Posted on 10/30/2012 2:57:29 PM PDT by barryobi
For those of you interested in how BarryObi thinks the race is going in the Badger State, I would tell you to be cautiously optimistic.
As a close follower of the previous elections, I posted earlier stats on the 2000, 2004, 2008 POTUS elections, and the June 6, 2012 Gov Walker recall election.
In 2000 Gore won the state by 5,000 votes out of 2.7 million cast
In 2004 Kerry won by 11,000 out of 2.9 million cast
In 2008 Obama won by 400,000 votes out of 2.9 million votes cast.
In June 2012, Scott Walker won the recall election by 170,000 votes out of 2.5 million votes cast.
As you can see, 2008 was the outlier election. The same number of votes were cast as in 2004, but the margin was almost 400,000 votes more for Obama than Kerry won by.
Will the turnout in 2012 be closer to 2.9 million or 2.5 million. I am assuming it will be closer to 2.9 million, but probably only 2.8 million this cycle. If so, and Romney gets all the votes Walker got, Obama would have to win 2 out of 3 of those extra 300,000 votes in order to win.
How is the Democrats vaunted GOTV effort going? Early voting ends Friday, and the GAB (our elections people) claims that the number of early votes will be more in 2012 than they were in 2008. We shall see about that. The weather has been cold, a little rainy last week, and very windy so far this week.
Working in MIlwaukee, I drive by one of Obama's campaign offices in the hood every day. I also drive by the local SEIU office. I have to tell you, I have not seen many people at all coming out of either place, The Obama office is visible from the street, so I took a pic. This week, I have not seen more than one person in this office at a time. If that is a good measure of the enthusiasm of Obama's core minority voters, he is in trouble.
Criminals don’t like to be seen together.
I’ve seen that red x before. Is it some sort of gang symbol?
Obama did say he was going to have the most transparent administration in history. LOL!
red x
Learn how to post a pic on FR!
Thanks! Notice there is not ONE person at the table. There actually was one worker who I did see in the office, but they were not in the pic.
<http://i1210.photobucket.com/albums/cc411/wiscman/obama.jpg>
Post from the html code in photobucket, not the pic review page.
Hardly worth the editing work, right?
So much fail in that picture...
He is a troll.
Yes! LOL.
Ohhhhhh I like that graphic Red. I think it should go on the FR home page.
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