Skip to comments.The Numbers That Scare Senate Democrats
Posted on 02/08/2014 10:12:38 PM PST by neverdem
Voting with Obama 97% of the time is going to end some careers.
Three sets of numbers have emerged in recent weeks that bode ill for Democratic hopes to keep the U.S. Senate. The first came from new Federal Election Commission filings and news reports on campaign fundraising for the fourth quarter of 2013, and cash-on-hand on Dec. 31.
Seven states carried by Mitt Romney have Democratic senators whose seats are up in November. Overall in these states, the leading Republican candidates raised $6.5 million while their Democratic opponentsincluding four incumbentsraised $6.7 million during the last quarter. Five Republicans outraised their Democratic opponents, including in all three states (Montana, South Dakota and West Virginia) where the Democratic senators are leaving and in two of the four states (Alaska, Arkansas, Louisiana and North Carolina) where Democratic incumbents are trying to hold on.
Republicans also whittled away at the Democratic cash-on-hand advantage in these states. Democrats had an $18.5 million to $11.5 million cash advantage at the end of September. By the end of December, Democrats had roughly $21 million, Republicans $15.5 million.
The second troubling number for Democrats is Gallup's presidential job-approval rating, which was 42% the week ending last Sunday. The president's average approval in these seven Senate states is roughly 36%. If that's the case on Election Day, he will likely sink his party's candidates, who probably cannot run more than five points ahead of Mr. Obama's rating.
Then there is the nonpartisan Congressional Quarterly's summary of last year's legislative voting patterns. The four red state Democratic senators running for re-election gave Mr. Obama's policies almost perfect support, led by Louisiana's Mary Landrieu and Alaska's Mark Begich at 97%, followed by North Carolina's Kay Hagan at 96% and Arkansas's Mike Pryor at 90%...
(Excerpt) Read more at rove.com ...
Hey, that’s great, Karl!
Now President Romney will have a Republican Senate to work with!
No sweat. The stupid party will figure out how to piss it away.
Well, I am crossing my fingers and hoping its true (what OTHER choice do we have). The probability is, of course, that Republican senators in the majority wit out-RINO each other, thinking that that is their best path to the presidency.
No, just analysis, he's pretty good at that.
And Karl my boy, it’s even better than you describe because not only are we going to rout the RATs, we’re going to “off” some of the RINOs as well.
Hagan gonna lose! Hagan gonna lose! I CAN’T WAIT.
Lmao. For a sec I thought the 97% was Republicans.
I am starting to get worried if Karl Rove, a known loser, says we are going to win.
Now we’ll just have to wait, IF the GOP is going to take over the Senate, that they will undo the crap Obama has created or if they will just act as if nothing has happened and try to reach across the aisle so as not to piss off the MSM.
Hes trying to assure the big donors that the Party doesnt need the help of the Tea Party groups. They forget how he threw away some $300 million in 2012 and convinced his candidate to go easy on the President.
You are brave to post something Rove wrote here given the extreme level of disdain in which he’s held. I think some freepers practically like Harry Reid better than Rove.
If McConnell wins re-election, he will do this just to throw mud in the face of the more militant conservatives.
This is like listening to the advise of Jerry Jones about how to build a winning football team.
Forget all the other numbers, they’re irrelevant.
ObamaCare, and all its unintended consequences, is single-handedly killing the Democrats right now, and will continue to do so until November - and there’s no way Big Media can cover that fact.
Once Congress is fully back in Republican hands, Obama is in a box. With at least a few competents in the House and Senate (Cruz, Rand, etc.), the real fun begins.
Republicans can easily lose their vacant seat in Georgia, where Sam Nunn’s daughter will be the Democrat nominee.
Contrary to what Rove hopes for, Republicans have no chance at all in New Mexico, Oregon, and Iowa.
New Mexico is 50% Hispanic, and a majority of whites in both Oregon and Iowa voted for Obama.
If the GOP does win in Michigan, New Hampshire, and Minnesota, I think we are guaranteed 3 more RINO senators.
My 2014 prediction.....
We gain 2 seats in the Senate.
We lose a few House seats, almost certainly in Georgia and Texas, and we hold on to our completely useless majority.
I think the 7 million new people on Medicaid might disagree with you.
I don’t think the “non-white” voting base will be nearly as motivated to vote in 2014 as they were when Obama was on the ballot. A funny thing is happening in NC. Despite the propaganda and weekly protests by the Democrats since Governor McCrory and the Republican majority enacted their pro-growth tax policies, the unemployment rate is down and the job market is improving every day. Hagan is very unpopular in the state and her case will not be helped by ads showing her parroting Obama, “If you like your plan, you can keep it.”
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