Posted on 05/02/2014 3:00:31 PM PDT by blam
Climate Researchers Think We Could Be In For The Most Powerful El Niño In 16 Years
The Conversation UK
Agus Santoso and Shayne McGregor, The Conversation UK
May 2, 2014, 5:31 PM
We have only just moved into May and despite being seven months away from next summer in the southern hemisphere, climate researchers are seeing the beginnings of what could be the most powerful El Niño event since 1997/98.
An El Niño is a change in Pacific Ocean and atmosphere that typically causes drought, extreme heat and bushfires in Australia.
Last year was a neutral El Niño and we have been surprisingly lucky with only a few small El Niño’s since the 21st century started, despite having two of the hottest years on record globally in 2005 and 2010.
The last really big El Niño was in 1997/98. It is no coincidence that 1998 is the only remaining year from the past century that still sits in the top 10 for the hottest years, globally, on record.
By itself, research shows an El Niño event can raise the global average temperature for the following year by 0.1 to 0.2C. It is one of the reasons many climate scientists have been concerned about what could happen if another strong El Niño was to occur.
The way things are shaping up in 2014 we may be about to find out.
Strong El Niño on the cards
Over the past month and a half, three strong westerly wind blasts along the equator appear to have triggered ocean subsurface warming. The warming has intensified and rolled to the eastern equatorial Pacific — a strong sign of a developing El Niño.
But it is not the ocean warming by itself that is significant
(snip)
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
Horsepucky - this El-Nino is surface-based and will be short-lived and followed by another devastating Winter in the U.S.
But that will not stop the Climate Change nazis from screaming Chicken Little.
It’s so cold here (Indiana) the dandelions are shriveled and hugging the turf for warmth.
Have we heard yet that “ this will be the worst Hurricane season ever” statement yet for this year?
We get that every year
WOW! Just in time for stinko dee piehole. Go ocean. Do what you want. Another made up holiday kinda like k-whaaa-nza.
Possibly.
That fraud at Colorado State has been putting out his hurricane predictions for years with zero credibility after the fact. The guy has been living off the public teat for years.
CLIMATE RESEARCHERS ARE SNAKE OIL SALESMEN. If I remember correctly back in the early days the UN head of climate change was a railroad engineer in India.
Joe Bastardi blew this apart in his Weatherbell Saturday blog last Saturday. He said that it will be about half as high as the “record highs” that are actually recorded.
Joe Bastardi blew this apart in his Weatherbell Saturday blog last Saturday. He said that it will be about half as high as the “record highs” that are actually recorded.
Thanks for the not-so-big El Niño ping.
Epic El Nino is welcome in these parts.
16 years ago was only yesterday.
there is NO accountability for anyone who is deemed a climate changer
US NOAA with multi billion dollar fed funds and models PREDICTED this past winter would be warm...
In fact it was the coldest in 100 years and we had ZERO, repeat ZERO GDP growth in 1st quarter of 2014...
99% of the most prominent economists were WRONG because their economic models didn’t or don’t use weather forecasts or if they do they WERE WRONG
EL NINOS happening after a COLD PERIOD are WEAK...
REPEAT WEAK
IM sick and tired of being preached to by neer idiots who aren’t correct, or challenged on their lousey calls
climate change isn’t science its THEORY...it cant be replicated or they would be able to forecast 100% accurate
the sun has lost 50% of its convection heat and 30% of great lakes are still frozen
My first thought too - I'll take Joe's predictions (based on actual science and sentience) over these "climatologists" any day.
That was Dr Bill Gray. He retired and said that flipping a coin was as accurate as his hurricane predictions.
Me too.
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