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Why Hispanics Don’t Vote for Republicans
National Review Online ^ | November 7, 2012 | Heather Mac Donald

Posted on 11/07/2012 4:10:27 PM PST by neverdem

The call for Republicans to discard their opposition to immigration amnesty will grow deafening in the wake of President Obama’s victory. Hispanics supported Obama by a margin of nearly 75 percent to 25 percent, and may have provided important margins in some swing states. If only Republicans relented on their Neanderthal views regarding the immigration rule of law, the message will run, they would release the inner Republican waiting to emerge in the Hispanic population.  

If Republicans want to change their stance on immigration, they should do so on the merits, not out of a belief that only immigration policy stands between them and a Republican Hispanic majority. It is not immigration policy that creates the strong bond between Hispanics and the Democratic party, but the core Democratic principles of a more generous safety net, strong government intervention in the economy, and progressive taxation. Hispanics will prove to be even more decisive in the victory of Governor Jerry Brown’s Proposition 30, which raised upper-income taxes and the sales tax, than in the Obama election. 

And California is the wave of the future. A March 2011 poll by Moore Information found that Republican economic policies were a stronger turn-off for Hispanic voters in California than Republican positions on illegal immigration. Twenty-nine percent of Hispanic voters were suspicious of the Republican party on class-warfare grounds — “it favors only the rich”; “Republicans are selfish and out for themselves”; “Republicans don’t represent the average person”– compared with 7 percent who objected to Republican immigration stances. 

I spoke last year with John Echeveste, founder of the oldest Latino marketing firm in southern California, about Hispanic politics. “What Republicans mean by ‘family values’ and what Hispanics mean are two completely different things,” he said. “We are a very compassionate people, we care about other people and understand that government has a role to play in helping people.”

And a strong reason for that support for big government is that so many Hispanics use government programs. U.S.-born Hispanic households in California use welfare programs at twice the rate of native-born non-Hispanic households. And that is because nearly one-quarter of all Hispanics are poor in California, compared to a little over one-tenth of non-Hispanics. Nearly seven in ten poor children in the state are Hispanic, and one in three Hispanic children is poor, compared to less than one in six non-Hispanic children. One can see that disparity in classrooms across the state, which are chock full of social workers and teachers’ aides trying to boost Hispanic educational performance. 

The idea of the “social issues” Hispanic voter is also a mirage. A majority of Hispanics now support gay marriage, a Pew Research Center poll from last month found. The Hispanic out-of-wedlock birth rate is 53 percent, about twice that of whites. 

The demographic changes set into motion by official and de facto immigration policy favoring low-skilled over high-skilled immigrants mean that a Republican party that purports to stand for small government and free markets faces an uncertain future.  



TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections; US: District of Columbia
KEYWORDS: hispanics; latinos; republicans
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To: SaraJohnson

You must have missed the second clause of her third sentence.


61 posted on 11/07/2012 5:29:55 PM PST by Yardstick
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To: ari-freedom

Because LBJ had just created the biggest vote buying scheme with Great Society. He even said, “I’ll have those n-words voting Democrat for 200 years!”

What was the GOP to do? Flank the Democrats to the left on handouts? Politely tell Blacks that they should refuse cash transfers, and Affirmative Action hiring policies?

The Nixon/Reagan coalition would have worked just fine if immigration laws weren’t amended that made the border as porous as it is today. Now, we just witnessed the completion its destruction.


62 posted on 11/07/2012 5:32:46 PM PST by Shadow44
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To: kabumpo
The only problem is that recently two thirds of our legal immigrants come from Latin American and two thirds of those from Mexico. Illegals are mostly from Mexico and Latin America.


63 posted on 11/07/2012 5:36:27 PM PST by kabar
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To: livius
The people that lost us this election were the libertarian and third party voters, and I doubt that they were Hispanics.

An author of a recent book about independents was on PBS' NewsHour tonight. She said their turnout was down to 24 %, but they make up 40 % of registered voters. That makes sense with the reduced overall voter turnout.

64 posted on 11/07/2012 5:37:03 PM PST by neverdem ( Xin loi min oi)
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To: neverdem

.


65 posted on 11/07/2012 5:39:15 PM PST by Mrs. Don-o (Stone cold sober, as a matter of fact.)
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To: neverdem
A majority of Hispanics now support gay marriage,

I remember watching an episode of COPS some years ago and they were in LA arresting a bunch of illegal transvestite prostitutes. One of the cops explained that they do things here that they wouldn't dare do at home.
66 posted on 11/07/2012 5:41:45 PM PST by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: neverdem

You are right. I did mess up. Sorry.


67 posted on 11/07/2012 5:42:22 PM PST by SaraJohnson
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To: lonevoice

“I didn’t have a single kid who arrived at my house on foot this year.”

Yeah, kind of the sign of the times, kids don’t seem to walk anywhere these days, especially school. When I was a kid I wouldn’t be caught dead being driven anywhere by my parents (unless the weather was horrific).


68 posted on 11/07/2012 5:43:40 PM PST by dsrtsage (One half of all people have below average IQ. In the US the number is 54%)
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To: neverdem
My best friend is Hispanic, and he's a hardcore Conservative. He is an American, and he has the same concerns as any other American. There isn't some special issue he finds important just because he's Hispanic. I'm assuming this Hispanic vote that we hear about all the time is based on nothing more than illegal immigrants, and those with illegal immigrant relatives who want to make it even easier to invade our nation. Hispanics such as my friend who's family came from Mexico have no more connection to Mexico than I do to England. And while he doesn't know for sure, but suspects that his family came here illegally doesn't make him obligated to support illegal immigration like many others seem to think.
69 posted on 11/07/2012 5:43:43 PM PST by ThermoNuclearWarrior (We must start working outside the broken, corrupt, and unconstitutional system to save this nation.)
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To: Alberta's Child
Canada has a merit based immigration system. Ours is based primarily on a kinship system. Chain migration or family reunification drives the vast majority of the 1.2 million legal immigrants that enter this country each year. And our immigration policies are not related to our job or skill needs. During the decade that ended in 2010, which saw the highest number of immigrants in our history, we actually saw a net loss of jobs for the same period.


70 posted on 11/07/2012 5:43:45 PM PST by kabar
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To: kabumpo
I am surprised that MacDonald is so ignorant.

She's not ignorant. Read the link in the story. She thinks like you that they are mostly hopeless as far as the GOP is concerned.

71 posted on 11/07/2012 5:48:03 PM PST by neverdem ( Xin loi min oi)
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To: livius
The people that lost us this election were the libertarian and third party voters, and I doubt that they were Hispanics.

That's a ridiculous argument. The people "that lost us this election" were (a) the people who voted for Democrats, and (b)the candidates and party leaders who couldn't convince enough citizens to vote for them. If a candidate and their party can't convince enough people to vote for them then they lose. Mitt Romney failed to attract enough voters, period.

Needless to say the MSM sure helped, as did more than a billion dollars spent mostly in attack ads against him and fellow Republicans. How many ads did you see Libertarians running against Mitt Romney and other Republicans? I think the answer is none. How many attack ads paid for by unions, Planned Parenthood, Emily's List, the DNC, etc. did you see?

A few Republican candidates with ill thought out comments on social issues led to the loss of many less informed young voters. It was incredibly foolish for the Republicans to let themselves be led into the whole "war on women" meme set up by the left. Needless to say the libertarians voters had nothing to do with that bungle.

72 posted on 11/07/2012 5:57:42 PM PST by freeandfreezing
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To: kabumpo

I work for the Border Patrol and I agree with your post.


73 posted on 11/07/2012 5:57:58 PM PST by Ajnin (Neca eos omnes. Deus suos agnocet!)
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To: ari-freedom

talking of Latinos as if they were a ‘race’ strikes me as somewhat patronizing and ignorant. no wonder they look askance
at the GOP..


74 posted on 11/07/2012 5:58:51 PM PST by RitchieAprile
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To: neverdem

Hispanics that are Protestants are in play, and voted 56% republican in 2004.


75 posted on 11/07/2012 6:12:55 PM PST by ansel12 (Romney not only reelected Obama, he lost the Senate,ruined the "down ticket", West, Mia Love, Brown.)
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To: livius

“The people that lost us this election were the libertarian and third party voters...”

Mathematically false. There weren’t enough third-party votes to make a difference in any state. Also half the Libertarian and almost all of the Green Party vote comes from would-be Democratic voters.


76 posted on 11/07/2012 6:13:11 PM PST by Siegfried X
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To: Shadow44

What can we do to boost the ranks of the Republicans by a few million?


77 posted on 11/07/2012 6:24:01 PM PST by tbw2
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To: TurboZamboni
Sounds like she read Jeb Bush in Parade magazine this past Sunday.

I don't know what Jeb Bush wrote, but I can guess. Sounds like you should read her link in the story.

78 posted on 11/07/2012 6:24:51 PM PST by neverdem ( Xin loi min oi)
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To: Ajnin

thank you, i appreciate hearing from someone on the front lines. Stay safe.


79 posted on 11/07/2012 6:28:50 PM PST by kabumpo (Kabumpo)
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To: Viennacon

Eastern European like the Poles?

The trouble is throughout history the have nots want what the haves have. That’s the history of the world. Give them the opportunity to take and they will.

Historically, it was done with violence, but today it is peaceable and by law.


80 posted on 11/07/2012 6:31:28 PM PST by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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