Skip to comments.The Polar Vortex Returns Next Week [Vortex!]
Posted on 01/17/2014 11:00:00 PM PST by zeestephen
Meteorologists are starting to see signs of an impending Polar Vortex sequel that could send the country plunging into a deep freeze.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.msn.com ...
Too bad the Weather channel won’t be there to give it a name.
Currrently 14F in Lexington, KY. That isn’t a deep freeze already? It’s getting colder?
Darn that Global Warming!
Al Gore! Save us! It’s winter again and these cold spells keep coming like a Clinton in the White House!
Eighties and upper seventies here in SoCal, but that’s tempered by the fact that we have Moonbeam, DiFi, Boxhead, Peloonie, Muddywaters and more. Why does it seem the batter weather a state has the loonier the reps.
When I was a boy, my Dad called this phenomenon “winter”.
I have continued the tradition.
We’re in desperate need of rain - all this heat, wind and sunshine in January is not good weather - it’s a catastrophe.
Polar Vortex?? Never heard of it before this year?
Obviously the polar ice caps will turn to a hot dry desert, and most of the US will turn bitterly cold if we don't repent.
Turn off your computers now and invest in carbon credits, .......
OOOPS, you will need your computer to buy the credits but run it on battery.
And hug a tree today.
80 degrees in SoCal today.
Going to the beach on Sunday.
But hmmm, it's in the 30's in Montana. And look at this, it's in the 30's in the YUKON ... in January! ... at night!
So, you know ... just chill.
Well yeah that’s the other downside of living in the desert, but soon they will be telling us when to bathe and take away our glass of water in the restaurants and remind us that if it’s yellow let it mellow, if it’s brown send it down. Funny they didn’t remember that last part when Jerry ran for Gov. again.
Duh. The Russian scientists I follow, real scientists who don’t get US fedgov grants to pimp AGW, said the Northern Hemisphere was in for 3 to 5 of these massive cold blasts and/or storms storms this year. We’ve had two (the first one being the massive ice storm that struck the South).
BTW, according to them, next year will be worse.
Globull warming round two
No polar vortex gonna come to these parts but the rest of you enjoy.
I’ll take this So Cal weather any day.
Well, all this heat, wind and sunshine in January in and of itself is just fine, some rain to spell off all that wind, sunshine and heat would be most welcome. Remember our rainy season really doesn't start until February. So I say, start that rain dance asap. :)
On the last go around, one of the threads included a discussion of past terms used for similar phenomena - Canadian cold front, Alberta Clipper, etc.
It’s just another means of tarting up the weather to sell more Alpo.
Oba-noba! Winter again!
>>But hmmm, it’s in the 30’s in Montana.
A harbinger for a bumper crop of dental floss next year? Hmmm, perhaps I should get into commodities futures.
>>So, you know ... just chill.
It’s 14F, I don’t have much choice!
January 16, 2014|
We are about to enter a very interesting period, and while I know that many of you like the cold, this next Arctic outbreak could be dangerous and even historic. I put out an article about a week ago and then one before that that basically restated that I thought that mid to late January going into February could end up being dangerously cold for the central and eastern U.S. While I have really been putting myself out on the line over these last few weeks, I am now getting a lot of forecast model support to back up what I saw coming several weeks ago. Like I said on the Facebook page, the GFS model did not handle the last Arctic outbreak that well in predicting this in the long-range, so I absolutely had no reason to believe that anything would be different this time. Yet again, many fell into the trap of using the GFS as their model of choice for their long-range forecast, and they got burned. See, weather and climate works in cycles, and you have to be able to see those cycles. If you miss that, then youre left depending on a model that dictates your forecasts, and those forecasts can change A LOT! Youre at the mercy of the forecast models, and I try to never put myself in that situation.
Now that Im getting the support of the forecast models and were much closer to the event, I want to show you what the models are predicting. In fact, if what the forecast models are predicting for the last week of January going into February comes to fruition, then we have a historic Arctic outbreak on our way that would give us brutal cold. The Canadian model also supports a big East Coast storm later in January, which I really think could happen. From the way things are starting to look, this cold pattern could lock in, which would continue into February, and we could also move into a very stormy pattern. Many of you have commented on the Facebook page (yes, I take the time to read almost all of your comments and messages) that you were disappointed that you didnt get any snow with this last Arctic outbreak. Im really thinking things will be different this time. No, Im not saying that Miami, FL will get snow, but I do think many areas in the Southeast and up the East Coast will.
The pattern that is setting up is classic for extreme cold and storminess in the East and well-above average temperatures and dry conditions in the West. When you get this kind of ridging in the western U.S. and over Alaska and blocking over Greenland, the cold in the East is going to be brutal. A piece of the polar vortex is going to split and move south again (possibly further south than the last time) and be responsible for yet another brutal Arctic outbreak of cold air. Im thinking that this cold air could end up even being more potent further south than the last time, so places even into Florida will end up with brutal cold. The biggest difference this time is that the cold will likely stay around for a long time, and ridging is going to prevent the polar vortex from re-establishing itself over the North Pole. In other words, this cold may not go anywhere for days, even weeks, and we could be setting up a pattern that has not been seen in decades.
Of course, there are some uncertainties, but I am highly confident that this cold blast is going to occur. I think the worst of the cold could be focused east of the Mississippi, but that will not be the only areas that are cold. Im also watching what is currently occurring over the Bering Sea, and there are strong indications that this cold wont go anywhere in February. While there will be some fluctuations, I really dont see the eastern U.S. fluctuating back into a warmer pattern. Youre going to have your cold spells, and then youre going to have your REALLY cold spells! Again, the East Coast needs to keep their eye on the potential for a big winter storm later in the month, and I will detail that more in another article.
Since the GFS has its act together for now as far as predicting the cold, I want to show you its ensemble. Most of its members have really cold air establishing itself over the eastern U.S., which is remarkable that were getting that kind of agreement. If it were just the operational model showing this, then I wouldnt even bother showing it. The European and Canadian models are also in agreement with predicting very cold temperatures later in the month.
On January 22th, the GFS ensemble really establishes the cold over the eastern third of the nation.
Fast-forward to January 25th, and you still have really cold air over the eastern U.S.
Then we move into January 28th, and things just look brutal!
Now, take a look at the European ensemble average temperature anomaly for January 26th through January 30th. This shows extreme cold! These are the expected temperature departures from average, and given that were in the heart of winter, this kind of cold would be very dangerous!!
Of course, Ill continue to keep you updated! If I dont have time to post on the site in the next couple of days, Ill definitely be posting on the Facebook page. Please give it a like if you havent already.
Supposed to hit 13C (56F) here in Calgary tomorrow. We need more snow to melt. Over the next 14 days, the lowest ‘low’ is supposed to be -12C (10F). Much nicer than it was earlier in the winter.
About the fox graphic:
Why did I think of the GOP when I saw that???
That blows !!
or, that sucks .. !!
All of which depends on your lattitude ..!
I know what you mean.
The Polar Vortex is splitting?! TVMALSVOMGWTF
I am skeptical of your lower chart, as I am now convinced that the polar vortex this time is rising up from the SOUTH Pole. As evidence to support my claim, the past week has been the coolest I have ever seen since I started living in Jakarta 25 years ago. In the wee hours, the temperature gets all the way down to 70F.
Some attribute this to the incessant rain; mayhaps they are not aware of the (S)PV phenomenon.
I got the Algore version at #33.
High pressure over Lake Baikal?
Enough already! We finally got some cold weather in North Florida to kill off the skeeters so please return to the warm weather we had in December.
Actually, I like the cold weather as it makes working outside a lot easier than working in the heat of summer. Winter is when I get my outdoor projects done.
Everyone! => Oh! Susanna...
LOL! Polar Vortex sounds like one of those disaster movies that the SciFi Channel is always running.
I vaguely remember when it was called that too.
Here in SoCal with our sunshine and 70-80 degree daily temps, winter has been missing in action since December.
Polar Vortex? Is that the new global warming fake scientific term to make people feel smart when they not only believe it, but use it?
BTW, I live in CT. I had to bury my dog yesterday. I was worried it would be difficult, because typically the ground is frozen solid. It was as easy as digging during the summer. I was able to get a 4.5 deep hole within 45 minutes. I could have dug holes for fence posts for an entire fence around my yard.
I didn't either, but the only polar vortex, is that wind coming out of Al Gore's filthy, disgusting pie hole.
Interesting! More important, any forecast for the Super Bowl in NY, Feb 2?
And the Farmers Almanac forecasted that the Super Bowl, incredibly being played in an outdoor stadium in NJ in February, will be frozen, so perhaps these polar fronts are a part of the coming global cooling.
They used to call these strong cold fronts coming down from Canada “Alberta Clippers”.
Just checked the 10 day forecast which shows normal weather.
Thanks for the excellent graphic!
I wonder if there is enough room on the Weather.com homepage to post this?
Perhaps if they deleted 10 or 15 of their headlines screaming “Kill Dish Network!” and “Call Congress NOW!” they might be able to fit it in.