Iowa: Romney 45.2 O 44.4 (U of Iowa poll)

Hawkeye Poll ^ | 10/31/12

[NoobRep]

University of Iowa Hawkeye Poll

[Tennessean4Bush]

This is a Romney win prediction with him slightly leading and so many undecideds. Worst situation with undecideds should be Romney getting 3 of every 5 undecided.

[GEC]

ALL of the University-based polls are conducted by students with faculty supervision:

Quinnipiac, Marist, Franklin & Marshall

They get cheap labor from the students who are instructed by their liberal professors.

Is there any way that liberal bias might be introduced by polls using this process?

You Betcha!

[Hillarys Gate Cult]

We’re also in the last “real” news day of the campaigns. Remember that most Friday afternoon and beyond till Monday news releases are designed to go down the weekend memory hole. Any bad news for their man will be released then. Monday is the true October surprise day as we’ll mostly see agenda driven stories ( more than now ) and complete BS that the MSM knows there isn’t time for the opponent of their chosen one to refute.

[Huskrrrr]

Yes, makes no sense.

[fieldmarshaldj]

RedTube down again ?

[nathanbedford]

1. If Romney wins Ohio he does not need New Hampshire, Iowa, or Nevada.

2. If Romney fails to take Ohio he needs one of those three and Wisconsin.

3. Romney is very likely to take New Hampshire and likely to take Iowa especially in view of these data from this poll.

4. Romney is very likely to win Ohio.

5. Romney is very likely to win Wisconsin.

6. Romney is very likely to win Ohio, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Iowa yielding 295 electoral votes.

7. Romney has a reasonable chance of winning Pennsylvania or Michigan.

8. If Romney wins New Hampshire he turns the tables dramatically on Obama because Obama now must now run the table winning: Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, and one of Iowa or Nevada.

9. Obama must win all of these states with a ceiling of 47%, in the teeth of Romney's momentum, with undecideds who are breaking two out of three for Romney, with Barone predicting the affluent suburbs going to Romney, with the voter intensive older generations breaking overwhelmingly for Romney, with early voting breaking for Romney by five points according to Gallup, with the women's gap closed, and with palpable intensity on the side of Romney – whose position would you rather be in?

[GOPsterinMA]

YouTube? I hardly go on there except for movie quotes.

Think “here”.

[Clump]

You are spot on.
Serious question for you.
Are these “concern trolls” really just trolls or are they weak kneed GOPers that get discouraged easily by the LSM?
Maybe a combination of both?

[GOPsterinMA]

Excellent analysis!!!

FWIW, I’ve been predicting for months that Romney will win NH and ME-02, along with WI.

[NFHale]

“...I had a dream last night...”

For some reason, Nick Cage’s dream sequence from “Raising Arizona” came to mind... I have NO idea why...

[GOPsterinMA]

I’ve never seen that movie.

[Wpin]

One correction...Gallup has Romney up by 7%! In survey of those who already have voted!!! sample size 3,300 +

Obama, the traitor...is going to Pennsylvania...Romney to Wisconsin...they are fighting on democrat land!!! Not to mention strength for Romney with Independents...

The national polls are still weighting plus democrats in a year when all signs are that it will be a plus Republican year. Additionally, I believe there will be a substantial (statistically) crossover voting by democrats for Romney.

I am confident on the one hand, but very fearful on the other...if Obama wins...I fear for our nation...

[Impy]

No, he didn't say you tube.......

Anyway, if the House gain is as large as 18 that it's hard see Romney not winning Ohio, and us getting at least 52-53 in the Senate.

I had a dream once where I congratulated John Kerry for winning the democratic nomination. He was a smug prick and didn't really acknowledge me.

Hmm was that a dream or did I actually meet John Kerry?

[NFHale]

“Raising Arizona” is a very funny movie, and one of my favorites.

Check it out when you get a chance. Ex-con (Nick Cage) marries a police officer (Holly Hunter), and they’re trying to start a family and a new life. She discovers “I’m BARREN!!” and sends him out to kidnap a baby from a family that just had SIX, due to fertility pills.

The baby’s parents are wealthy, and they hire a bounty hunter (Randy Tex Cobb) to track down the kidnappers.

It’s worth the watch, you’ll laugh.