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The Unemployment Puzzle: Where Have All the Workers Gone?
Wall Street Journal ^ | 04/05/2014 | By GLENN HUBBARD

Posted on 04/06/2014 4:50:29 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

A big puzzle looms over the U.S. economy: Friday's jobs report tells us that the unemployment rate has fallen to 6.7% from a peak of 10% at the height of the Great Recession. But at the same time, only 63.2% of Americans 16 or older are participating in the labor force, which, while up a bit in March, is down substantially since 2000. As recently as the late 1990s, the U.S. was a nation in which employment, job creation and labor force participation went hand in hand. That is no longer the case.

What's going on? Think of the labor market as a spring bash you've been throwing with great success for many years. You've sent out the invitations again, but this time the response is much less enthusiastic than at the same point in previous years.

One possibility is that you just need to beat the bushes more, using reminders of past fun as "stimulus" to get people's attention. Another possibility is that interest has shifted away from your big party to other activities.

Economists are sorting out which of these scenarios best explains the slack numbers on labor-force participation—and offers the best hope of reversing them. Is the problem cyclical, so that, if we push for faster growth, workers will come back, as they have in the past with upturns in the business cycle? Or do deeper structural problems in the economy have to be fixed before we can expect any real progress? To the extent that problems are related to retirement or work disincentives that are either hard to change or created by policy, familiar monetary or fiscal policies may have little effect—a point getting too little attention in Washington.

(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: jobs; unemployment; workers
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1 posted on 04/06/2014 4:50:29 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

2 posted on 04/06/2014 4:51:33 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (uestion)
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To: SeekAndFind

You cannot grow bacteria in petri dish full of molten lead.


3 posted on 04/06/2014 4:53:12 PM PDT by deadrock (I am someone else.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Let me put it this way:

I would love a break down of all the jobs private and public sector created over the last 6 years.

I have the feeling we have a ton of people off the books and also a ton who were put on government employment welfare at high pay on the private sector’s tax dollar.


4 posted on 04/06/2014 4:53:15 PM PDT by A CA Guy ( God Bless America, God Bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Obama has dragged us back down to the Carter Presidency.


5 posted on 04/06/2014 4:54:13 PM PDT by taxcontrol
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To: SeekAndFind

I know a bunch of women who worked in real estate during the bubble and do not now. They didn’t need the jobs. They liked the money.


6 posted on 04/06/2014 4:57:57 PM PDT by WriteOn (Truth)
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To: SeekAndFind

“Where Have All the Workers Gone?”

They are on disability.


7 posted on 04/06/2014 5:00:17 PM PDT by headstamp 2 (What would Scooby do?)
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To: SeekAndFind

do deeper structural problems in the economy have to be fixed before we can expect any real progress?

Obama would say YES and so doing destroy any further
progress. Get Government out of the way, and watch this
country soar.


8 posted on 04/06/2014 5:02:42 PM PDT by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Is there a change in the makeup between government workers and private? I’ll bet the reason this isn’t worse is because the government jobs have expanded. Government jobs which produce no goods or services to enhance value.


9 posted on 04/06/2014 5:05:53 PM PDT by Portcall24 (aer)
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To: SeekAndFind
I believe the un-employment rate does not include all who are
unemployed but only those receiving Unemployment insurance.

There are millions who no longer receive benefits.


10 posted on 04/06/2014 5:07:39 PM PDT by Uri’el-2012 (Psalm 119:174 I long for Your salvation, YHvH, Your teaching is my delight.)
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To: SeekAndFind
The Unemployment Puzzle: Where Have All the Workers Gone?

This is not a puzzle. The Feds are cooking the book. Simple as that. Also explains why the math no longer works.

I reckon the true unemployment rate is somewhere around 15%, maybe higher.

11 posted on 04/06/2014 5:08:07 PM PDT by upchuck (Support ABLE, the Anybody But Lindsey Effort. Yes, we are the ABLE!!)
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To: SeekAndFind
Big Media regurgitates the U-3 unemployment rate issued by the Feds. The best number to look at is the U-6 which is 12.7% according to them.

But even the U-6 numbers seem fudged in order to keep the economic charade going.

Would the Real Unemployment Number Please Step Forward?

According to ShadowStats.com website the U-6 is really closer to 23%/24%.
12 posted on 04/06/2014 5:08:11 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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To: SeekAndFind

As taxes go up, the underground economy expands. It’s called the Laffer Curve.

Greece has that going on right now.
70% of the activity is underground.......


13 posted on 04/06/2014 5:08:54 PM PDT by 4Liberty (Optimal institutions - optimal economy.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Looks like the party is in the wagon. You all pulling the wagon are going to have to do a better job. Slackers.

(/sarcasm)


14 posted on 04/06/2014 5:13:34 PM PDT by listenhillary (Courts, law enforcement, roads and national defense should be the extent of government)
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To: SeekAndFind

Well lets see.

If I’m a guy who has worked my ass off for 20 years, my job has been sent off to India or China, and I’m faced with the choice of:

A:) Go to work at a ‘McJob’ for $10 per hour and take orders from some ignorant bastard that’s just barely removed from Puberty, and has an IQ that’s around room temperature.

B:) Sit on my ass at home all day or ‘go fishing’ and collect a check that nets out to about the same dollar amount as option ‘A’.

Which option do you think they will choose?

The people that wrote this article obviously don’t get out of their offices much.


15 posted on 04/06/2014 5:13:41 PM PDT by KoRn (Department of Homeland Security, Certified - "Right Wing Extremist")
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To: 4Liberty

16 posted on 04/06/2014 5:14:11 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Anyone posted the number of ‘disabled’ in Detroit? That number will rock your socks...


17 posted on 04/06/2014 5:14:16 PM PDT by GOPJ (.'Dog Shit' could be sold to 7 million citizens if the IRS fined those who refused to buy it...)
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To: KoRn

Either way you go with A or B you still are a McMoron!


18 posted on 04/06/2014 5:15:14 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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To: SeekAndFind

TANF SNAP SECTION 8 SSDI SSI EITC WICS
OBAMAPHONE GASELECTWATER ASSISTANCE ETC. That’s where they went.


19 posted on 04/06/2014 5:15:51 PM PDT by Gaffer (Comprehensive Immigration Reform is just another name for Comprehensive Capitulation)
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To: 4Liberty

Amazing how the Laffer Curve agrees with Josef who later became vice-prez of ancient Egypt.


20 posted on 04/06/2014 5:16:02 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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