with your prayers for Mitt Romney tonight.)
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To: fatima; Fresh Wind; st.eqed; xsmommy; House Atreides; Nowhere Man; South Hawthorne; brityank; ...

PA Ping!

If you want on/off the PA Ping List, please freepmail me.

If you see posts of interest to Pennsylvanians, please ping me.

Thanks!


14 posted on 10/25/2012 5:41:37 AM PDT by randita
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To: JustaCowgirl

‘“This year, we don’t have such a sense that this election is going to make history the way we did in 2008,” said Pat Dunham’

Of course it’s going to make history: the first half-black President of the United States gets voted out of office after a single term with even BIGGER EV and voter margins than his original election.

I think that is history making, every bit as his election. Clearly, the historic defeat of the first half-black President by a white man is a blatantly racist act by a blatantly racist country, whereas his election in the first place in which he defeated a white man is clearly NOT a racist act by a blatantly racist country. There, I’ve set the stage for the Progressive meme on college campuses across the U.S. for the next 50 years, and I’m not even going to seek official publication and the consequent fame and fortune attendant there upon.


15 posted on 10/25/2012 8:35:37 AM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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