Posted on 10/25/2012 7:12:13 AM PDT by tatown
Thursday, October 25, 2012
The full Swing State tracking update offers Rasmussen Reader subscribers a combined view of the results from 11 key states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. If you do not already have a Rasmussen Reader account, subscribe now.
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In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 50% of the vote to Obama’s 46%. Two percent (2%) like another candidate in the race, and another two percent (2%) are undecided.
This is now the third day in a row - and the fifth time in the past six days - that Romney has hit the 50% mark in the combined swing states. This survey is conducted on a rolling seven-day basis, and most of the interviews for today’s update were completed before the end of Monday night’s presidential debate. Romney has now held a modest lead for 14 of the last 17 days; Obama was ahead twice, and the candidates ran even once.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Ping
Steady as she goes.....
Internals look good for the Governor too...
The individual state numbers are all that matters.
If Romney wins Florida by ten, but loses Ohio by one, the plus nine is worth less than a cup of coffee.
Sweet. It’s definitely a better feeling being up a few than down a few like back through all of September.
This shows the brilliance of Romney’s strategy re: Libya. Letting events unfold will only work to his advantage, while launching an attack on Obama (which would have given Obama center stage to deny, lie, shift blame, and muddle the issue) might have backfired bigtime.
Good CEOs know how to pick their battles. Timing is key also, as there is still plenty of time for Obama to sustain further damage while remaining above the fray.
Attacking Obama is raw meat for us, but noone is going to switch and vote for Obama because of anything Romney said or failed to say in the 3rd debate. On the other hand, the polling data indicates that a majority of undecided voters saw Romney as a leader who could become the next President. The 3rd debate wasn’t about “us” - it was about them.
What this is starting to say to me is that people have made up their minds and this is the way the election will end up.
Obama has a real problem as it seems as if a couple points are bouncing for him. Which means a few are still considering voting.
I was reading into why the Suffolk guy, a couple of weeks, back called FL, VA and NC for Romney - despite polls showing the race in Virginia only 2-3 points.
It wasn’t because overwhelming great polls for Romney (i.e. 50-44, etc). His statistical theory is that an incumbent who cannot get to 49.5 in a state poll is going to lose. And that’s why he backed out of VA, FL and NC. He said if he sees Obama move up to 49-50 then he’d put them back in play. Today’s Rasmussen VA poll has it 50-48 for Romney, so again, Obama is under that number.
I think that’s important to understand. Morris goes by same theory. For example, when Obama leads 47-45, Morris calls that 53-47 for Romney. With the majority of undecideds breaking for Romney (although I think that’s way too generous).
Anyhow, in short, a poll showing Obama up 48-46 is different than a poll showing Romney up 48-46, according to this theory. It’s an interesting theory to remember down the stretch.
If Romney leads by four in all swing states, he is leading in Ohio.
R and R are focused like a laser beam on jobs and the economy. All of the other issues like energy, foreign policy, debt and deficits, etc. are the spokes in a wheel that always lead to the hub which is jobs/economy.
They’ve staked their entire campaign from day one on this issue because that’s where Obama is the most vulnerable. You find the weakest spot of the defense, then you hit ‘em over and over again until you push them back and break through. They’ve broken through. The field is not yet clear for a touchdown, but it’s getting there.
To pull back and probe the line in another spot hoping for a breakthrough at this point in the game is foolish.
They’ll win or lose with their game plan. I can’t think of another plan that would be better.
Same here.
It’s a positive trend and that’s good but seems utterly meaningless as far as electoral votes are concerned.
Obama watched them die. He watched four Americans get slaughtered and did not lift a finger to help.
It is uncanny how the Democrat in Ohio seems to get the same share in the state as he does in the general (or slightly less). In other words, if Obama loses the national popular vote, history says he is toast in Ohio.
51-49 Mitt take Ohio.
If that’s true, then why isn’t Suffolk pulling out of OH too? They just polled OH and have it tied at R47/O47....
Sneak peek at VA:
O:51 R: 46 with leaners
O:48 R: 45 without leaners
The sample is +7 Democrat
O and R are tied with Independents
^^^^^ I meant PA not VA
Sneak peek at PA from Rasmussen:
O:51 R: 46 with leaners
O:48 R: 45 without leaners
The sample is +7 Democrat
O and R are tied with Independents
Excellent
Uggg
He meant PA not VA. I know freaked me out too.
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