Posted on 11/01/2012 7:10:44 AM PDT by paul544
Less than a week before Election Day, President Barack Obama holds a statistically significant lead over Republican nominee Mitt Romney in the battleground of Iowa, while the two candidates are locked in tight races in New Hampshire and Wisconsin, according to new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls.
(Excerpt) Read more at firstread.nbcnews.com ...
NBC/Marist. ‘Nuff said there. No credibility at all.
We’ll see. Even Hotair was having trouble shooting down the IA poll. They only have it D+3 which doesn’t account for 6 point lead.
Either way, these polls are lining up with others for these states even if IA seems a bit off.
Right now the propaganda, 4% behind the reality, is up against the ropes. Meaning, the knockout has already occurred.
All information is valuable if you're watching it move.
Marist is located in Poughkeepsie, NY where they have the Culinary Institute of America, a place that locally delivers Special Sauce.
The Marist poll is conceding Romney is leading in NH and WI! IA looks safe for The One but I think Romney will definitely carry NH and WI.
With +5-+15 D’s? Riiiiight. This year’s election will probably be +5 R’s. Add 10 points to whatever Romney’s polled, and that’ll be the LOW END of what Romney actually gets. Obama’s firewall will be DC, Harlem, Madison, and South Central LA.
Where do you see that? Obama’s up in all three.
LLS
NBC/WSJ/Marist reporting a tie in Wi? That’s GREAT news!!!
You just named where all the riots for big screen tv’s will take place after Gilligan loses the election.
Leading in NH and WI but losing Iowa?
I don’t think so.
That would be like zero losing Texas and carrying Oklahoma.
Its a tie in NH and WI - a tie is MSM speak for a Romney lead - they are never going to say he’s ahead in those states. But you can figure out if its tied in two of those states, Romney has the lead! I can say 99% sure that Romney will win both NH and WI.
The Marist polling has been terrible. The Journal seems to pick embarassingly bad polling partners - they even published Zogby internet polling once cycle with disastrous results.
These polls are showing a move toward Romney from previous surveys (WI -6 -> -3, IA -8 -> -6) - but I really don't know whether to give that any credence considering the weakness of the pollster.
On second thought, the IA poll could be off - if Romney is behind by -5, he could still win the Hawkeye State. They have to make Bamster look good. Speaking conservatively, IA is on the fence but I feel confident about GOP prospects in those other states.
I stopped at NBC
A lot of “concerned” nattering naybob posts from you. This race is structural. In actual data, Obama is running 14% behind his ‘08 early vote margins, 14% behind his spread with independents, and is polling about 14% worse in every single state than he did in ‘08. Detect a common theme here? Even California and Oregon show the 14 pt shift. Subtract 14 from whatever Obama got in ‘08 and you are pretty close to your final result in ‘12.
Now that you know this, you can spend the next 5 days rubbing your cat or whatever you do for pleasure besides trying to unnecessarily depress people out on this forum.
With +5-+15 D’s? Riiiiight. This year’s election will probably be +5 R’s. Add 10 points to whatever Romney’s polled, and that’ll be the LOW END of what Romney actually gets. Obama’s firewall will be DC, Harlem, Madison, and South Central LA.
Yeah but my cat doesn’t react like you do so I’ll stay here all the same.
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