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Keyword: elnino

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  • The Drought Goes From Bad To Catastrophic

    08/02/2014 5:50:31 AM PDT · by blam · 65 replies
    Zero Hedge ^ | 8-2-2014 | Tyler Durden
    Tyler Durden 08/01/2014 As we previously commented, when scientists start using phrases such as "the worst drought" and "as bad as you can imagine" to describe what is going on in the western half of the country, you know that things are bad. However, in recent weeks the dreadful situation in California has gone from bad to catastrophic as the U.S. Drought Monitor reported that more than half of the state is now in experiencing 'exceptional' drought, the most severe category available. And most of the state – 81% – currently has one of the two most intense levels of...
  • El Nino Could Be a Monster This Year

    04/15/2014 11:49:42 AM PDT · by BenLurkin · 39 replies
    realclearscience.com ^ | April 14, 2014 | Adam Mann,
    Official NOAA Climate Prediction Center estimates peg the odds of El Niño’s return at 50 percent, but many climate scientists think that is a lowball estimate. And there are several indications that if it materializes, this year’s El Niño could be massive, a lot like the 1997-98 event that was the strongest on record.
  • El Niño's About To Bring The Heat

    06/04/2014 6:15:28 PM PDT · by blam · 14 replies
    BI - Live Science ^ | 6-4-2014 | Becky Oskin, LiveScience
    Becky Oskin, LiveScience Jun. 4, 2014Global temperatures in 2013. A massive oceanic heat wave is rolling toward the eastern Pacific Ocean right now, a telltale signal of a brewing El Niño. An El Niño is a natural climate cycle marked by warmer-than-average temperatures in the waters of the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Forecasters won't make their final call until later this summer, but all signs point to an El Niño this year, perhaps one as powerful as what occurred in 1982 or 1997. But even a weak El Niño could hike global temperatures to record levels, scientists think.Chart of the temperature...
  • How The Coming El Niño Will Change The World's Weather

    05/22/2014 12:45:13 PM PDT · by blam · 30 replies
    BI - Live Science ^ | 5-22-2014 | Becky Oskin, LiveScience
    Becky Oskin May 22, 2014, 12:56 PM The forecast for a drought-busting El Niño this winter has Californians as giddy as kids at Christmas. An El Niño is the warm phase of a natural Pacific Ocean climate cycle driven by sea surface temperatures. The redistribution of hotter versus colder surface water triggers changes in atmospheric circulation that influences rainfall and storm patterns around the world. Warm water is piling up in the equatorial eastern Pacific Ocean right now, similar to the pattern that preceded the strong 1997-1998 El Niño, when California was drenched by a series of winter storms. The...
  • Half Of The US Is In A Drought

    05/14/2014 3:01:40 PM PDT · by blam · 39 replies
    BI ^ | mike Carlowicz
    Half Of The US Is In A Drought Mike Carlowicz, NASA Earth ObservatoryMay 14, 2014 Drought - NASA Earth Observatory U.S. Drought Monitor. As of May 6, 2014, half of the United States was experiencing some level of drought. Nearly 15 percent of the nation was gripped by extreme to exceptional drought. For the Plains and the Southwest, it's a pattern that has been persistent for much of the past several years. The map above was developed by the U.S. National Drought Monitor, a partnership of U.S. Department of Agriculture, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and the University of...
  • Climate Researchers Think We Could Be In For The Most Powerful El Niño In 16 Years

    05/02/2014 3:00:31 PM PDT · by blam · 36 replies
    BI - The Conversation UK ^ | 5-2-2014 | Agus Santoso and Shayne McGregor
    Climate Researchers Think We Could Be In For The Most Powerful El Niño In 16 Years The Conversation UK Agus Santoso and Shayne McGregor, The Conversation UK May 2, 2014, 5:31 PM We have only just moved into May and despite being seven months away from next summer in the southern hemisphere, climate researchers are seeing the beginnings of what could be the most powerful El Niño event since 1997/98. An El Niño is a change in Pacific Ocean and atmosphere that typically causes drought, extreme heat and bushfires in Australia. Last year was a neutral El Niño and we...
  • Study links California drought to global warming

    04/24/2014 11:28:19 AM PDT · by Olog-hai · 25 replies
    Associated Press ^ | Apr 24, 2014 2:02 PM EDT | Seth Borenstein
    A new study is asserting a link between climate change and both the intensifying California drought and the polar vortex blamed for the recent harsh winter. […] The new study blames an unusual combination of a strong Western high pressure ridge and deep Great Lakes low pressure trough. And it says that is linked to a recently found precursor to El Niño, the world-weather changing phenomenon. And that precursor itself seems amplified by a build-up of heat-trapping greenhouse gases. …
  • Debate Heats Up On Role Of Climate In Human Evolution

    11/03/2003 7:52:15 PM PST · by blam · 68 replies · 1,286+ views
    Eurekalert ^ | 11-3-2003 | Geological Society Of America
    Contact: Ann Cairns acairns@geosociety.org 303-357-1056 Geological Society of America Debate heats up on role of climate in human evolution Boulder, Colo.- Scientists at the Geological Society of America annual meeting in Seattle next week are taking a comprehensive new look at drivers of human evolution. It now appears that climate variability during the Plio-Pleistocene (approximately 6 million years in duration) played a hugely important role. Astronomically controlled climate forcing on scales ranging from 20,000 to 100,000 years down to El Niños (5-7 years) made a highly unpredictable environment in which generalists with intelligence, language, and creativity were best able to...
  • Get Ready For One Of The Worst El Niños Ever

    04/22/2014 10:29:44 AM PDT · by blam · 62 replies
    BI ^ | 4-22-2014 | Eric Holthaus
    Get Ready For One Of The Worst El Niños Ever Eric HolthausApril 22, 2014, 11:52 AM With apologies to Game of Thrones fans, there’s a new climate menace on the prowl: El Niño is coming. New data released late last week added to the mounting evidence. To be declared an official El Niño, surface water temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean must warm by half a degree Celsius averaged over three months and maintain that level for five consecutive three-month periods. That’s an arbitrary definition, sure, but it gives us the ability to crunch the numbers on weather patterns that...
  • Tropical ocean key to global warming ‘hiatus’

    09/03/2013 11:30:11 PM PDT · by neverdem · 17 replies
    Nature News ^ | 28 August 2013 | Jeff Tollefson
    Surface cooling in equatorial Pacific drives decade-long pause in global temperature rise. A new study adds to mounting evidence that cooling in the tropical Pacific Ocean is the cause of the global warming hiatus, a slow-down in the rise of average temperatures that began around 1998. The eastern equatorial Pacific is well known to have an outsize influence on global weather. Years-long ocean trends such as El Niño and La Niña cause alternate warming and cooling of the sea surface there, with effects on monsoons and temperatures around the world. Now a modelling study by researchers at the Scripps Institution...
  • Natural Climate Shifts Drove Coral Reefs to a Total Ecosystem Collapse Lasting 2,500 Years

    09/02/2013 8:55:33 AM PDT · by SunkenCiv · 16 replies
    EurekAlert!, via ScienceDaily ^ | July 5, 2012 | Florida Institute of Technology
    Climate change drove coral reefs to a total ecosystem collapse lasting thousands of years, according to a paper published this week in Science. The paper shows how natural climatic shifts stopped reef growth in the eastern Pacific for 2,500 years. The reef shutdown, which began 4,000 years ago, corresponds to a period of dramatic swings in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). "As humans continue to pump greenhouse gases into the atmosphere, the climate is once again on the threshold of a new regime, with dire consequences for reef ecosystems unless we get control of climate change," said coauthor Richard Aronson,...
  • Discovery of 1,800-year-old ‘Rosetta Stone’ for tropical ice cores

    04/04/2013 5:54:26 PM PDT · by Ernest_at_the_Beach · 11 replies
    Watts Up With That? ^ | April 4, 2013 | by Anthony Watts
    > Will Lonnie Thompson archive THIS new ice core data? Posted on April 4, 2013 by Anthony Watts From the Ohio State University , taken with a grain of salt since Dr. Thompson and his wife Ellen are serial non archivers of ice core data (even when asked for it), which prevents other scientists from checking their work.Discovery of 1,800-year-old ‘Rosetta Stone’ for tropical ice coresFind offers the most complete picture of Earth’s low-latitude climate history to dateThis photo from a 1977 expedition to Quelccaya Ice Cap in Peru shows clearly defined annual layers of ice and dust visible in the...
  • El Niño Events May Tip Nations to War

    08/25/2011 3:33:43 PM PDT · by neverdem · 16 replies
    ScienceNOW ^ | 24 August 2011 | Daniel Strain
    Enlarge Image Climate of violence. El Niño-Southern Oscillation events hold sway over nearly half the nations of the world, many of which have experienced surges in violence during El Niño years. Credit: Hsiang et al., Nature Tensions between the Peruvian government and the rebel group the Shining Path erupted into bloody clashes in 1982—the same year that an El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) event scoured potato fields across the hilly nation. Doomsayers might see cause and effect, but scientists have so far struggled to connect widespread violence with global climate phenomena. Now, a new study suggests that civil strife is...
  • Coal Stops Global Warming?

    07/06/2011 4:47:13 PM PDT · by Kaslin · 18 replies
    IBD Editorials ^ | July 6, 2011 | Staff
    Weather Science: Climate alarmists are now explaining away their failed predictions by claiming China's power plants emit sulfur dioxide that cancels out carbon dioxide emissions. So should we burn more coal? Among the emails unearthed during ClimateGate, when scientists working at or with Britain's Climate Research Unit conspired to "hide the decline" in global temperatures, is one from Kevin Trenberth of the National Center for Atmospheric Research to Michael Mann, inventor of the now-discredited "hockey stick" graph that purported to show sudden and dangerous man-induced temperature rise. Trenberth says: "Well, I have my own article on where the heck is...
  • Large Swaths of Earth Drying Up, Study Suggests ("evapotranspiration" happens.)

    10/12/2010 12:54:33 PM PDT · by NormsRevenge · 23 replies
    The soils in large areas of the Southern Hemisphere, including large parts of Australia, Africa and South America, have been drying up in the past decade, a new study finds. The study is the first major one of its kind to look at the movement of water from the land to the atmosphere, called "evapotranspiration," on a global scale. This phenomenon returns about 60 percent of annual precipitation back to the atmosphere, in the process, using more than half of the solar energy absorbed by land surfaces. .. Most climate models have suggested that evapotranspiration would increase with global warming,...
  • EARTH OBSERVATION Satellite images suggest La Nina formation

    06/23/2010 1:17:55 PM PDT · by Ernest_at_the_Beach · 66 replies
    Space Daily ^ | Jun 22, 2010 | Staff Writers Pasadena, Calif. (UPI)
    NASA says new images from its Jason-2 oceanography satellite shows the tropical Pacific has switched from El Nino warm conditions to La Nina cool conditions. "The central equatorial Pacific Ocean could stay colder than normal into summer and beyond," said oceanographer and climatologist Bill Patzert at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif. "That's because sea level is already about 4 inches below normal, creating a significant deficit of the heat stored in the upper ocean. The next few months will reveal if the current cooling trend will eventually evolve into a long-lasting La Nina situation." Patzert said a La...
  • Hugo Chávez left in the dark as El Niño plays power politics

    02/22/2010 4:57:38 AM PST · by rightwingintelligentsia · 16 replies · 853+ views
    UK Guardian ^ | February 21, 2010 | Rory Carroll
    Hugo Chávez may be wondering, as Venezuela's taps run dry and its cities fall into darkness, whether God is on the side of the Yankees. The El Niño weather phenomenon appears to be taking sides as it parches leftist-ruled parts of South America and brings bounty to US farmers and corporations. One of the severest droughts in decades has given Venezuela's socialist president a political nightmare as hydro-electrical power dribbles to a standstill, unleashing blackouts, rationing and protests. The waters behind the Guri dam, which supplies more than half the nation's power, have touched perilously low levels. Chávez has declared...
  • Warm air causes Blizzards? It's El Nino's fault

    02/12/2010 10:50:08 AM PST · by wmposh · 12 replies · 563+ views
    Naxa ^ | Davic Herring
    Fishermen who ply the waters of the Pacific off the coast of Peru and Ecuador have known for centuries about the El Niño. Every three to seven years during the months of December and January The vast tropical Pacific Ocean receives more sunlight than any other region on Earth. Much of this sunlight is stored in the ocean in the form of heat 1982-83 El Niño, this drop in sea level exposed and destroyed upper layers of coral reefs surrounding many western Pacific islands
  • Mid-Atlantic shuts down ahead of huge snow warning (NWS Alert - warns of 20-30 inches of snowfall)

    02/05/2010 12:00:39 PM PST · by NormsRevenge · 242 replies · 7,220+ views
    AP on Yahoo ^ | 2/5/10 | Nafeesa Syeed - ap
    WASHINGTON – Shoppers jammed aisles and emptied stores of milk, bread and shovels Friday as a massive snowstorm blew into the Mid-Atlantic. Forecasters predicted a record 30 inches or more for the nation's capital, and authorities already were blaming the storm for the deaths of father-son Samaritans in Virginia. The region's second snow storm in less than two months could be "extremely dangerous," and heavy, wet snow and strong winds threatened to knock out power, the National Weather Service said. Flakes started falling around noon in Washington, where the federal government sent workers home early. The storm's wide swath and...
  • Drought-busting El Niño has come to town

    01/21/2010 10:32:26 AM PST · by NormsRevenge · 37 replies · 830+ views
    SFGate.com ^ | 1/20/10 | Kevin Fagan
    SAN FRANCISCO -- El Niño is officially here. Finally. Miserable commutes, howling winds, flooding streams, closed schools - this week's storms have had all the nasty punishments the famed weather pattern was supposed to bring, but hadn't so far this winter. Thunder-filled skies dumped more than an inch of rain in most Bay Area locations for the third consecutive day Wednesday, and by the time everyone was able to see clearly through the car windshield again in the evening, the verdict was clear. "It was looking more like El No-show than El Niño a couple of months ago, but there's...
  • Northern South America Rainier During Little Ice Age [ that's rainy-er, as in more rainy ]

    01/03/2010 10:21:29 AM PST · by SunkenCiv · 12 replies · 729+ views
    ScienceDaily ^ | Friday, January 1, 2010 | American Geophysical Union, via EurekAlert
    During the Little Ice Age (LIA; covering approximately the fifteenth through the eighteenth centuries), northern South America experienced about 10 percent more rainfall than during the twentieth century, according to Reuter et al. The authors analyzed two new records of oxygen isotopes (which track precipitation levels) from cave formations in northeastern Peru. They attribute the higher rainfall in northern South America during the LIA to cooler spring sea surface temperatures in the tropical North Atlantic. Furthermore, the authors note that some studies have shown that during the twentieth century, a significant amount of rainfall variability in northern South America was...
  • The Day Global Warming Stood Still (But Warming Lies Didn't)

    11/20/2009 5:01:45 PM PST · by raptor22 · 19 replies · 2,176+ views
    Investor's Business Daily ^ | November 20, 2009 | IBD editorial staff
    Climate Change: As scientists confirm the earth has not warmed at all in the past decade, others wonder how this could be and what it means for Copenhagen. Maybe Al Gore can Photoshop something before December. It will be a very cold winter of discontent for the warm-mongers. The climate show-and-tell in Copenhagen next month will be nothing more than a meaningless carbon-emitting jaunt, unable to decide just whom to blame or how to divvy up the profitable spoils of climate change hysteria. The collapse of the talks coupled with the decision by Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid to put...
  • Statisticians reject global cooling

    11/08/2009 9:34:55 AM PST · by Dominic01 · 30 replies · 1,370+ views
    AP ^ | Tuesday, October 27, 2009
    Have you heard that the world is now cooling instead of warming? You may have seen some news reports on the Internet or heard about it from a provocative new book. Only one problem: It's not true, according to an analysis of the numbers done by several independent statisticians for The Associated Press. The case that the Earth might be cooling partly stems from recent weather. Last year was cooler than previous years. It's been a while since the super-hot years of 1998 and 2005. So is this a longer climate trend or just weather's normal ups and downs? In...
  • NOAA: El Niño to Help Steer U.S. Winter Weather

    10/15/2009 2:09:35 PM PDT · by BigSkyFreeper · 37 replies · 1,511+ views
    El Niño in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean is expected to be a dominant climate factor that will influence the December through February winter weather in the United States, according to the 2009 Winter Outlook released today by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. Such seasonal outlooks are part of NOAA’s suite of climate services. “We expect El Niño to strengthen and persist through the winter months, providing clues as to what the weather will be like during the period,” says Mike Halpert, deputy director of the Climate Prediction Center – a division of the National Weather Service. “Warmer ocean...
  • Hurricane season has been a dud — so far

    09/11/2009 3:52:37 PM PDT · by NormsRevenge · 25 replies · 815+ views
    AP on Yahoo ^ | 9/11/09 | Jennifer Kay - ap
    MIAMI – It may be tempting the weather gods just to point this out, but this has been a dud of a hurricane season so far. Only two hurricanes have formed in the Atlantic over the past three months, and neither hit the U.S. — a somewhat unusual lull. "I'm glad that I didn't have to go out and get anything — yet," said Lissette Galiana, who was shopping at a Wal-Mart in suburban Miami on Friday, around what is usually the very peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. "There's always a chance." Forecasters attribute the calm to a weak...
  • Study: Nature responsible for global warming, not man

    07/27/2009 2:15:45 PM PDT · by Oldeconomybuyer · 24 replies · 1,617+ views
    LA Examiner ^ | July 27, 2009 | Tony Hake
    A new peer-reviewed study calls into question the so-called ‘consensus’ on the causes of global warming by saying that “Nature, not man, responsible for recent global warming.” The new study authored by three Australian scientists and published in the Journal of Geophysical Research says that the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) accounts for the vast majority of temperature variability. Authored by Chris de Freitas (University of Auckland in New Zealand), John McLean (Melbourne) and Bob Carter (James Cook University), the new study is sure to cause waves among those debating the causes of global warming. Completely contrary to the mainstream media’s...
  • El Niño Arrives; Expected to Persist through Winter 2009-10

    07/13/2009 12:53:37 PM PDT · by greatplains · 10 replies · 829+ views
    NOAA ^ | July 9, 2009 | NOAA staff
    NOAA scientists today announced the arrival of El Niño, a climate phenomenon with a significant influence on global weather, ocean conditions and marine fisheries. El Niño, the periodic warming of central and eastern tropical Pacific waters, occurs on average every two to five years and typically lasts about 12 months. (snip) Contrary to popular belief, not all effects are negative. On the positive side, El Niño can help to suppress Atlantic hurricane activity. In the United States, it typically brings beneficial winter precipitation to the arid Southwest, less wintry weather across the North, and a reduced risk of Florida wildfires.
  • El Nino Has Arrived

    07/10/2009 9:00:55 AM PDT · by Abathar · 16 replies · 1,058+ views
    Scientific American ^ | 07/10/09 | Christie Nicholson
    The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association officially announced that we will experience the El Nino phenomenon this year through to 2010. El Nino has arrived. With a 1 degree Celsius increase in a band of the eastern Pacific Ocean, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association made the announcement yesterday. The climate phenomenon, El Nino-Southern Oscillation or ENSO, that warms the eastern Pacific waters, decreases trade winds, and shows up every three to seven years, last came in 2006. It’s known to cause droughts in Southeastern Asia and floods in Central and South America, as well as bring damaging storms to...
  • Problem Child El Niño Has Returned

    07/10/2009 2:26:01 AM PDT · by neverdem · 17 replies · 1,637+ views
    ScienceNOW Daily News ^ | 9 July 2009 | Phil Berardelli
    Enlarge ImageTrouble brewing. Trouble brewing. Satellite observations show telltale signs of an El Niño returning (red and dark-blue zones).Credit: TOPEX/Poseidon Team/CNES/NASA (APOD) Batten down the hatches! The disruptive weather pattern known as El Niño has developed once again in the central Pacific Ocean, the first time since 2006, scientists announced today. Satellite instruments have recorded a band of telltale warming in surface waters of about 1°C. That could mean damaging storms this winter in California and across the southern half of the United States, as well as heavy rains in Central and South America, drought in Southeast Asia and...
  • El Nino bad news for winter sports outlook (Radio report: warming NOT caused by men/women or farts!)

    07/09/2009 8:28:27 PM PDT · by Libloather · 20 replies · 1,768+ views
    KVAL ^ | 7/09/09 | Scott Sistek
    El Nino bad news for winter sports outlookStory Published: Jul 9, 2009 at 3:35 PM PDT By Scott Sistek It's official. El Nino is here. Pardon us while we blow our party horn. Toot. It's news snow fans and skiers probably do not want to hear -- climate forecasters say El Nino conditions have developed in the Pacific Ocean. El Nino is a warming of ocean temperatures in the tropical region of the Pacific -- part of a typical 3-5 year cycle where the temperatures drift from warm (El Nino) to normal (neutral) to cold (La Nina) then back again....
  • Lorne Gunter: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof

    10/20/2008 9:54:52 AM PDT · by managusta · 47 replies · 1,733+ views
    National Post ^ | October 20, 2008 | Lorne Gunter
    In early September, I began noticing a string of news stories about scientists rejecting the orthodoxy on global warming. Actually, it was more like a string of guest columns and long letters to the editor since it is hard for skeptical scientists to get published in the cabal of climate journals now controlled by the Great Sanhedrin of the environmental movement. "An analytical chemist who works in spectroscopy and atmospheric sensing, Michael J. Myers of Hilton Head, S. C., declared, "Man-made global warming is junk science," explaining that worldwide manmade CO2 emission each year "equals about 0.0168% of the atmosphere's...
  • Larger Pacific Climate Event Helps Current La Nina Linger

    04/22/2008 1:42:29 PM PDT · by blam · 5 replies · 92+ views
    Science Daily ^ | 4-22-2008 | NASA/Jet Propulsion Laboratory.
    Larger Pacific Climate Event Helps Current La Nina LingerThis La Niña is indicated by the blue area in the center of the image along the equator. Blue indicates lower than normal sea level (cold water). (Credit: NASA/JPL) ScienceDaily (Apr. 22, 2008) — Boosted by the influence of a larger climate event in the Pacific, one of the strongest La Niñas in many years is slowly weakening but continues to blanket the Pacific Ocean near the equator, as shown by new sea-level height data collected by the U.S.-French Jason oceanographic satellite. This La Niña, which has persisted for the past year,...
  • How El Niño Slows The Earth's Spin

    10/21/2007 11:29:19 AM PDT · by blam · 21 replies · 115+ views
    New Scientist ^ | 10-21-2007
    How El Niño slows the Earth's spin 21 October 2007 NewScientist.com news service El Niño has an immense impact on the weather, so great in fact that the ocean warming phenomenon actually makes the planet spin more slowly. Until now, though, no one knew why. It was also a mystery why the effect did not kick in for several weeks after ocean temperatures reached their peak. Now, Jean Dickey and her colleagues at the California Institute of Technology in Pasadena says that the answer is blowing in the wind. El Niño events warm Pacific surface waters in the tropics, resulting...
  • Records show January the hottest ever, thanks to El Niño and global warming, scientists say

    02/15/2007 6:35:24 PM PST · by NormsRevenge · 156 replies · 2,162+ views
    ap on San Diego Union - Tribune ^ | 2/15/07 | Seth Borenstein - ap
    WASHINGTON – It may be cold comfort during a frigid February, but last month was by far the hottest January ever. The broken record was fueled by a waning El Niño and a gradually warming world, according to U.S. scientists who reported the data Thursday. Records on the planet's temperature have been kept since 1880. Spurred on by unusually warm Siberia, Canada, northern Asia and Europe, the world's land areas were 3.4 degrees Fahrenheit warmer than a normal January, according to the U.S. National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, N.C. That didn't just nudge past the old record set in...
  • Drought NOT Caused by Global Warning

    01/01/2007 1:37:48 PM PST · by Fluke Codewriter · 11 replies · 992+ views
    The Australian ^ | December 29, 2006 | Editorial
    Editorial: Strange weather is situation normal December 29, 2006 Summer snow is no tipping point for climate change CSIRO research fellow Barrie Hunt has done everyone a service by blowing the whistle on the pessimistic hand-wringing that accompanies too much of the discussion on climate change and its relationship to the drought now gripping southeast Australia. As the retired head of the CSIRO's climate modelling program, Mr Hunt says there is nothing historically unusual about Australia's predicament, contrary to much of today's political blather. According to the CSIRO's model of 10,000 years of natural climate variability, the drought can be...
  • Weak El Nino Established in Pacific; El Nino Produced Mild Atlantic Hurricane Season

    12/04/2006 10:56:18 AM PST · by cogitator · 24 replies · 856+ views
    First: WASHINGTON, DC, December 1, 2006 (ENS) - As the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season closed Thursday, NOAA scientists said seasonal activity was lower than expected due to the rapid development of El Niño, a periodic warming of the ocean in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, which influences pressure and wind patterns across the tropical Atlantic. The 2006 Atlantic hurricane season is considered the quietest in a decade. Only nine tropical storms formed, the last one in early October, and not a single hurricane hit the U.S. mainland. "The development of El Niño conditions by September helps explain why this...
  • Study Warns of Rapid Rise In Earth's Temperature

    09/27/2006 12:22:13 PM PDT · by Tolerance Sucks Rocks · 50 replies · 1,981+ views
    Wall Street Journal ^ | September 26, 2006 | Gautam Naik
    A study warns that the Earth's temperature is approaching a level not seen in a million years, implying that we are getting close to "dangerous" levels of human pollution. The study finds that, while the world warmed slowly during the century to 1975, it has warmed at a more rapid rate of about 0.2 degrees Celsius (0.36 degrees Fahrenheit) per decade thereafter. The researchers say the global mean temperature is now within one degree Celsius (1.8 degrees Fahrenheit) of the maximum mean temperature of the past million years. Based on a 0.2-degree-Celsius increase per decade, that high point could be...
  • Global Warming Cited in Wind Shift

    05/03/2006 4:12:39 PM PDT · by NormsRevenge · 30 replies · 739+ views
    AP on Yahoo ^ | 5/3/06 | Malcolm Ritter - ap
    NEW YORK - An important wind circulation pattern over the Pacific Ocean has begun to weaken because of global warming caused by human activity, something that could alter climate and the marine food chain in the region, new research suggests. It's not clear what climate changes might arise in the area or possibly beyond, but the long-term effect might resemble some aspects of an El Nino event, a study author said. El Ninos boost rainfall in the southern United States and western South America and bring dry weather or even drought to Indonesia, Malaysia and elsewhere in the western Pacific....
  • The History of Global Precipitation from 1979 to 2004 (It's El Nino, not global warming)

    04/26/2006 10:16:37 AM PDT · by DaveLoneRanger · 8 replies · 643+ views
    CO2 Science ^ | April 26, 2006 | Staff
    The History of Global Precipitation from 1979 to 2004Reference Smith, T.M., Yin, X. and Gruber, A. 2006. Variations in annual global precipitation (1979-2004), based on the Global Precipitation Climatology Project 2.5° analysis. Geophysical Research Letters 33: 10.1029/2005GL025393. What was done Noting that "the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) has produced merged satellite and in situ global precipitation estimates, with a record length now over 26 years beginning 1979 (Huffman et al., 1997; Adler et al., 2003)," the authors used empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis to study annual GPCP-derived precipitation variations over the period of record. What was learned The...
  • Scientist Forecasts 'super El Niño' (Wet SW winter 06-07)

    04/10/2006 5:28:31 PM PDT · by CedarDave · 14 replies · 810+ views
    The Albuquerque Journal ^ | April 8, 2006 | John Fleck
    One of the country's leading climate scientists says there is "a good chance" for a "super El Niño" next winter, a powerful warming in the Pacific Ocean linked to wet winters in the Southwest. In a draft paper circulated to colleagues, NASA climate researcher James Hansen blames global warming for increasing the chance of extreme El Niños. When they happen, such extreme El Niños can wreak weather havoc worldwide, from deep drought in Australia to flooding in California. Hansen's new paper drew a flurry of attention among scientists because of his standing as one of the nation's most prominent climate...
  • Global warming could halt ocean circulation, with harmful results

    12/08/2005 7:29:09 AM PST · by DaveLoneRanger · 92 replies · 1,458+ views
    EurekAlert! ^ | December 7, 2005 | Staff
    Absent any climate policy, scientists have found a 70 percent chance of shutting down the thermohaline circulation in the North Atlantic Ocean over the next 200 years, with a 45 percent probability of this occurring in this century. The likelihood decreases with mitigation, but even the most rigorous immediate climate policy would still leave a 25 percent chance of a thermohaline collapse. "This is a dangerous, human-induced climate change," said Michael Schlesinger, a professor of atmospheric sciences at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. "The shutdown of the thermohaline circulation has been characterized as a high-consequence, low-probability event. Our analysis,...
  • Global Warming Overkill

    11/29/2005 4:04:26 AM PST · by Tolerance Sucks Rocks · 13 replies · 935+ views
    Cato Institute ^ | November 29, 2005 | Patrick J. Michaels
    Patrick J. Michaels is senior fellow in environmental studies at the Cato Institute and research professor of environmental sciences at the University of Virginia. The best way to garner headlines in the global warming game is to generate scary scenarios. While many people view climate change as some esoteric concern of environmentalists, they still raise their eyebrows when they hear a phrase like "global warming deaths." It's little surprise then that a recent article in Nature magazine has caught so much attention. Written by Jonathan Patz, an associate professor of environmental studies and population health sciences at the University of...
  • Will 2005 Set a Record For Warmth? Does It Matter?

    10/14/2005 10:54:31 AM PDT · by cogitator · 19 replies · 764+ views
    Tech Central Station ^ | 10/13/2005 | Patrick Michaels
    According to David Rind from NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS), 2005 is going to set the all-time record for global warmth. He told Juliet Eilperin of the Washington Post (October 13, 2005) only a major volcanic eruption could intervene. But Eilperin also interviewed Oregon State Climatologist George Taylor, who told her that Goddard's findings were "mighty preliminary." That's because there's more than one history of global temperature. Three receive the most citations. NASA's record begins in 1880, as does another history from the U.S. Department of Commerce, developed at the Department's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). But the...
  • 4. WEATHER FORECASTERS DISCUSS NORTHWEST WINTER PREDICTIONS

    10/29/2004 5:25:19 PM PDT · by farmfriend · 16 replies · 2,221+ views
    The Columbia Basin Bulletin ^ | October 29, 2004 | Barry Espenson
    4. WEATHER FORECASTERS DISCUSS NORTHWEST WINTER PREDICTIONS Posted on Friday, October 29, 2004 (PST) By Barry Espenson Do El Nino conditions -- which tend to tip nature's scale toward drier, warm winter conditions in much of the Pacific Northwest -- exist this year? That question prompted yes, no and maybe answers Thursday during the 11th annual "What will the winter be like?" gathering of the Oregon Chapter of the American Meteorological Society at Portland's Oregon Museum of Science and Industry. Their forecasts, predictably, were just as diverse, though all were within relatively close range of average temperature and precipitation totals....
  • New 'El Niño' can bring Siberian winters

    10/21/2004 5:15:54 PM PDT · by NCjim · 56 replies · 1,096+ views
    Aftenposten ^ | October 22, 2004 | Cato Guhnfeldt & Nina Berglund
    Climate researchers are warning that wide areas of Northern Europe can get much colder winters if a strong, new 'El Niño' effect takes root in the Pacific Ocean. Norway can end up with Siberian conditions. Swiss researchers, backed by Norwegian colleagues, were due to unveil their findings this week. They based their work on research done on the period 1940-42, when Northern Europe experienced bitterly cold winters. During those winters, snow fell heavily in England, ships froze in ice along the usually ice-free coast of Norway and it was so cold in Oslo that schools were forced to close. "The...
  • NOAA ANNOUNCES THE RETURN OF EL NIÑO

    09/13/2004 6:21:53 PM PDT · by glorgau · 11 replies · 411+ views
    NOAA ^ | Sept. 10, 2004 | NOAA
    Sept. 10, 2004 — NOAA declared today that El Niño is back but this time around in a weaker state. "El Niño conditions have developed in the tropical Pacific and are expected to last through early 2005," said Jim Laver, director of the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. "At this time it is not clear what, if any, impacts this event will have on ocean temperatures in the classical El Niño region along the west coast of South America and on temperature and precipitation in the United States." Impacts depend on a variety of factors, such as the intensity and extent...
  • Climate experts: El Nino developing in Pacific

    09/13/2004 10:46:09 AM PDT · by missyme · 4 replies · 495+ views
    CNN ^ | September 13th, 2004
    WASHINGTON (AP) -- A mild El Nino is developing in the Pacific Ocean, climate experts said Friday. El Ninos can affect weather in other areas, sometimes worldwide. "El Nino conditions have developed in the central tropical Pacific and are expected to last through early 2005," Jim Laver, director of the federal Climate Prediction Center, said in a statement. These conditions occur when ocean waters become warmer than normal for the area, causing an increase in cloudiness and affecting air pressure and winds as well. The classic area for El Nino conditions is farther east, near the coast of Central and...
  • Warning El Nino back soon

    08/07/2004 6:30:22 PM PDT · by ATOMIC_PUNK · 25 replies · 851+ views
    http://tvnz.co.nz ^ | Aug 8, 2004
    Warning El Nino back soon Aug 8, 2004 El Nino, a warm current that regularly appears in the Pacific Ocean often producing catastrophic climate and weather changes, is likely to develop in the next three months, forecasters say.The National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said it has recorded an increasing warming of sea-surface temperatures and an eastward expansion of the anomalies in the central Pacific."Approximately half of the statistical and coupled model forecasts indicate near neutral conditions in the tropical Pacific through the end of 2004; the remaining forecasts indicate El Nino conditions will develop within the next three to six...
  • El Niño conditions may be developing in the Pacific

    08/06/2004 8:24:31 AM PDT · by socal_parrot · 48 replies · 1,036+ views
    WASHINGTON – Warming water temperatures in the central equatorial Pacific last month may indicate the start of a new El Niño. El Niño, which can affect weather conditions around the world, is often first seen as increased sea surface temperatures in the Pacific along with changes in wind patterns. Sea surface temperatures rose nearly 1 degree Fahrenheit above normal in July, with even higher readings to the east, the National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center said on Thursday. The temperature increases, the agency said, "indicate the possible early stages of a warm episode." The report noted that the normal easterly...
  • 14% Follow Advice On Breast-Feeding

    08/05/2004 10:53:05 PM PDT · by neverdem · 34 replies · 958+ views
    The Washington Post ^ | August 6, 2004 | -- From News Services
    FINDINGS Fourteen percent of American mothers exclusively breast-feed their babies for the recommended minimum of six months, according to government data released yesterday. New state-by-state statistics show that Oregon has the highest rate of mothers meeting the minimum standard, but even there just 25 percent are able to give their babies breast milk and nothing else for six months, the report shows. The American Academy of Pediatrics, the World Health Organization and most other experts recommend that mothers give their babies breast milk only -- no formula, juice or solid food -- until they are 6 months old. Studies have...