Could Democrats Gain Senate Seats This Fall?

Real Clear Politics ^ | April 17, 2014 | Sean Trende

[NFHale]

Slightly off-topic, but speaking of communist - err, Democrats...

I’m watching “Dr. Zhivago” right now. Boy... those old Bolsheviks sound JUST like our very own modern day liberals...

Gee... just coincidence, I know... because EVERYONE knows OUR liberals have nothing but the best of intentions.

[fieldmarshaldj]

If I remember correctly, didn’t one particular Bolshevik look like Zero’s “Pajama Boy” ?

[Impy]

My personal opinion comes in part from past exit polls showing that third parties (of any stripe) end up drawing fairly equally from each of the major parties. Didn’t that special election in FL recently bear that out?

I don't know I didn't look at any exit polls for that race. The (L) bastard had been polling pretty high (not typical for Florida) and ended up with just under 5%.

I seem to remember exit polls from 1992 saying Perot took evenly, I have trouble buying that but I think Clinton would have still won, more narrowly.

I still think they take more from us, particularly in States like AZ and MT. The IL Libertarians I'm pretty sure take mostly from us. In Cali, maybe not, lots of stoners and social liberals there. FL, I don't know, hasn't been a state with many Libertarian votes.

Looking at how Gary Johnson did in his home state, Obama 52.99%, Romney 42.84%, Johnson 3.55%. Senate race was Heinrich (D) 51%, Wilson (R) 45.28% and Jon R. Barrie (Ind. American) 3.63%.

Looking at Alaska, Romney 54.80%, Obama 40.81%, Johnson 2.46%. Jill Stein (Green) 0.97%. I'd be shocked Johnson cost Obama many votes there. Obama's slight increase in % due to Palin not being on the ballot looks about right, Romney's vote looks too low.

American Independent party (CA) and Independent American Party (NV) are Constitution party affiliates (the NM party wasn't but they have the same ideology). I doubt they take many rat votes but I'm sure they get plenty votes from people who have no idea what they stand for because they are attracted to the word "Independent".

In the 2006 race for IL Governor between Blago and RINO Judy Barr-Topinka, the Green Party (which got 10.36% of the vote!) clearly took plenty of votes from Topinka as well as Blago. This was because they were the only other choice on the ballot and got a lot of protest votes in that race between 2 unpopular a-holes.

I didn't vote for Topkina for Comproller in 2010, voted for the Libertarian Julie Fox, I hated to do it cause I don't want to encourage third parties, but Topinka disgusts me. This time she's running against the current LT. Governor, Paul Simon's daughter. Groan.

[yongin]

always remember this fact about 3rd parties. harry reid beat john ensign by 428 votes in 1998. the libertarian got thousands of votes.

[catfish1957]

If 90% of the senate GOP campaign ads highlight the Obamacare debacle, then they will take the senate. If they can be trapped into debating other issues, the results may not be as good.

RNC..... Here is your template...... (1)Start the ad with films of Obama's lies about keeping doctors, coverage, and lower cost. (2) Insert democrat candidate's face and any affiliation they have with Obama. (3) Watch dim poll numbers plummet

Easy

[GOPsterinMA]

I don’t think the Bolsheviks loved buggery; so the modern Reds are even worse.

Notice the new tagline? :)

[NFHale]

Yes... the bastard that called himself Strelnikov. Lara’s husband.

[1010RD]

Those FReepers are DUmmies.